The social value of vaccination programs: beyond cost-effectiveness

In the current global environment of increased strain on health care budgets, all medical interventions have to compete for funding. Cost-effectiveness analysis has become a standard method to use in estimating how much value an intervention offers relative to its costs, and it has become an influential element in decision making. However, the application of cost-effectiveness analysis to vaccination programs fails to capture the full contribution such a program offers to the community. Recent literature has highlighted how cost-effectiveness analysis can neglect the broader economic impact of vaccines. In this article we also argue that socioethical contributions such as effects on health equity, sustaining the public good of herd immunity, and social integration of minority groups are neglected in cost-effectiveness analysis. Evaluations of vaccination programs require broad and multidimensional perspectives that can account for their social, ethical, and economic impact as well as their cost-effectiveness

Varicella-zoster virus vaccination under the exogenous boosting hypothesis: two ethical perspectives

The varicella-zoster virus (VZV) causes two diseases: varicella (‘chickenpox’) and herpes zoster (‘shingles’). VZV vaccination of children reduces exposure to chickenpox in the population and it has been hypothesized that this could increase the prevalence of shingles. This ‘exogenous boosting’ effect of VZV raises an important equity concern: introducing a vaccination program could advance the health of one population group (children) at the expense of another (adults and elderly). We discuss the program's justifiability from two ethical perspectives, classic utilitarianism and contractualism. Whereas the former framework might offer a foundation for the case against introducing this vaccination, the latter offers a basis to justify it

PIN22 Cost-Effectiveness of Hepatitis a Vaccination in Indonesia

Objectives: This study aims to assess the cost-effectiveness of hepatitis A vaccination in Indonesia, including an explicit comparison between one-dose and twodose vaccines. Methods: An age-structured cohort model based on a decision tree was developed for the 2012 Indonesia birth cohort. Using the model, we made a comparison on the use of two-dose and one-dose vaccines. The model involves a 70-year time horizon with 1-month cycles for children less than 2 years old and annually thereafter. Monte Carlo simulations were used to examine the economic acceptability and affordability of the hepatitis A vaccination. Results: With the vaccine price of US$4.49 per dose, the implementation of the hepatitis A vaccine from the societal perspective would yield incremental-cost-effectiveness-ratios (ICERs) at US$ 9,194 and US$4,577 for the two-dose and one-dose vaccine schedules, respectively. Considering the 2012 gross-domestic-product (GDP) per capita in Indonesia of US$ 3,557, the results indicate that hepatitis A vaccination would be a cost-effective intervention, both for the two-dose and one-dose vaccine schedules. Vaccination would be 100% affordable at budgets of US$89,918,000 and US$ 46,778,000 for the implementation of the two-dose and one-dose vaccine schedules, respectively. Conclusions: The implementation of hepatitis A vaccination in Indonesia would be a cost-effective health intervention under the market vaccine prices. Given the budget limitations, the use of a one-dose-vaccine schedule would be more realistic to be applied than a two-dose schedule. The discount rate, vaccine price, vaccine efficacy and mortality rate were the most influential parameters impacting the ICERs

Public preferences for prioritizing preventive and curative health care interventions: a discrete choice experiment

Background Setting fair health care priorities counts among the most difficult ethical challenges our societies are facing. Objective To elicit through a discrete choice experiment the Belgian adult population’s (18–75 years; N = 750) preferences for prioritizing health care and investigate whether these preferences are different for prevention versus cure. Methods We used a Bayesian D-efficient design with partial profiles, which enables considering a large number of attributes and interaction effects. We included the following attributes: 1) type of intervention (cure vs. prevention), 2) effectiveness, 3) risk of adverse effects, 4) severity of illness, 5) link between the illness and patient’s health-related lifestyle, 6) time span between intervention and effect, and 7) patient’s age group. Results All attributes were statistically significant contributors to the social value of a health care program, with patient’s lifestyle and age being the most influential ones. Interaction effects were found, showing that prevention was preferred to cure for disease in young adults, as well as for severe and lethal disease in people of any age. However, substantial differences were found in the preferences of respondents from different age groups, with different lifestyles and different health states. Conclusions Our study suggests that according to the Belgian public, contextual factors of health gains such as patient’s age and health-related lifestyle should be considered in priority setting decisions. The studies, however, revealed substantial disagreement in opinion between different population subgroups

No such thing as a free-rider? Understanding multicountry drivers of childhood and adult vaccination

Background Increased vaccine hesitancy and refusal negatively affects vaccine uptake leading to vaccine preventable disease reemergence. We aimed to quantify the relative importance of characteristics people consider when making vaccine decisions for themselves, or for their child, with specific attention for underlying motives arising from context, such as required effort (accessibility) and opportunism (free riding on herd immunity). Methods We documented attitudes towards vaccination and performed a discrete choice experiment in 4802 respondents in The United Kingdom, France and Belgium eliciting preferences for six attributes: (1) vaccine effectiveness, (2) vaccine preventable disease burden, (3) vaccine accessibility in terms of co-payment, vaccinator and administrative requirements, (4) frequency of mild vaccine-related side-effects, (5) vaccination coverage in the country’s population and (6) local vaccination coverage in personal networks. We distinguished adults deciding on vaccination for themselves (‘oneself’ group) from parents deciding for their youngest child (‘child’ group). Results While all six attributes were found to be significant, vaccine effectiveness and accessibility stand out in all (sub)samples, followed by vaccine preventable disease burden. We confirmed that people attach more value to severity of disease compared to its frequency and discovered that peer influence dominates free-rider motives, especially for the vaccination of children. Conclusions These behavioral data are insightful for policy and are essential to parameterize dynamic vaccination behavior in simulation models. In contrast to what most game theoretical models assume, social norms dominate free-rider incentives. Therefore policy-makers and healthcare workers should actively communicate on high vaccination coverage, and draw attention to the effectiveness of vaccines, while optimizing their practical accessibility

A computationally efficient method for probabilistic parameter threshold analysis for health economic evaluations

Background. Threshold analysis is used to determine the threshold value of an input parameter at which a health care strategy becomes cost-effective. Typically, it is performed in a deterministic manner, in which inputs are varied one at a time while the remaining inputs are each fixed at their mean value. This approach will result in incorrect threshold values if the cost-effectiveness model is nonlinear or if inputs are correlated. Objective. To propose a probabilistic method for performing threshold analysis, which accounts for the joint uncertainty in all input parameters and makes no assumption about the linearity of the cost-effectiveness model. Methods. Three methods are compared: 1) deterministic threshold analysis (DTA); 2) a 2-level Monte Carlo approach, which is considered the gold standard; and 3) a regression-based method using a generalized additive model (GAM), which identifies threshold values directly from a probabilistic sensitivity analysis sample. Results. We applied the 3 methods to estimate the minimum probability of hospitalization for typhoid fever at which 3 different vaccination strategies become cost-effective in Uganda. The threshold probability of hospitalization at which routine vaccination at 9 months with catchup campaign to 5 years becomes cost-effective is estimated to be 0.060 and 0.061 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.058–0.064), respectively, for 2-level and GAM. According to DTA, routine vaccination at 9 months with catchup campaign to 5 years would never become cost-effective. The threshold probability at which routine vaccination at 9 months with catchup campaign to 15 years becomes cost-effective is estimated to be 0.092 (DTA), 0.074 (2-level), and 0.072 (95% CI, 0.069–0.075) (GAM). GAM is 430 times faster than the 2-level approach. Conclusions. When the cost-effectiveness model is nonlinear, GAM provides similar threshold values to the 2-level Monte Carlo approach and is computationally more efficient. DTA provides incorrect results and should not be used

P363 Assessment of patients with knee or hip osteoarthritis in primary care setting: The arpege survey

Objective: Estimate cost-effectiveness of vaccination against hepatitis A virus (HAV) for children of ethnic minorities in Amsterdam. Background: Pharmaco-economic analysis is relevant for motivating reimbursement of vaccination costs in the framework of a programmatic approach to vaccination of ethnic minorities. Design: Pharmaco-economic modeling. Method: In cost-effectiveness analysis, costs, benefits and health gains were estimated for a large-scale HAV-vaccination for children of Turkish and Maroccan origin. Analysis was performed from the societal perspective, as recommended in the Dutch guidelines for pharmaco-economic research. This implies that indirect costs of production losses are included in the analysis. Cost-effectiveness was expressed in net costs per adult HAV-infection averted in incremental and aggregate analysis. Incremental analysis compares targeted vaccination with the current limited-scale HAV-vaccination that exists, whereas aggregate analysis compares targeted vaccination with the sheer absence of vaccination. Results: Net aggregate costs of targeted HAV-vaccination for Turkish and Maroccan children in Amsterdam amounts to E 61.000. Cost-effectiveness was estimated, in aggregate and incremental analysis, at E 13.500 and 11.100 respectively per adult HAV-infection averted. Uni- and multivariate sensitivity analyses show that major impact on cost-effectiveness may be expected from reductions in the vaccine price through economies of scale. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicates possible large fluctuations in cost-effectiveness from I year to another, related to varying incidence of disease. Conclusion: HAV-vaccination for children from ethnic minorities in Amsterdam is not cost saving, but may have a favourable cost-effectiveness. Such a vaccination program fits into the recent Dutch policy of specific vaccinations directed at groups of ethnic minorities, such as for hepatitis B. (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

Health and economic burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease and the cost-effectiveness of potential interventions against RSV among children under 5 years in 72 Gavi-eligible countries.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) frequently causes acute lower respiratory infection in children under 5, representing a high burden in Gavi-eligible countries (mostly low-income and lower-middle-income). Since multiple RSV interventions, including vaccines and monoclonal antibody (mAb) candidates, are under development, we aim to evaluate the key drivers of the cost-effectiveness of maternal vaccination and infant mAb for 72 Gavi countries. METHODS: A static Multi-Country Model Application for RSV Cost-Effectiveness poLicy (MCMARCEL) was developed to follow RSV-related events monthly from birth until 5 years of age. MCMARCEL was parameterised using country- and age-specific demographic, epidemiological, and cost data. The interventions' level and duration of effectiveness were guided by the World Health Organization's preferred product characteristics and other literature. Maternal vaccination and mAb were assumed to require single-dose administration at prices assumed to align with other Gavi-subsidised technologies. The effectiveness and the prices of the interventions were simultaneously varied in extensive scenario analyses. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were the primary health outcomes for cost-effectiveness, integrated with probabilistic sensitivity analyses and Expected Value of Partially Perfect Information analysis. RESULTS: The RSV-associated disease burden among children in these 72 countries is estimated at an average of 20.8 million cases, 1.8 million hospital admissions, 40 thousand deaths, 1.2 million discounted DALYs, and US$611 million discounted direct costs. Strategy 'mAb' is more effective due to its assumed longer duration of protection versus maternal vaccination, but it was also assumed to be more expensive. Given all parameterised uncertainty, the optimal strategy of choice tends to change for increasing willingness to pay (WTP) values per DALY averted from the current situation to maternal vaccination (at WTP > US$1000) to mAB (at WTP > US$3500). The age-specific proportions of cases that are hospitalised and/or die cause most of the uncertainty in the choice of optimal strategy. Results are broadly similar across countries. CONCLUSIONS: Both the maternal and mAb strategies need to be competitively priced to be judged as relatively cost-effective. Information on the level and duration of protection is crucial, but also more and better disease burden evidence-especially on RSV-attributable hospitalisation and death rates-is needed to support policy choices when novel RSV products become available

Hepatitis B prevention in Europe: a preliminary economic evaluation

The World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that about 350 million people in the world are carriers of the hepatitis B virus (HBV), 60 million of whom may die from liver cancer and about 45 million from cirrhosis. In the WHO European Region, which has a total population of 839 million inhabitants, the average number of acute hepatitis B cases reported in 1991 was approximately 160 000, giving an incidence of 19 per 100 000 population. This incidence rate varies from 5 per 100 000 in western Europe to 22 per 100 000 in central Europe and 92 per 100 000 in eastern Europe. Because of under-reporting and the fact that two-thirds of infections are asymptomatic, the reported incidence rate considerably underestimates the true incidence of HBV in Europe. For this reason, we may multiply the number of reported cases by a factor of 6 (by 2 for under-reporting and by 3 for the symptomatic/asymptomatic ratio): an estimated 900 000 to 1 000 000 infections of HBV occur in Europe each year. Approximately 90 000 chronic infections will develop from these new cases. The spread of HBV can be controlled by universal infant or adolescent vaccination. A decision-tree-based analytical model was used to assess the clinical and economic impact of these two interventions. The model took into account incidence and prevalence rates of HBV, natural history of infection, compliance and effectiveness of vaccination, and direct and indirect costs. Data were obtained from the literature and from a WHO European survey. The cost-effectiveness ratio amounts to £6443 and £4745 per infection prevented for neonatal and adolescent vaccination, respectively. The results from these calculations show that neither vaccination of neonates or of adolescents is cost-saving. However, the cost-effectiveness - i.e. the cost incurred to prevent an HBV infection is of an acceptable magnitude for both strategies