36 research outputs found

    The Determinants Of Capital Flight: Evidence From MENA Countries

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    This paper examines the determinants of capital flight in seven Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries during the period of 1981-2008. The results are robust to four econometrics techniques: Ordinary least Squares, Fixed effects, Random Effects, and Seemingly Unrelated Regression Model. The empirical findings indicate that the capital flight in MENA countries is driven mainly by lag capital flight, external debt, foreign direct investment, real GDP growth rate and uncertainty. Based on these results, the paper recommends that governments in these countries should manage their external debt efficiently, and stabilize their monetary and macroeconomic policies in order to staunch capital flight

    Location prediction based on a sector snapshot for location-based services

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    In location-based services (LBSs), the service is provided based on the users' locations through location determination and mobility realization. Most of the current location prediction research is focused on generalized location models, where the geographic extent is divided into regular-shaped cells. These models are not suitable for certain LBSs where the objectives are to compute and present on-road services. Such techniques are the new Markov-based mobility prediction (NMMP) and prediction location model (PLM) that deal with inner cell structure and different levels of prediction, respectively. The NMMP and PLM techniques suffer from complex computation, accuracy rate regression, and insufficient accuracy. In this paper, a novel cell splitting algorithm is proposed. Also, a new prediction technique is introduced. The cell splitting is universal so it can be applied to all types of cells. Meanwhile, this algorithm is implemented to the Micro cell in parallel with the new prediction technique. The prediction technique, compared with two classic prediction techniques and the experimental results, show the effectiveness and robustness of the new splitting algorithm and prediction technique

    Financial and monetary policy responses to oil price shocks: evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries

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    In this study, we investigate the financial and monetary policy responses to oil price shocks using a Structural VAR framework. We distinguish between net oil-importing and net oil-exporting countries. Since the 80s, a significant number of empirical studies have been published investigating the effect of oil prices on macroeconomic and financial variables. Most of these studies though, do not make a distinction between oil-importing and oil-exporting economies. Overall, our results indicate that the level of inflation in both net oil-exporting and net oil-importing countries is significantly affected by oil price innovations. Furthermore, we find that the response of interest rates to an oil price shock depends heavily on the monetary policy regime of each country. Finally, stock markets operating in net oil-importing countries exhibit a negative response to increased oil prices. The reverse is true for the stock market of the net oil-exporting countries. We find evidence that the magnitude of stock market responses to oil price shocks is higher for the newly established and/or less liquid stock market

    A new routing area displacement prediction for Location-Based Services based on an enhanced ant colony, 

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    peer reviewedIn Location-Based Services (LBSs), the service is provided based on the users' locations through location determination and mobility anticipation. Most of the current location prediction research focuses on generalised location models, where the geographic extent is divided into regular shape cells. One such technique is the Mobility Prediction based on an Ant System (MPAS), which depends on the earlier Ant Colony Optimisation (ACO) that suffers from problems such as search stagnation and pheromone update. In this paper, a New Routing Area Displacement Prediction (NRADP) is introduced, which works on the routing-area level instead of the cell level. Experimental results show that the NRADP offers improved effectiveness, higher prediction rate, and a reduced search stagnation ratio in comparison with the MPAS.,
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