Annual average daily traffic estimation in England and Wales: An application of clustering and regression modelling

Collection of Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) is of major importance for a number of applications in road transport urban and environmental studies. However, traffic measurements are undertaken only for a part of the road network with minor roads usually excluded. This paper suggests a methodology to estimate AADT in England and Wales applicable across the full road network, so that traffic for both major and minor roads can be approximated. This is achieved by consolidating clustering and regression modelling and using a comprehensive set of variables related to roadway, socioeconomic and land use characteristics. The methodological output reveals traffic patterns across urban and rural areas as well as produces accurate results for all road classes. Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Random Forest (RF) are found to outperform the traditional Linear Regression, although the findings suggest that data clustering is key for significant reduction in prediction errors

Road Emissions in London: Insights from Geographically Detailed Classification and Regression Modelling

Greenhouse gases and air pollutant emissions originating from road transport continues to rise in the UK, indicating a significant contribution to climate change and negative impacts on human health and ecosystems. However, emissions are usually estimated at aggregated levels, and on many occasions roads of minor importance are not taken into account, normally due to lack of traffic counts. This paper presents a methodology enabling estimation of air pollutants and CO_{2} for each street segment in the Greater London area. This is achieved by applying a hybrid probabilistic classification–regression approach on a set of variables believed to affect traffic volumes and utilizing emission factors. The output reveals pollution hot spots and the effects of open spaces in a spatially rich dataset. Considering the disaggregated approach, the methodology can be used to facilitate policy making for both local and national aggregated levels

Surgical Outcomes in Syndromic Tetralogy of Fallot: A Systematic Review and Evidence Quality Assessment

Tetralogy of Fallot (ToF) is one of the most common cyanotic congenital heart defects. We sought to summarize all available data regarding the epidemiology and perioperative outcomes of syndromic ToF patients. A PRISMA-compliant systematic literature review of PubMed and Cochrane Library was performed. Twelve original studies were included. The incidence of syndromic ToF was 15.3% (n = 549/3597). The most prevalent genetic syndromes were 22q11.2 deletion (47.8%; 95% CI 43.4–52.2) and trisomy 21 (41.9%; 95% CI 37.7–46.3). Complete surgical repair was performed in 75.2% of the patients (n = 161/214; 95% CI 69.0–80.1) and staged repair in 24.8% (n = 53/214; 95 CI 19.4–30.9). Relief of RVOT obstruction was performed with transannular patch in 64.7% (n = 79/122; 95% CI 55.9–72.7) of the patients, pulmonary valve-sparing technique in 17.2% (n = 21/122; 95% CI 11.5–24.9), and RV-PA conduit in 18.0% (n = 22/122; 95% CI 12.1–25.9). Pleural effusions were the most common postoperative complications (n = 28/549; 5.1%; 95% CI 3.5–7.3). Reoperations were performed in 4.4% (n = 24/549; 95% CI 2.9–6.4) of the patients. All-cause mortality rate was 9.8% (n = 51/521; 95% CI 7.5–12.7). Genetic syndromes are seen in approximately 15% of ToF patients. Long-term survival exceeds 90%, suggesting that surgical management should be dictated by anatomy regardless of genetics

A coupled food security and refugee movement model for the south Sudan conflict

VECMA; HiDALGO projects; European Union Horizon 2020 research and innovation programm

Current role of surgery in small cell lung carcinoma

Small cell lung carcinoma represents 15–20% of lung cancer. Is is characterized by rapid growth and early disseminated disease with poor outcome. For many years surgery was considered a contraindication in Small Cell Lung Cancer (SCLC) since radiotherapy and chemoradiotherapy were found to be more efficient in the management of these patients. Never the less some surgeons continue to be in favor of surgery as part of a combined modality treatment in patients with SCLC. The revaluation of the role of surgery in this group of patients is based on clinical data indicating a much better prognosis in selected patients with limited disease (T1-2, N0, M0), the high rate of local recurrence after chemoradiotherapy with surgery considered eventually more efficient in the local control of the disease and the fact that surgery is the most accurate tool to access the response to chemotherapy, identify carcinoids misdiagnosed as SCLC and treat the Non Small Cell Lung Cancer component of mixed tumors. Performing surgery for local disease SCLC requires a complete preoperative assessment to exclude the presence of nodal involvement. In stage I surgery must always be followed by adjuvant chemotherapy, while in stage II and III surgery must be planned only in the context of clinical trials and after a pathologic response to induction chemoradiotherapy has been confirmed. Prophylactic cranial irradiation should be used to reduce the incidence of brain metastasi

DETECTING VESSELS CARRYING MIGRANTS USING MACHINE LEARNING

Political instability, conflicts and inequalities result into significant flows of people worldwide, moving to different countries in search of a better life, safety or to be reunited with their families. Irregular crossings into Europe via sea routes, despite not being new, have recently increased together with the loss of lives of people in the attempt to reach EU shores. This highlights the need to find ways to improve the understanding of what is happening at sea. This paper, intends to expand the knowledge available on practices among smugglers and contribute to early warning and maritime situational awareness. By identifying smuggling techniques and based on anomaly detection methods, behaviours of interest are modelled and one class support vector machines are used to classify unlabelled data and detect potential smuggling vessels. Nine vessels are identified as potentially carrying irregular migrants and refugees. Though, further inspection of the results highlights possible misclassifications caused by data gaps and limited knowledge on smuggling tactics. Accepted classifications are considered subject to further investigation by the authorities

The influence of local instillation of fusidic acid on the development of microbial complications after lung resection

The efficacy of local instillation of fusidic acid in the prevention of post-surgical microbial complications during various types of lung resection was studied. Four hundred ninety two consecutive patients who underwent 504 thoracotomies for non-small cell lung carcinoma during April 1998-May 2004 were reviewed. The 290 patients of the first period who underwent 298 thoracotomies received a chemoprophylactic regimen of intravenous cefuroxime while the 202 patients of the second period who underwent 206 thoracotomies were additionally treated with fusidic acid, irrigated with local instillation into the pleural space, for the prevention of postoperative septic complications. Patients were followed postoperatively for development of septic complications (empyema and bronchopleural fistula) as well as of pneumonia and wound infection. Seventeen patients (5.7%) of the first period developed empyema and 13 fistula (4.4%), whereas only 2 patients (1.0%) of the second period developed empyema and fistula (OR = 5.876; 95% CI, 1.343-25.716; P = 0.008 and OR = 4.193; 95% CI, 1.003-20.130; P = 0.034, respectively). Cases of pneumonia decreased, but not significantly, from 21 (7.0%) during the first period to 9 (4.4%) during the second period (OR = 1.613; 95% CI, 0.724-3.593; P = 0.257) while cases of wound infection decreased significantly from 19 (6.4%) to 2 (1.0%) (OR = 6.567; 95% CI, 1.513-28.510; P = 0.003). During the first period 23 pathogens were found from cases of empyema and 73 pathogens from cases of pneumonia and wound infection, whereas during the second period 3 and 18 pathogens were respectively found (OR = 5.3; 95% CI, 1.570-17.888; P = 0.003, and OR = 2.804; 95% CI, 1.628-4.838; P <0.001, respectively). These results indicate that local instillation of fusidic acid in the pleural space prior to lung resection seems effective in reducing the rate of septic complications as well as of wound infections. © E.S.I.F.T. srl - Firenze

Permanent pacemaker implantation in pediatric heart transplant recipients: A systematic review and evidence quality assessment

Bradyarrhythmias are a common complication following pediatric OHT and may require permanent pacemaker implantation (PPM). The purpose of this study was to investigate the incidence, predictors, and outcomes of children undergoing PPM implantation following OHT. A PRISMA-compliant systematic literature review was performed using the PubMed database and the Cochrane Library (end-of-search date: January 27, 2019). The Newcastle-Ottawa scale and the Joanna Briggs Institute tool were used to assess the quality of cohort studies and case reports, respectively. We analyzed data from a total of 11 studies recruiting 7198 pediatric patients who underwent heart transplant. PPM implantation was performed in 1.9% (n = 137/7,198; 95% CI: 1.6-2.2) of the patients. Most patients underwent dual-chamber pacing (46%, 95% CI: 32.6-59.7). Male-to-female ratio was 1.3:1. Mean patient age at the time of OHT was 10.1 ± 6.3. Overall, biatrial anastomosis was used in 62.2% (95% CI: 52.8-70.6) of the patients. The bicaval technique was performed in the remaining 37.8% (95% CI: 29.4-47.1). Sinus node dysfunction was the most frequent indication for PPM implantation (54.4%; 95% CI: 42.6-65.7) followed by AV block (45.6%; 95% CI: 34.3-57.3). The median time interval between OHT and PPM implantation ranged from 17 days to 12.5 years. All-cause mortality was 27.9% (95% CI: 18.6-39.6) during a median follow-up of 5 years. PPM implantation is rarely required after pediatric OHT. The most common indication for pacing is sinus node dysfunction, and patients undergoing biatrial anastomosis may be more likely to require PPM. © 2020 Wiley Periodicals, Inc

Minimally Invasive Surgery vs Device Closure for Atrial Septal Defects: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Device closure is the first-line treatment for most atrial septal defects (ASDs). Minimally invasive cardiac surgery (MICS) has been found safe and effective for ASD closure with comparable mortality/morbidity and superior cosmetic results compared to conventional median sternotomy. Our goal was to compare percutaneous versus MICS of ASDs. A systematic review was performed using PubMed and the Cochrane Library (end-of-search date on May 22, 2019). Meta-analyses were conducted using fixed and random effects models. In the present systematic review, we analyzed six studies including 1577 patients with ASDs who underwent either MICS (n = 642) or device closure (n = 935). Treatment efficacy was significantly higher in the MICS (99.8%; 95% CI 98.9–99.9) compared to the device closure group (97.3%; 95% CI 95.6–98.2), (OR 0.1; 95% CI 0.02–0.6). Surgical patients experienced significantly more complications (16.2%; 95% CI 13.0–19.9) compared to those that were treated with a percutaneous approach (7.1%; 95% CI 5.0–9.8), (OR 2.0; 95% CI 1.2–3.2). Surgery was associated with significantly longer length of hospital stay (5.6 ± 1.7 days) compared to device closure (1.3 ± 1.4 days), (OR 4.8; 95% CI 1.1–20.5). Residual shunts were more common with the transcatheter (3.9%; 95% CI 2.7–5.5) compared to the surgical approach (0.95%; 95% CI 0.3–2.4), (OR 0.1; 95% CI 0.06–0.5). There was no difference between the two techniques in terms of major bleeding, hematoma formation, transfusion requirements, cardiac tamponade, new-onset atrial fibrillation, permanent pacemaker placement, and reoperation rates. MICS for ASD is a safe procedure and compares favorably to transcatheter closure. Despite longer hospitalization requirements, the MICS approach is feasible irrespective of ASD anatomy and may lead to a more effective and durable repair. © 2020, Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature

Surgical Outcomes in Syndromic Tetralogy of Fallot: A Systematic Review and Evidence Quality Assessment

Tetralogy of Fallot (ToF) is one of the most common cyanotic congenital heart defects. We sought to summarize all available data regarding the epidemiology and perioperative outcomes of syndromic ToF patients. A PRISMA-compliant systematic literature review of PubMed and Cochrane Library was performed. Twelve original studies were included. The incidence of syndromic ToF was 15.3% (n = 549/3597). The most prevalent genetic syndromes were 22q11.2 deletion (47.8%; 95% CI 43.4–52.2) and trisomy 21 (41.9%; 95% CI 37.7–46.3). Complete surgical repair was performed in 75.2% of the patients (n = 161/214; 95% CI 69.0–80.1) and staged repair in 24.8% (n = 53/214; 95 CI 19.4–30.9). Relief of RVOT obstruction was performed with transannular patch in 64.7% (n = 79/122; 95% CI 55.9–72.7) of the patients, pulmonary valve-sparing technique in 17.2% (n = 21/122; 95% CI 11.5–24.9), and RV-PA conduit in 18.0% (n = 22/122; 95% CI 12.1–25.9). Pleural effusions were the most common postoperative complications (n = 28/549; 5.1%; 95% CI 3.5–7.3). Reoperations were performed in 4.4% (n = 24/549; 95% CI 2.9–6.4) of the patients. All-cause mortality rate was 9.8% (n = 51/521; 95% CI 7.5–12.7). Genetic syndromes are seen in approximately 15% of ToF patients. Long-term survival exceeds 90%, suggesting that surgical management should be dictated by anatomy regardless of genetics. © 2019, Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature