Water-related modelling in electric power systems: WATERFLEX Exploratory Research Project: version 1

Water is needed for energy. For instance, hydropower is the technology that generates more electricity worldwide after the fossil-fuelled power plants and its production depends on water availability and variability. Additionally, thermal power plants need water for cooling and thus generate electricity. On the other hand, energy is also needed for water. Given the increase of additional hydropower potential worldwide in the coming years, the high dependence of electricity generation with fossil-fuelled power plants, and the implications of the climate change, relevant international organisations have paid attention to the water-energy nexus (or more explicitly within a power system context, the water-power nexus). The Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, the United States Department of Energy, the Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies, the Midwest Energy Research Consortium and the Water Council, or the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, among others, have raised awareness about this nexus and its analysis as an integrated system. In order to properly analyse such linkages between the power and water sectors, there is a need for appropriate modelling frameworks and mathematical approaches. This report comprises the water-constrained models in electric power systems developed within the WATERFLEX Exploratory Research Project of the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre in order to analyse the water-power interactions. All these models are deemed modules of the Dispa-SET modelling tool. The version 1 of the medium-term hydrothermal coordination module is presented with some modelling extensions, namely the incorporation of transmission network constraints, water demands, and ecological flows. Another salient feature of this version of Dispa-SET is the modelling of the stochastic medium-term hydrothermal coordination problem. The stochastic problem is solved by using an efficient scenario-based decomposition technique, the so-called Progressive Hedging algorithm. This technique is an Augmented-Lagrangian-based decomposition method that decomposes the original problem into smaller subproblems per scenario. The Progressive Hedging algorithm has multiple advantages: — It is easy parallelizable due to its inherent structure. — It provides solution stability and better computational performance compared to Benders-like decomposition techniques (node-based decomposition). — It scales better for large-scale stochastic programming problems. — It has been widely used in the technical literature, thus demonstrating its efficiency. Its implementation has been carried out through the PySP software package which is part of the Coopr open-source Python repository for optimisation. This report also describes the cooling-related constraints included in the unit commitment and dispatch module of Dispa-SET. The cooling-related constraints encompass limitations on allowable maximum water withdrawals of thermal power plants and modelling of the power produced in terms of the river water temperature of the power plant inlet. Limitations on thermal releases or water withdrawals could be imposed due to physical or policy reasons. Finally, an offline and decoupled modelling framework is presented to link such modules with the rainfall-runoff hydrological LISFLOOD model. This modelling framework is able to accurately capture the water-power interactions. Some challenges and barriers to properly address the water-power nexus are also highlighted in the report.JRC.C.7-Knowledge for the Energy Unio

Systematic mapping of power system models: Expert survey

The power system is one of the main subsystems of larger energy systems. It is a complex system in itself, consisting of an ever-changing infrastructure used by a large number of actors of very different sizes. The boundaries of the power system are characterised by ever-evolving interfaces with equally complex subsystems such as gas transport and distribution, heating and cooling, and, increasingly, transport. The situation is further complicated by the fact that electricity is only a carrier, able to fulfil demand for such things as lighting, heat or mobility. One specific and fundamental feature of the electricity system is that demand and generation must match at any time, while satisfying technical and economic constraints. In most of the world’s power systems, only relatively small quantities of electricity can be stored, and only for limited periods of time. A detailed analysis of supply and demand is thus needed for short time intervals. Mathematical models facilitate power system planning, operation, transmission and distribution, demonstrating problems that need to be solved over different timescales and horizons. The use of modelling to understand these processes is not only vital for the system’s direct actors, i.e. the companies involved in the generation, trade, transmission, distribution and use of electricity, but also for policy-makers and regulators. Power system models can provide evidence to support policy-making at European Union, Member State and Regional level. As a consequence of the growth in computing power, mathematical models for power systems have become more accessible. The number of models available worldwide, and the degree of detail they provide, is growing fast. A proper mapping of power system models is therefore essential in order to: - provide an overview of power system models and their applications available in, or used by, European organisations; - analyse their modelling features; - identify modelling gaps. Few reviews have been conducted to date of the power system modelling landscape. The mission of the Knowledge for the Energy Union Unit of the Joint Research Centre (JRC) is to support policies related to the Energy Union by anticipating, mapping, collating, analysing, quality checking and communicating all relevant data/knowledge, including knowledge gaps, in a systematic and digestible way. This report therefore constitutes: - From the energy modelling perspective, a useful mapping exercise that could help promote knowledge-sharing and thus increase efficiency and transparency in the modelling community. It could trigger new, unexplored avenues of research. It also represents an ideal starting point for systematic review activities in the context of the power system. - From the knowledge management perspective, a useful blueprint to be adopted for similar mapping exercises in other thematic areas. Finally, this report is aligned with the objectives of the European Commission's Competence Centre on Modelling, (1) launched on 26 October 2017 and hosted by the JRC, which aims to promote a responsible, coherent and transparent use of modelling to support the evidence base for European Union policies. In order to meet the objectives of this report, an online survey was used to collect detailed and relevant information about power system models. The participants’ answers were processed to categorise and describe the modelling tools identified. The survey, conducted by the Knowledge for the Energy Union Unit of the JRC, comprised a set of questions for each model to ascertain its basic information, its users, software characteristics, modelling properties, mathematical description, policy-making applications, selected references, and more. The survey campaign was organised in two rounds between April and July 2017. 228 surveys were sent to power system experts and organisations, and 82 questionnaires were completed. The answers were processed to map the knowledge objectively. (2) The main results of the survey can be summarised as follows: - Software-related features: about two thirds of the models require third-party software such as commercial optimisation solvers or off-the-shelf software. Only 14% of the models are open source, while 11% are free to download. - Modelling-related features: models are mostly defined as optimisation problems (78%) rather than simulation (33%) or equilibrium problems (13%). 71% of the models solve a deterministic problem while 41% solve probabilistic or stochastic problems. - Modelled power system problems: the economic dispatch problem is the most commonly modelled problem with a share of approximately 70%, followed by generation expansion planning, unit commitment, and transmission expansion planning, with around 40‒43% each. Most of the models (57%) have non-public input data while 31% of models use open input data. - Modelled technologies: hydro, wind, thermal, storage and nuclear technologies are widely taken into account, featuring in around 83‒94% of models. However, HVDC, wave tidal, PSTs, and FACTS (3) are not often found unless the analysis is specifically performed for those technologies. - Applicability in the context of European energy policy: more than half of the mapped models (56%) were used to answer a specific policy question. Of the five Energy Union strategic dimensions, integration of the European Union internal energy market was addressed the most often (27%), followed by climate action (23%), research, innovation and competitiveness (21%), and energy efficiency (15%). This report includes JRC recommendations based on the results of the survey, on future research avenues for power system modelling and its applicability within the Energy Union strategic dimensions. More attention should be paid, for example, to model uncertainty features, and collaboration among researchers and practitioners should be promoted to intensify research into specific power system problems such as AC (4) optimal power flow. The report includes factsheets for each model analysed, summarising relevant characteristics based on the participants’ answers. While this report represents a scientific result per se, one of the expected (and welcomed) outcomes of this mapping exercise is to raise awareness of power system modelling activities among European policy makers.JRC.C.7-Knowledge for the Energy Unio

The water-energy nexus and the implications for the flexibility of the Greek power system

The operation of the power systems is constrained by the availability of water resources, which are necessary for cooling thermal power plants and determine the generation of hydro reservoirs and run-of-river power plants. The interactions between the water and power systems have impacts on the quantity and quality of the water resources, thus affecting human uses and the environment. The European power system has witnessed in the past several examples of the consequences of reduced availability of water, which range from monetary losses, to demand restrictions, or increased wear and tear of the power plants. The importance of these impacts, and the expectation that climate change will produce similar episodes in the future more often, raises several research questions relevant for policy making. Some of these questions may be addressed by WATERFLEX, an exploratory research project carried out by units C7 (Knowledge for the Energy Union) and D2 (Water and Marine Resources) of the European Commission's Joint Research Centre (JRC). The main goal of WATERFLEX is to assess the potential of hydropower as a source of flexibility to the European power system, as well as analysing the Water-Energy nexus against the background of the EU initiatives towards a low-carbon energy system. The method proposed in the WATERFLEX project for better representing and analysing the complex interdependencies between the power and water sectors consists of combining two of the modelling tools available at the JRC, the LISFLOOD hydrological model [1] and the Dispa-SET unit commitment and dispatch model [2], with a medium-term hydrothermal coordination model. In order to test and validate the proposed approach described above, this document describes a case study carried out to analyse the implications of different hydrologic scenarios for the flexibility of the Greek power system.JRC.C.7-Knowledge for the Energy Unio

The water-power nexus of the Iberian Peninsula power system: WATERFLEX project

Water availability influences power generation and its costs. Policies aimed at keeping the water stress index of thermal power plants within acceptable limits are needed. This report provides a model-based analysis of the water-power nexus in the Iberian Peninsula.JRC.C.7-Knowledge for the Energy Unio

Position Paper on Water, Energy, Food and Ecosystem (WEFE) Nexus and Sustainable development Goals (SDGs)

The EU and the international community is realising that the Water, Energy, Food and Ecosystem components are interlinked and require a joint planning in order to meet the daunting global challenges related to Water, Energy and Food security and maintaining the ecosystem health and in this way, reach the SDGs. If not dealt with, the world will not be able to meet the demand for water, energy and food in a not too far future and, in any case, in a not sustainable way. The strain on the ecosystems resulting from unsustainable single-sector planning will lead to increasing poverty, inequality and instability. The Nexus approach is fully aligned with and supportive of the EU Consensus on Development. Key elements of the Consensus will require collaborative efforts across sectors in ways that can be supported/implemented by a Nexus approach. In this way, transparent and accountable decision-making, involving the civil society is key and common to the European Consensus on Development and the Nexus approach. The Nexus approach will support the implementation of the SDG in particular SDG 2 (Food), SDG 6 (Water) and SDG 7 (Energy), but most SDGs have elements that link to food, water and energy in one or other way, and will benefit from a Nexus approach. The SDGs are designed to be cross-cutting and be implemented together, which is also reflected in a WEFE Nexus approach. A Nexus approach offers a sustainable way of addressing the effects of Climate Change and increase resilience. The WEFE Nexus has in it the main drivers of climate change (water, energy and food security) and the main affected sectors (water and the environment). Decisions around policy, infrastructure, … developed based on the WEFE Nexus assessments will be suitable as elements of climate change mitigation and adaptation. In fact, it is difficult to imagine solutions to the climate change issue that are not built on a form of Nexus approach. The Nexus approach is being implemented around the world, as examples in the literature demonstrate. These examples together with more examples from EU and member state development cooperation will help build experience that can be consolidated and become an important contribution to a Toolkit for WEFE Nexus Implementation. From the expert discussions, it appears that because of the novelty of the approach, a Toolkit will be an important element in getting the Nexus approach widely used. This should build on experiences from practical examples of NEXUS projects or similar inter-sectorial collaboration projects; and, there are already policy, regulation and practical experience to allow institutions and countries to start applying the Nexus concept.JRC.D.2-Water and Marine Resource

Quantifying the water-power linkage on hydrothermal power systems: A Greek case study

The scientific and policy relevance of the water-energy nexus in the power system is expected to increase in the future due to climate changes. The operation of the power system is constrained by the availability of water resources, which are necessary for hydropower generation and cooling thermal power plants. At the same time, water availability for non-energy purposes is affected by the power system requirements. In order to analyse this complex interdependency, this paper proposes an interdisciplinary modelling framework including the link of a hydrological model (LISFLOOD) and a power system model (Dispa-SET) within the WATERFLEX project, which aims at assessing the potential of hydropower as a source of flexibility to the European power system, as well as analysing the water-energy nexus against the background of the European Union initiatives towards a low-carbon energy system. Specifically, this paper focuses on the power system model used in WATERFLEX, which encompasses a medium-term hydrothermal coordination model (Dispa-SET MTHC) and a unit commitment and dispatch model (Dispa-SET UCD). The proposed approach is applied to the Greek power system to analyse the implications of different hydrological historical scenarios on the power system operation and economics, as well as the effect of the power system operation on the water availability. For this case study, this paper quantifies the generation costs, the environmental impacts, the water consumptions and withdrawals, as well as the water stress at different power plant locations throughout a year.JRC.C.7-Knowledge for the Energy Unio