Adoption of GM crops in Ghana: Ex ante estimations for insect-resistant cowpea and nitrogen-use efficient rice

This paper uses an innovative research process to quantify the potential impacts of releasing and adopting insect-resistant (IR) cowpea and nitrogen-use efficient (NUE) rice in Ghana using an economic surplus partial equilibrium model. The premise of the research process was to build national capacity to produce timely and robust estimates, based on secondary data and qualified experts’ informed opinions, collected in country. Ghana’s stakeholders selected the two genetically modified (GM) technologies discussed here based on their assessment of these GM products’ regulatory advancement and their economic and political importance. Using assumptions regarding the expected changes from the adoption and commercialization of these crops, collected from national and international crop and technology experts, the authors estimate that the benefits of adopting IR cowpea are between US$5.5 million and US$125.3 million, and between US$1.9 million and US$153 million for NUE rice. The analysis also shows how a five-year regulatory delay may erode these benefits, reducing them by between 29 and 39 percent for IR cowpea and between 28 and 57 percent for NUE rice. Additionally, the authors make preliminary estimates of sex-disaggregated benefits and calculate the unequal distribution of benefits between female and male producers and consumers owing to gender disparities in production and consumption. The welfare estimations are based on an economic surplus model that were estimated using the DREAM software. Although this partial equilibrium model has limitations regarding market-clearing assumptions and is specific to a product, it is a data-parsimonious method that can produce results in a short time frame, which might better suit policymakers’ and decision makers’ demands for rapid estimations.Non-PRIFPRI1; DCA; CRP2; 4 Transforming Agricultural and Rural Economies; Capacity Strengthening; BioRAPPEPTD; PIMCGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Markets (PIM

Impact of voice reminders to reinforce harvest aggregation services training for farmers in Mali

Dofiles, ready-for-analysis data used in the analysis published in the Final Report to 3ie on the project, "Impact of voice reminders to reinforce harvest aggregation services training for farmers in Mali" (project code TW4.1016). This project was funded as part of the Agricultural Innovation Thematic Window round

Opportunities for orphan crops: Expected economic benefits from biotechnology

An enabling, evidence-based decision-making framework is critical to support agricultural biotechnology innovation, and to ensure farmers’ access to genetically modified (GM) crops, including orphan crop varieties. A key element, and often a challenge in the decision-making process, involves the balancing of identified potential risks with expected economic benefits from GM crops. The latter is particularly challenging in the case of orphan crops, for which solid economic data is scarce. To address this challenge, the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) in collaboration with local economists analyzed the expected economic benefits to farmers and consumers from the adoption of GM crops in 5 sub-Saharan African countries. This paper focuses on case studies involving insect-resistant cowpea in Nigeria and Ghana; disease-resistant cassava in Uganda and Tanzania; and disease-resistant banana in Uganda. Estimations from these case studies show substantial economic benefits to farmers and consumers from the timely adoption and planting in farmers’ fields of GM orphan crops. Our analysis also shows how the benefits would significantly be reduced by regulatory or other delays that affect the timely release of these crops. These findings underscore the importance of having an enabling policy environment and regulatory system—covering, among other elements, biosafety and food/feed safety assessment, and varietal release registration—that is efficient, predictable, and transparent to ensure that the projected economic benefits are delivered and realized in a timely manner