- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 30/10/2018
- Field of study
No full text
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 15/03/2008
- Field of study
No full text
- Publication venue
- 'Science China Press., Co. Ltd.'
- Publication date
- Field of study
No full text
- Publication venue
- 'Science China Press., Co. Ltd.'
- Publication date
- Field of study
No full text
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2019
- Field of study
No full text
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- Field of study
No full text风险分类是对气候变化风险进行系统风险评估和管理的前提和基础。本文首先按部门和领域识别了主要的气候变化风险,然后采用国际风险管理理事会(InternationalRiskGov-ernanceCouncil,IRGC)的新型风险分类体系(简单风险、复杂风险、不确定风险和模糊风险)进行分类:提出以"不确定性"作为分类依据;把IPCC第四次评估报告中描述不确定性的主要术语——"信度"和"可能性"作为分类特征参数,分别构建了四类风险的模糊隶属函数,根据最大隶属度原则从定量角度对气候变化风险进行分类;同时利用IPCC的两个定性指标"达成一致的程度和证据量"对定量分类方法进行补充,初步建立了气候变化风险的分类方法体系。获得的气候变化风险分类的初步结果,可以为风险管理机构选择不同类别的评估和管理方法进行风险研究提供科学依据。国家科技支撑计划项目(2006BAD20B05
- Publication venue
- 'Science China Press., Co. Ltd.'
- Publication date
- Field of study
No full text
- Publication venue
- 'Science China Press., Co. Ltd.'
- Publication date
- Field of study
No full text
- Publication venue
- 'Science China Press., Co. Ltd.'
- Publication date
- Field of study
No full text