Fentanyl related overdose in Indianapolis: Estimating trends using multilevel Bayesian models

Introduction: The opioid epidemic has been largely attributed to changes in prescribing practices over the past 20 years. Although current overdose trends appear driven by the opioid fentanyl, heroin has remained the focus of overdose fatality assessments. We obtained full toxicology screens on lethal overdose cases in a major US city, allowing more accurate assessment of the time-course of fentanyl-related deaths. Methods: We used coroner data from Marion County, Indiana comprising 1583 overdose deaths recorded between January 1, 2010 and April 30, 2017. Bayesian multilevel models were fitted to predict likelihood of lethal fentanyl-related overdose using information about the victim's age, race, sex, zip code, and date of death. Results: Three hundred and seventy-seven (23.8%) overdose deaths contained fentanyl across the seven-year period. Rates rose exponentially over time, beginning well below 15% from 2010 through 2013 before rising to approximately 50% by 2017. At the beginning of the study period, rates of fentanyl overdose were lowest among Black persons but increased more rapidly, eventually surpassing Whites. Currently, White females may be at particularly low risk of fentanyl overdose and Black females at high risk. Rates were highest for younger and middle-aged groups. Over time, fentanyl was more likely detected without the presence of other opioids. Conclusions: Fentanyl has increasingly been detected in fatal overdose deaths in Marion County. Policy and program responses must focus on education for those at highest risk of fentanyl exposure and death. These responses should also be tailored to meet the unique needs of high-risk demographics.This publication was supported by the Grant Number, 5 NU17CE002721-02, funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Its contents are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or the Department of Health and Human Services

Consumer factors predicting level of treatment response to illness management and recovery

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to identify consumer-level predictors of level of treatment response to illness management and recovery (IMR) to target the appropriate consumers and aid psychiatric rehabilitation settings in developing intervention adaptations. METHOD: Secondary analyses from a multisite study of IMR were conducted. Self-report data from consumer participants of the parent study (n = 236) were analyzed for the current study. Consumers completed prepost surveys assessing illness management, coping, goal-related hope, social support, medication adherence, and working alliance. Correlations and multiple regression analyses were run to identify self-report variables that predicted level of treatment response to IMR. RESULTS: Analyses revealed that goal-related hope significantly predicted level of improved illness self-management, F(1, 164) = 10.93, p < .001, R2 = .248, R2 change = .05. Additionally, we found that higher levels of maladaptive coping at baseline were predictive of higher levels of adaptive coping at follow-up, F(2, 180) = 5.29, p < .02, R2 = .38, R2 change = .02. Evidence did not support additional predictors. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Previously, consumer-level predictors of level of treatment response have not been explored for IMR. Although 2 significant predictors were identified, study findings suggest more work is needed. Future research is needed to identify additional consumer-level factors predictive of IMR treatment response in order to identify who would benefit most from this treatment program. (PsycINFO Database Recor

A Data-Driven Model with Hysteresis Compensation for I2RIS Robot

Retinal microsurgery is a high-precision surgery performed on an exceedingly delicate tissue. It now requires extensively trained and highly skilled surgeons. Given the restricted range of instrument motion in the confined intraocular space, and also potentially restricting instrument contact with the sclera, snake-like robots may prove to be a promising technology to provide surgeons with greater flexibility, dexterity, space access, and positioning accuracy during retinal procedures requiring high precision and advantageous tooltip approach angles, such as retinal vein cannulation and epiretinal membrane peeling. Kinematics modeling of these robots is an essential step toward accurate position control, however, as opposed to conventional manipulators, modeling of these robots does not follow a straightforward method due to their complex mechanical structure and actuation mechanisms. Especially, in wire-driven snake-like robots, the hysteresis problem due to the wire tension condition can have a significant impact on the positioning accuracy of these robots. In this paper, we proposed an experimental kinematics model with a hysteresis compensation algorithm using the probabilistic Gaussian mixture models (GMM) Gaussian mixture regression (GMR) approach. Experimental results on the two-degree-of-freedom (DOF) integrated robotic intraocular snake (I2RIS) show that the proposed model provides 0.4 deg accuracy, which is an overall 60% and 70% of improvement for yaw and pitch degrees of freedom, respectively, compared to a previous model of this robot

Firearm Legislation and Fatal Police Shootings in the United States

OBJECTIVES: To examine whether stricter firearm legislation is associated with rates of fatal police shootings. METHODS: We used a cross-sectional, state-level design to evaluate the effect of state-level firearm legislation on rates of fatal police shootings from January 1, 2015, through October 31, 2016. We measured state-level variation in firearm laws with legislative scorecards from the Brady Center, and for fatal police shootings we used The Counted, an online database maintained by The Guardian. RESULTS: State-level firearm legislation was significantly associated with lower rates of fatal police shootings (incidence rate ratio = 0.961; 95% confidence interval = 0.939, 0.984). When we controlled for sociodemographic factors, states in the top quartile of legislative strength had a 51% lower incidence rate than did states in the lowest quartile. Laws aimed at strengthening background checks, promoting safe storage, and reducing gun trafficking were associated with fewer fatal police shootings. CONCLUSIONS: Legislative restrictions on firearms are associated with reductions in fatal police shootings. Public Health Implications. Although further research is necessary to determine causality and potential mechanisms, firearm legislation is a potential policy solution for reducing fatal police shootings in the United States

Reasons for Discharge in a National Network of Early Psychosis Intervention Programs

Background. Discharge from early psychosis intervention is a critical stage of treatment that may occur for a variety of reasons. This study characterizes reasons for discharge among participants in early psychosis intervention programs participating in the Early Psychosis Intervention Network (EPINET) which comprises &gt;100 programs organized under eight academic hubs. Study Design. We analyzed 1,787 discharges with a focus on program completion, unilateral termination by the client/family, and lost contact with the client/family. We performed exploratory analyses of demographic, clinical, and functional predictors of discharge reason. Variables predictive of discharge type were included in multilevel logistic regressions, allowing for estimation of predictors of discharge reason and variability in rates by program and hub. Study Results. An estimated 20-30% of enrolled patients completed the program. Program completion rates were higher among participants who were older on admission, had lower negative symptoms severity, spent more time in education, employment or training, and were covered by private insurance (a close proxy for socioeconomic status). Programs were more likely to lose contact with male participants, black participants, and participants who were never covered by private insurance. After accounting for patient-level factors, there was substantial program-level variation on all three discharge outcomes, and hub-level variability on the proportion of participants who completed the program. The impact of race on program completion varied substantially by program. Conclusions. Participants discharged from early psychosis intervention services for diverse reasons, some of which were associated with sociocultural factors. Disengagement is a widespread problem affecting all hubs

United States Bureau of Mines Bulletin 173

From Introduction: "In this bulletin the reports on manganese are presented, which range in scope from the beneficiation of the ore to the utilization of the metal.

Conserving koalas: A review of the contrasting regional trends, outlooks and policy challenges

The koala (Phascolarctos cinereus), one of the world's most iconic faunal species, was recently listed under Australian government legislation as vulnerable in the northern states of Queensland and New South Wales and in the Australian Capital Territory