11 research outputs found

    Cauchy-Stieltjes families with polynomial variance functions and generalized orthogonality

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    This paper studies variance functions of Cauchy-Stieltjes Kernel families generated by compactly supported centered probability measures. We describe several operations that allow us to construct additional variance functions from known ones. We construct a class of examples which exhausts all cubic variance functions, and provide examples of polynomial variance functions of arbitrary degree. We also relate Cauchy-Stieltjes Kernel families with polynomial variance functions to generalized orthogonality. Our main results are stated solely in terms of classical probability; some proofs rely on analytic machinery of free probability.Comment: Minor typos correcte

    On Cauchy-Stieltjes Kernel Families

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    We explore properties of Cauchy-Stieltjes families that have no counterpart in exponential families. We relate the variance function of the iterated Cauchy-Stieltjes family to the pseudo-variance function of the initial Cauchy-Stieltjes family. We also investigate when the domain of means can be extended beyond the "natural domain"

    The evolving SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Africa: Insights from rapidly expanding genomic surveillance

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    INTRODUCTION Investment in Africa over the past year with regard to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) sequencing has led to a massive increase in the number of sequences, which, to date, exceeds 100,000 sequences generated to track the pandemic on the continent. These sequences have profoundly affected how public health officials in Africa have navigated the COVID-19 pandemic. RATIONALE We demonstrate how the first 100,000 SARS-CoV-2 sequences from Africa have helped monitor the epidemic on the continent, how genomic surveillance expanded over the course of the pandemic, and how we adapted our sequencing methods to deal with an evolving virus. Finally, we also examine how viral lineages have spread across the continent in a phylogeographic framework to gain insights into the underlying temporal and spatial transmission dynamics for several variants of concern (VOCs). RESULTS Our results indicate that the number of countries in Africa that can sequence the virus within their own borders is growing and that this is coupled with a shorter turnaround time from the time of sampling to sequence submission. Ongoing evolution necessitated the continual updating of primer sets, and, as a result, eight primer sets were designed in tandem with viral evolution and used to ensure effective sequencing of the virus. The pandemic unfolded through multiple waves of infection that were each driven by distinct genetic lineages, with B.1-like ancestral strains associated with the first pandemic wave of infections in 2020. Successive waves on the continent were fueled by different VOCs, with Alpha and Beta cocirculating in distinct spatial patterns during the second wave and Delta and Omicron affecting the whole continent during the third and fourth waves, respectively. Phylogeographic reconstruction points toward distinct differences in viral importation and exportation patterns associated with the Alpha, Beta, Delta, and Omicron variants and subvariants, when considering both Africa versus the rest of the world and viral dissemination within the continent. Our epidemiological and phylogenetic inferences therefore underscore the heterogeneous nature of the pandemic on the continent and highlight key insights and challenges, for instance, recognizing the limitations of low testing proportions. We also highlight the early warning capacity that genomic surveillance in Africa has had for the rest of the world with the detection of new lineages and variants, the most recent being the characterization of various Omicron subvariants. CONCLUSION Sustained investment for diagnostics and genomic surveillance in Africa is needed as the virus continues to evolve. This is important not only to help combat SARS-CoV-2 on the continent but also because it can be used as a platform to help address the many emerging and reemerging infectious disease threats in Africa. In particular, capacity building for local sequencing within countries or within the continent should be prioritized because this is generally associated with shorter turnaround times, providing the most benefit to local public health authorities tasked with pandemic response and mitigation and allowing for the fastest reaction to localized outbreaks. These investments are crucial for pandemic preparedness and response and will serve the health of the continent well into the 21st century

    The mean of the reciprocal in a Cauchy–Stieltjes family

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    Studies on the Marchenko–Pastur Law

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    In free probability, the theory of Cauchy–Stieltjes Kernel (CSK) families has recently been introduced. This theory is about a set of probability measures defined using the Cauchy kernel similarly to natural exponential families in classical probability that are defined by means of the exponential kernel. Within the context of CSK families, this article presents certain features of the Marchenko–Pastur law based on the Fermi convolution and the t-deformed free convolution. The Marchenko–Pastur law holds significant theoretical and practical implications in various fields, particularly in the analysis of random matrices and their applications in statistics, signal processing, and machine learning. In the specific context of CSK families, our study of the Marchenko–Pastur law is summarized as follows: Let K+(μ)={Qmμ(dx);m∈(m0μ,m+μ)} be the CSK family generated by a non-degenerate probability measure μ with support bounded from above. Denote by Qmμ•s the Fermi convolution power of order s>0 of the measure Qmμ. We prove that if Qmμ•s∈K+(μ), then μ is of the Marchenko–Pastur type law. The same result is obtained if we replace the Fermi convolution • with the t-deformed free convolution t
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