Stochastic Dominance Analysis of Bioenergy Crops as a Production Alternative on an East Tennessee Beef and Crop Farm

This study evaluated prices and incentives for switchgrass stated in a biorefinery’s contract terms that induce switchgrass production on an east Tennessee representative farm when compared with traditional enterprises. The alternate contract terms imitated current subsidies/incentives offered as well as incentives and cost share terms not in the BCAP.switchgrass, contract, risk aversion, net return, Farm Management, Production Economics, Resource /Energy Economics and Policy, Q12,

Production Economics of Potential Perennial and Annual Biomass Feedstocks

The first essay determines the lowest cost lignocellulosic biomass feedstock production system for western Oklahoma from among seven alternatives at each of two locations. Field experiments were conducted at the Southern Plains Range Research Station to test production of monoculture (one species) and diverse plantings (many species). The second essay compares crop yields in a continuous wheat system to yields in a canola-wheat system and determines whether the rotation is economically competitive with continuous monoculture wheat for the region in fields infested with feral rye and Italian ryegrass. Field trials were conducted at Lahoma, Lake Carl Blackwell, Chickasha, and Perkins using 24 different treatments for the canola-wheat rotation and eight treatments for continuous wheat. The third essay determines and compares the cost to deliver a year round flow of biomass to a biorefinery for both a system that uses forage sorghum exclusively and a system that uses switchgrass exclusively. A multi-region, multi-period, monthly time-step, mixed integer mathematical programming model was used to determine the cost to deliver a steady flow of biomass to a biorefineryFindings and Conclusions: The first essay found biomass yields of diverse mixtures were no greater than yields of monocultures. If the objective is to produce massive quantities of biomass for biorefinery feedstock under the constraint that land area is limited, for the conditions that prevailed at the western Oklahoma locations during the time of the study, internal economics favored monocultures of productive species. The second essay found wheat yields following canola are significantly greater than wheat yields experienced in continuous wheat and expected net returns are greater for canola-wheat rotations than for continuous wheat. A canola-wheat rotation may be an economically viable and effective crop production system for fields traditionally seeded to continuous winter wheat, especially if those fields are infested with feral rye and Italian ryegrass. The third essay found, that given the assumptions used in the study, a switchgrass system would be economically preferable to a forage sorghum system for producing and delivering a year round flow of biomass to a biorefinery. Though forage sorghum has an expected yield advantage over switchgrass and the forage sorghum system is expected to require less nitrogen fertilizer per ton produced, switchgrass has the advantage of a longer harvest window, more harvestable days in a harvest month, and the ability to be produced on both cropland and improved pasture land. By these measures, a flow of switchgrass biomass could be delivered to a biorefinery throughout the year at a lower cost than forage sorghum biomass.Department of Agricultural Economic

Improving Beef Cattle Profitability by Changing Calving Season Length

We determined the impacts of calving season length on net returns and variability in net returns for spring-and fall-calving herds in Tennessee. Weaning weight as a function of calving date was estimated using a 19-year data set and simulation models generated distributions of net returns for 45-, 60-, and 90-day calving periods with and without using hypothetical improved reproductive management (IRM) practices. Shortening the calving period from 90 days increased expected net returns in the spring-and fall-calving herds. The 45-day fall-calving period with IRM maximized profits, but an extremely risk-averse producer would select a 45-day fall-calving period without IRM

Cation Disorder and Lithium Insertion Mechanism of Wadsley-Roth Crystallographic Shear Phases from First Principles.

Wadsley-Roth crystallographic shear phases form a family of compounds that have attracted attention due to their excellent performance as lithium-ion battery electrodes. The complex crystallographic structure of these materials poses a challenge for first-principles computational modeling and hinders the understanding of their structural, electronic and dynamic properties. In this article, we study three different niobium-tungsten oxide crystallographic shear phases (Nb12WO33, Nb14W3O44, Nb16W5O55) using an enumeration-based approach and first-principles density-functional theory calculations. We report common principles governing the cation disorder, lithium insertion mechanism, and electronic structure of these materials. Tungsten preferentially occupies tetrahedral and block-central sites within the block-type crystal structures, and the local structure of the materials depends on the cation configuration. The lithium insertion proceeds via a three-step mechanism, associated with an anisotropic evolution of the host lattice. Our calculations reveal an important connection between long-range and local structural changes: in the second step of the mechanism, the removal of local structural distortions leads to the contraction of the lattice along specific crystallographic directions, buffering the volume expansion of the material. Niobium-tungsten oxide shear structures host small amounts of localized electrons during initial lithium insertion due to the confining effect of the blocks, but quickly become metallic upon further lithiation. We argue that the combination of local, long-range, and electronic structural evolution over the course of lithiation is beneficial to the performance of these materials as battery electrodes. The mechanistic principles we establish arise from the compound-independent crystallographic shear structure and are therefore likely to apply to niobium-titanium oxide or pure niobium oxide crystallographic shear phases.We acknowledge the use of Athena at HPC Midlands+, which was funded by the EPSRC on grant EP/P020232/1, in this research via the EPSRC RAP call of spring 2018. C.P.K. thanks the Winton Programme for the Physics of Sustainability and EPSRC for financial support. K.J.G. thanks the Winston Churchill Foundation of the United States and the Herchel Smith Foundation. K.J.G. and C.P.G. also thank the EPSRC for funding under a program grant (EP/M009521/1)

Lithium Diffusion in Niobium Tungsten Oxide Shear Structures.

Niobium tungsten oxides with crystallographic shear structures form a promising class of high-rate Li-ion anode materials. Lithium diffusion within these materials is studied in this work using density functional theory calculations, specifically nudged elastic band calculations and ab initio molecular dynamics simulations. Lithium diffusion is found to occur through jumps between 4-fold coordinated window sites with low activation barriers (80-300 meV) and is constrained to be effectively one-dimensional by the crystallographic shear planes of the structures. We identify a number of other processes, including rattling motions with barriers on the order of the thermal energy at room temperature, and intermediate barrier hops between 4-fold and 5-fold coordinated lithium sites. We demonstrate differences regarding diffusion pathways between different cavity types; within the ReO3-like block units of the structures, cavities at the corners and edges host more isolated diffusion tunnels than those in the interior. Diffusion coefficients are found to be in the range of 10-12 to 10-11 m2 s-1 for lithium concentrations of 0.5 Li/TM. Overall, the results provide a complete picture of the diffusion mechanism in niobium tungsten oxide shear structures, and the structure-property relationships identified in this work can be generalized to the entire family of crystallographic shear phases.Winton Programme for the Physics of Sustainability Winston Churchill Foundation Herchel Smith Foundatio

First-Principles Study of Localised and Delocalised Electronic States in Crystallographic Shear Phases of Niobium Oxide

Crystallographic shear phases of niobium oxide form an interesting family of compounds that have received attention both for their unusual electronic and magnetic properties, as well as their performance as intercalation electrode materials for lithium-ion batteries. Here, we present a first-principles density-functional theory study of the electronic structure and magnetism of H-Nb$_2$O$_5$, Nb$_{25}$O$_{62}$, Nb$_{47}$O$_{116}$, Nb$_{22}$O$_{54}$, and Nb$_{12}$O$_{29}$. These compounds feature blocks of niobium-oxygen octahedra as structural units, and we show that this block structure leads to a coexistence of flat and dispersive energy bands, corresponding to localised and delocalised electronic states. Electrons localise in orbitals spanning multiple niobium sites in the plane of the blocks. Localised and delocalised electronic states are both effectively one-dimensional and are partitioned between different types of niobium sites. Flat bands associated with localised electrons are present even at the GGA level, but a correct description of the localisation requires the use of GGA+U or hybrid functionals. We discuss the experimentally observed electrical and magnetic properties of niobium suboxides in light of our results, and argue that their behaviour is similar to that of $n$-doped semiconductors, but with a limited capacity for localised electrons. When a threshold of one electron per block is exceeded, metallic electrons are added to existing localised electrons. We propose that this behaviour of shear phases is general for any type of $n$-doping, and should transfer to doping by alkali metal (lithium) ions during operation of niobium oxide-based battery electrodes. Future directions for theory and experiment on mixed-metal shear phases are suggested

Soil stabilisation for DNA metabarcoding of plants and fungi. Implications for sampling at remote locations or via third-parties

Storage of soil samples prior to metagenomic analysis presents a problem. If field sites are remote or if samples are collected by third parties, transport to analytical laboratories may take several days or even weeks. The bulk of such samples and requirement for later homogenisation precludes the convenient use of a stabilisation buffer, so samples are usually cooled or frozen during transit. There has been limited testing of the most appropriate storage methods for later study of soil organisms by eDNA approaches. Here we tested a range of storage methods on two contrasting soils, comparing these methods to the control of freezing at -80 °C, followed by freeze-drying. To our knowledge, this is the first study to examine the effect of storage conditions on eukaryote DNA in soil, including both viable organisms (fungi) and DNA contained within dying/dead tissues (plants). For fungi, the best storage regimes (closest to the control) were storage at 4 °C (for up to 14 d) or active air-drying at room temperature. The worst treatments involved initial freezing, followed by thawing which led to significant later spoilage. The key spoilage organisms were identified as Metarhizium carneum and Mortierella spp., with a general increase in saprotrophic fungi and reduced abundances of mycorrhizal/biotrophic fungi. Plant data showed a similar pattern, but with greater variability in community structure, especially in the freeze-thaw treatments, probably due to stochastic variation in substrates for fungal decomposition, algal proliferation and some seed germination. In the absence of freeze drying facilities, samples should be shipped refrigerated, but not frozen if there is any risk of thawing

The Impact of a Visual Cheap Talk Script in an Online Choice Experiment

Hypothetical bias causes willingness to pay (WTP) values to be inaccurate and is a prevalent issue in choice experiments. Research has shown that a “cheap talk” script may reduce hypothetical bias ; however, it is uncertain which cheap talk script format is the best at controlling hypothetical bias . Therefore, we conduct a choice experiment using a between-subjects design in which half of the articipants saw a “visual” cheap talk script and  half saw a “text” cheap talk script prior to the choice sets. Random parameter logit model results indicate hypothetical bias was more prevalent when participants saw the visual cheap talk script compared to the more conventional text cheap talk script. Text learners also appeared to be less prone to hypothetical bias than visual learners

Perennial Warm-Season Grass Forages Impact on Cow-Calf Profitability in the Fescue Belt

Incorporating a perennial warm- season grass (WSG) into tall fescue (Lolium arundina-ceum [Schreb.] Darbysh.) forage systems in the fescue belt can help avoid the effects of fescue toxicosis on beef cattle (Bos taurus) reproduction and animal performance and provide forage during summer when fescue production is low. However, little information is available on the economics of incorporating WSG into fescue-based forage systems. We developed a simulation model to compare profitability of three forage systems—100% tall fescue, 70% tall fescue/30% bermudagrass (Cynodon dactylon), and 70% tall fescue/ 30% switchgrass (Panicum virgatum)—while also comparing spring- and fall-calving sea-sons on model beef cattle cow-calf operations in the fescue belt. Incorporating switch-grass increased profitability of tall fescue forage systems in both spring- and fall- calving herds, while adding bermudagrass increased profitability in spring-calving herds but not fall-calving herds. Spring-calving herds benefited the most from incorporating WSG, with profitability increases of $877 and$372 per hectare for switchgrass and bermudagrass, respectively, over the 100% tall fescue system. The order of profitability of forage systems did not change with randomly simulated decreases in rainfall and associated increased hay- feeding days, but with annual rainfall \u3e88% of the long- term average, fall- calving 100% tall fescue was more profitable than fall- calving 70% tall fescue/30% bermuda grass. Of the scenarios modeled, the results of the simulation suggest that a profit-maximizing producer would utilize a 70% tall fescue/30% switchgrass forage system