Mortality along the continuum of HIV care in Rwanda: a model-based analysis

HIV is the leading cause of death among adults in sub-Saharan Africa. However, mortality along the HIV care continuum is poorly described. We combine demographic, epidemiologic, and health services data to estimate where are people with HIV dying along Rwanda's care continuum.; We calibrated an age-structured HIV disease and transmission stochastic simulation model to the epidemic in Rwanda. We estimate mortality among HIV-infected individuals in the following states: untested, tested without establishing care in an antiretroviral therapy (ART) program (unlinked), in care before initiating ART (pre-ART), lost to follow-up (LTFU) following ART initiation, and retained in active ART care. We estimated mortality among people living with HIV in Rwanda through 2025 under current conditions, and with improvements to the HIV care continuum.; In 2014, the greatest portion of deaths occurred among those untested (35.4%), followed by those on ART (34.1%), reflecting the large increase in the population on ART. Deaths among those LTFU made up 11.8% of all deaths among HIV-infected individuals in 2014, and in the base case this portion increased to 18.8% in 2025, while the contribution to mortality declined among those untested, unlinked, and in pre-ART. In our model only combined improvements to multiple aspects of the HIV care continuum were projected to reduce the total number of deaths among those with HIV, estimated at 8177 in 2014, rising to 10,659 in the base case, and declining to 5,691 with combined improvements in 2025.; Mortality among those untested for HIV contributes a declining portion of deaths among HIV-infected individuals in Rwanda, but the portion of deaths among those LTFU is expected to increase the most over the next decade. Combined improvements to the HIV care continuum might be needed to reduce the number of deaths among those with HIV

Spatio-temporal dynamics of malaria in Rwanda between 2012 and 2022:a demography-specific analysis

Background: Despite global efforts to reduce and eventually interrupt malaria transmission, the disease remains a pressing public health problem, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. This study presents a detailed spatio-temporal analysis of malaria transmission in Rwanda from 2012 to 2022. The main objective was to gain insights into the evolving patterns of malaria and to inform and tailor effective public health strategies. Methods: The study used yearly aggregated data of malaria cases from the Rwanda health management information system. We employed a multifaceted analytical approach, including descriptive statistics and spatio-temporal analysis across three demographic groups: children under the age of 5 years, and males and females above 5 years. Bayesian spatially explicit models and spatio scan statistics were utilised to examine geographic and temporal patterns of relative risks and to identify clusters of malaria transmission. Results: We observed a significant increase in malaria cases from 2014 to 2018, peaking in 2016 for males and females aged above 5 years with counts of 98,645 and 116,627, respectively and in 2018 for under 5-year-old children with 84,440 cases with notable geographic disparities. Districts like Kamonyi (Southern Province), Ngoma, Kayonza and Bugesera (Eastern Province) exhibited high burdens, possibly influenced by factors such as climate, vector control practices, and cross-border dynamics. Bayesian spatially explicit modeling revealed elevated relative risks in numerous districts, underscoring the heterogeneity of malaria transmission in these districts, and thus contributing to an overall rising trend in malaria cases until 2018, followed by a subsequent decline. Our findings emphasize that the heterogeneity of malaria transmission is potentially driven by ecologic, socioeconomic, and behavioural factors.Conclusions: The study underscores the complexity of malaria transmission in Rwanda and calls for climate adaptive, gender-, age- and district-specific strategies in the national malaria control program. The emergence of both artemisinin and pyrethoids resistance and persistent high transmission in some districts necessitates continuous monitoring and innovative, data-driven approaches for effective and sustainable malaria control. Graphical Abstract: (Figure presented.)</p

Life expectancy among HIV-positive patients in Rwanda: a retrospective observational cohort study

Background Rwanda has achieved substantial progress in scaling up of antiretroviral therapy. We aimed to assess the eff ect of increased access to antiretroviral therapy on life expectancy among HIV-positive patients in two distinct periods of lower and higher antiretroviral therapy coverage (1997–2007 and 2008–11). Methods In a retrospective observational cohort study, we collected clinical and demographic data for all HIV-positive patients enrolled in care at 110 health facilities across all fi ve provinces of Rwanda. We included patients aged 15 years or older with a known enrolment date between 1997 and 2014. We constructed abridged life tables from age-specifi c mortality rates and life expectancy stratifi ed by sex, CD4 cell count, and WHO disease stage at enrolment in care and initiation of antiretroviral therapy. Findings We included 72 061 patients in this study, contributing 213 983 person-years of follow-up. The crude mortality rate was 33·4 deaths per 1000 person-years (95% CI 32·7–34·2). Life expectancy for the overall cohort was 25·6 additional years (95% CI 25·1–26·1) at 20 years of age and 23·3 additional years (95% CI 22·9–23·7) at 35 years of age. Life expectancy at 20 years of age in the period of 1997–2007 was 20·4 additional years (95% CI 19·5–21·3); for the period of 2008–11, life expectancy had increased to 25·6 additional years (95% CI 24·8–26·4). Individuals enrolling in care with CD4 cell counts of 500 cells per μL or more, and with WHO disease stage I, had the highest life expectancies. Interpretation This study adds to the growing body of evidence showing the benefi t to HIV-positive patients of early enrolment in care and initiation of antiretroviral therapy

The role of community health workers and local leaders in reducing attrition among participant in the AIDS indicator survey and HIV incidence in a national cohort study in Rwanda

Retention of participants in longitudinal prospective surveys can challenging for population health researchers. Community health workers (CHWs) may help reduce attrition.; We used data came from a longitudinal prospective household-based survey targeting women and men in Rwanda, collected between June 2013 and December 2014. The sample was drawn from a population that included all residents of all 30 districts, 416 sectors, and 14,837 villages in Rwanda. The outcome measure was time to loss-to-follow-up. Follow up visits occurred at three, six and nine, and 12 months. A Cox proportional hazards model was constructed to identify factors independently associated with time to loss-to-follow-up.; Overall, 14,222 respondents consented to be interviewed at baseline. At the end of 12 months of follow up, 13,728 were revisited and consented to participate at 12 months of follow up. The overall attrition rate was 8.0%. A majority of those lost (54.3%) were less than 25 years of age, male (55.1%), not living in union (67.3%), had no education level or had primary education level (71.4%), or were in the highest wealth index (54.2%). Compared to illiterate, secondary education was negatively associated with attrition.; The Rwanda AIDS indicator and HIV incidence survey recorded a very high retention of participants after 12 months. CHWs and local leaders played a major role to reduce attrition rate and identifying factors associated with loss-to-follow-up can help CHWs strengthen the quality of longitudinal survey data

Addressing the mental health needs of children affected by HIV in Rwanda: validation of a rapid depression screening tool for children 7–14 years old

Background: Depression in children presents a significant health burden to society and often co-exists with chronic illnesses, such as human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Research has demonstrated that 10–37% of children and adolescents living with HIV also suffer from depression. Low-and-middle income countries (LMICs) shoulder a disproportionate burden of HIV among other health challenges, but reliable estimates of co-morbid depression are lacking in these settings. Prior studies in Rwanda, a LMIC of 12 million people in East Africa, found that 25% of children living with HIV met criteria for depression. Though depression may negatively affect adherence to HIV treatment among children and adolescents, most LMICs fail to routinely screen children for mental health problems due to a shortage of trained health care providers. While some screening tools exist, they can be costly to implement in resource-constrained settings and are often lacking a contextual appropriateness. Methods: Relying on international guidelines for diagnosing depression, Rwandan health experts developed a freely available, open-access Child Depression Screening Tool (CDST). To validate this tool in Rwanda, a sample of 296 children with a known diagnosis of HIV between ages 7–14 years were recruited as study participants. In addition to completing the CDST, all participants were evaluated by a mental health professional using a structured clinical interview. The validity of the CDST was assessed in terms of sensitivity, specificity, and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: This analysis found that depression continues to be a co-morbid condition among children living with HIV in Rwanda. For identifying these at-risk children, the CDST had a sensitivity of 88.1% and specificity of 96.5% in identifying risk for depression among children living with HIV at a cutoff score of 6 points. This corresponded with an area under the ROC curve of 92.3%. Conclusions: This study provides evidence that the CDST is a valid tool for screening depression among children affected by HIV in a resource-constrained setting. As an open-access and freely available tool in LMICs, the CDST can allow any health practitioner to identify children at risk of depression and refer them in a timely manner to more specialized mental health services. Future work can show if and how this tool has the potential to be useful in screening depression in children suffering from other chronic illnesses

Human Papilloma Virus Associated Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck

Oral cancer is one of the commonest causes for mortality and morbidity with squamous cell carcinoma being the sixth most frequent malignant tumour worldwide. In addition to tobacco and alcohol, human papilloma virus (HPV) is associated with a proportion of head and neck cancers. As in cervical cancers, HPV types 16 and 18 are the cause of malignant transformation. HPV-positive cancers of head and neck have unique characteristics such as occurrence in a younger age group, distinct clinical and molecular features, and better prognosis as compared to HPV-negative carcinomas. They also possess the potential for prevention by using vaccination. The present review describes in detail the salient features of HPV associated oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), its differences from HPV-negative OSCC, diagnostic features, and recent strategies in prevention and management