Reionization and Beyond: detecting the peaks of the cosmological 21cm signal

[ABRIDGED] The cosmological 21cm signal is set to become the most powerful probe of the early Universe, with first generation interferometers aiming to make statistical detections of reionization. There is increasing interest also in the pre-reionization epoch when the intergalactic medium was heated by an early X-ray background. Here we perform parameter studies varying the halo masses hosting galaxies, and their X-ray production efficiencies. We also relate these to popular models of Warm Dark Matter cosmologies. For each parameter combination we compute the signal-to-noise (S/N) of the large-scale (k~0.1/Mpc) 21cm power for both reionization and X-ray heating for a 2000h observation with several instruments: 128 tile Murchison Wide Field Array (MWA128T), a 256 tile extension (MWA256T), the Low Frequency Array (LOFAR), the 128 element Precision Array for Probing the Epoch of Reionization (PAPER), and the second generation Square Kilometre Array (SKA). We show that X-ray heating and reionization in many cases are of comparable detectability. For fiducial astrophysical parameters, MWA128T might detect X-ray heating thanks to its extended bandpass. When it comes to reionization, both MWA128T and PAPER will also only achieve marginal detections, unless foregrounds on larger scales can be mitigated. On the other hand, LOFAR should detect plausible models of reionization at S/N > 10. The SKA will easily detect both X-ray heating and reionization.Comment: 13 pages, 10 figures, MNRAS in-pres

Detecting the 21 cm Forest in the 21 cm Power Spectrum

We describe a new technique for constraining the radio loud population of active galactic nuclei at high redshift by measuring the imprint of 21 cm spectral absorption features (the 21 cm forest) on the 21 cm power spectrum. Using semi-numerical simulations of the intergalactic medium and a semi-empirical source population we show that the 21 cm forest dominates a distinctive region of $k$-space, $k \gtrsim 0.5 \text{Mpc}^{-1}$. By simulating foregrounds and noise for current and potential radio arrays, we find that a next generation instrument with a collecting area on the order of $\sim 0.1\text{km}^2$ (such as the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array) may separately constrain the X-ray heating history at large spatial scales and radio loud active galactic nuclei of the model we study at small ones. We extrapolate our detectability predictions for a single radio loud active galactic nuclei population to arbitrary source scenarios by analytically relating the 21 cm forest power spectrum to the optical depth power spectrum and an integral over the radio luminosity function.Comment: 20 pages, 17 figures, accepted for publication in MNRA

Effects of Antenna Beam Chromaticity on Redshifted 21~cm Power Spectrum and Implications for Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array

Unaccounted for systematics from foregrounds and instruments can severely limit the sensitivity of current experiments from detecting redshifted 21~cm signals from the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). Upcoming experiments are faced with a challenge to deliver more collecting area per antenna element without degrading the data with systematics. This paper and its companions show that dishes are viable for achieving this balance using the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) as an example. Here, we specifically identify spectral systematics associated with the antenna power pattern as a significant detriment to all EoR experiments which causes the already bright foreground power to leak well beyond ideal limits and contaminate the otherwise clean EoR signal modes. A primary source of this chromaticity is reflections in the antenna-feed assembly and between structures in neighboring antennas. Using precise foreground simulations taking wide-field effects into account, we provide a framework to set cosmologically-motivated design specifications on these reflections to prevent further EoR signal degradation. We show HERA will not be impeded by such spectral systematics and demonstrate that even in a conservative scenario that does not perform removal of foregrounds, HERA will detect EoR signal in line-of-sight $k$-modes, $k_\parallel \gtrsim 0.2\,h$~Mpc$^{-1}$, with high significance. All baselines in a 19-element HERA layout are capable of detecting EoR over a substantial observing window on the sky.Comment: 11 pages, 6 figures (10 total including subfigures), submitted to Ap

Constraining High Redshift X-ray Sources with Next Generation 21 cm Power Spectrum Measurements

We use the Fisher matrix formalism and semi-numerical simulations to derive quantitative predictions of the constraints that power spectrum measurements on next-generation interferometers, such as the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) and the Square Kilometre Array (SKA), will place on the characteristics of the X-ray sources that heated the high redshift intergalactic medium. Incorporating observations between $z=5$ and $z=25$, we find that the proposed 331 element HERA and SKA phase 1 will be capable of placing $\lesssim 10\%$ constraints on the spectral properties of these first X-ray sources, even if one is unable to perform measurements within the foreground contaminated "wedge" or the FM band. When accounting for the enhancement in power spectrum amplitude from spin temperature fluctuations, we find that the observable signatures of reionization extend well beyond the peak in the power spectrum usually associated with it. We also find that lower redshift degeneracies between the signatures of heating and reionization physics lead to errors on reionization parameters that are significantly greater than previously predicted. Observations over the heating epoch are able to break these degeneracies and improve our constraints considerably. For these two reasons, 21\,cm observations during the heating epoch significantly enhance our understanding of reionization as well.Comment: 15 pages, 10 figures, Accepted to MNRA

The Radio Scream from Black Holes at Cosmic Dawn: A Semi-Analytic Model for the Impact of Radio Loud Black-Holes on the 21 cm Global Signal

We use a semi-analytic model to explore the potential impact of a brief and violent period of radio-loud accretion on to black holes (The Radio Scream) during the Cosmic Dawn on the H I hyperfine 21 cm signal. We find that radio emission from supermassive black hole seeds can impact the global 21 cm signal at the level of tens to hundreds of per cent provided that they were as radio loud as z ≈ 1 black holes and obscured by gas with column depths of N_H ≳ 10²³cm⁻². We determine plausible sets of parameters that reproduce some of the striking features of the EDGES absorption feature including its depth, timing, and side steepness while producing radio/X-ray backgrounds and source counts that are consistent with published limits. Scenarios yielding a dramatic 21 cm signature also predict large populations of ∼μJy point sources that will be detectable in future deep surveys from the Square Kilometer Array (SKA). Thus, 21 cm measurements, complemented by deep point-source surveys, have the potential to constrain optimistic scenarios where supermassive black hole progenitors were radio loud

Mapmaking for Precision 21 cm Cosmology

In order to study the "Cosmic Dawn" and the Epoch of Reionization with 21 cm tomography, we need to statistically separate the cosmological signal from foregrounds known to be orders of magnitude brighter. Over the last few years, we have learned much about the role our telescopes play in creating a putatively foreground-free region called the "EoR window." In this work, we examine how an interferometer's effects can be taken into account in a way that allows for the rigorous estimation of 21 cm power spectra from interferometric maps while mitigating foreground contamination and thus increasing sensitivity. This requires a precise understanding of the statistical relationship between the maps we make and the underlying true sky. While some of these calculations would be computationally infeasible if performed exactly, we explore several well-controlled approximations that make mapmaking and the calculation of map statistics much faster, especially for compact and highly redundant interferometers designed specifically for 21 cm cosmology. We demonstrate the utility of these methods and the parametrized trade-offs between accuracy and speed using one such telescope, the upcoming Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array, as a case study.Comment: 28 pages, 14 figures. Slightly revised to match published Physical Review D versio