7,438 research outputs found

    Examining the Evidence of Purchasing Power Parity by Recursive Mean Adjustment

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    This paper revisits the empirical evidence of purchasing power parity under the current float by the recursive mean adjustment (RMA) method (So and Shin, 1999). We first demonstrate superior finite sample performance of the RMA-based unit root test over the augmented Dickey-Fuller test via Monte Carlo experiments for 18 linear and nonlinear autoregressive data generating processes. The RMA-based unit root test rejects the null hypothesis of unit root for 16 out of 20 current float real exchange rates relative to the US dollar.We also find that the computationally simple RMA-based asymptotic confidence interval can provide useful information regarding the half-life of the real exchange rate.Recursive Mean Adjustment; Finite Sample Performance; Purchasing Power Parity; Half-Life

    On the Importance of Span of the Data in Univariate Estimation of the Persistence in Real Exchange Rates

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    This paper revisits the empirical evidence on real exchange rates' convergence to their purchasing power parity (PPP) levels. In their recent empirical study, Murray and Papell (2002) claim that the univariate approach provides no useful information on the size of the half-lives of real exchange rate deviations from PPP. However, we obtain finite confidence intervals for the half-life for a maximum of 8 out of 16 countries by applying the nonparametric grid bootstrap technique of Hansen (1999) to over a century of real exchange rates data for 16 developed countries relative to the US dollar. Our finding sharply contrasts to that of Murray and Papell (2002) with the post Bretton Woods real exchange rates. Our finding suggests that span of the data, not the estimation methods, matters more for obtaining useful information on long-run propositions such as PPP.Median Unbiased Estimator

    A Century of Purchasing Power Parity Confirmed: The Role of Nonlinearity

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    Taylor (2002) claims that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) has held over the 20th century based on strong evidence of stationarity for century-long real exchange rates for 20 countries. Lopez et al. (2005), however, found much weaker evidence of PPP with alternative lag selection methods. We reevaluate Taylor’s claim by implementing a recently developed nonlinear unit root test by Park and Shintani (2005). We find strong evidence of nonlinear mean-reversion in real exchange rates that confirms Taylor’s claim. We also find a possible misspecification problem in using the ESTAR model that may not be detected with Taylor-approximation based tests.Purchasing Power Parity; Transition Autoregressive Process; inf-t Unit Root Test

    Non-thermal WIMP baryogenesis

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    We propose a WIMP baryogensis achieved by the annihilation of non-thermally produced WIMPs from decay of heavy particles, which can result in low reheating temerature. Dark matter (DM) can be produced non-thermally during a reheating period created by the decay of long-lived heavy particle, and subsequently re-annihilate to lighter particles even after the thermal freeze-out. The re-annihilation of DM provides the observed baryon asymmetry as well as the correct relic density of DM. We investigate how wahout effects can affect the generation of the baryon asymmetry and study a model suppressing them. In this scenario, we find that DM can be heavy enough and its annihilation cross section can also be larger than that adopted in the usual thermal WIMP baryogenesis.Comment: 5 pages, 6 figure

    Four-neutrino analysis of 1.5km-baseline reactor antineutrino oscillations

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    The masses of sterile neutrinos are not yet known, and depending on the orders of magnitudes, their existence may explain reactor anomalies or the spectral shape of reactor neutrino events at 1.5km-baseline detector. Here, we present four-neutrino analysis of the results announced by RENO and Daya Bay, which performed the definitive measurements of θ13\theta_{13} based on the disappearance of reactor antineutrinos at km-order baselines. Our results using 3+1 scheme include the exclusion curve of Δm412\Delta m^2_{41} vs. θ14\theta_{14} and the adjustment of θ13\theta_{13} due to correlation with θ14\theta_{14}. The value of θ13\theta_{13} obtained by RENO and Daya Bay with a three-neutrino oscillation analysis is included in the 1σ1\sigma interval of θ13\theta_{13} allowed by our four-neutrino analysis.Comment: 14 pages, 7 figures. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1303.617

    A Logical Model and Data Placement Strategies for MEMS Storage Devices

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    MEMS storage devices are new non-volatile secondary storages that have outstanding advantages over magnetic disks. MEMS storage devices, however, are much different from magnetic disks in the structure and access characteristics. They have thousands of heads called probe tips and provide the following two major access facilities: (1) flexibility: freely selecting a set of probe tips for accessing data, (2) parallelism: simultaneously reading and writing data with the set of probe tips selected. Due to these characteristics, it is nontrivial to find data placements that fully utilize the capability of MEMS storage devices. In this paper, we propose a simple logical model called the Region-Sector (RS) model that abstracts major characteristics affecting data retrieval performance, such as flexibility and parallelism, from the physical MEMS storage model. We also suggest heuristic data placement strategies based on the RS model and derive new data placements for relational data and two-dimensional spatial data by using those strategies. Experimental results show that the proposed data placements improve the data retrieval performance by up to 4.0 times for relational data and by up to 4.8 times for two-dimensional spatial data of approximately 320 Mbytes compared with those of existing data placements. Further, these improvements are expected to be more marked as the database size grows.Comment: 37 page
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