316 research outputs found
Agents with dycotomic goals which generate a rank-size distribution
Many explanations have been proposed for the rank-size rule or power law in city size
distribution based on a probabilistic process [4]. These explanations are usually opposed
to that proposed by Zipf [11] who explained the rank-size rule as the result of the application
of the principle of least eļ¬ort. In his opinion, by using this principle, it is possible to
ļ¬nd an equilibrium between the two opposite forces of diversiļ¬cation and of uniļ¬cation.
In fact, because the main components of the system are resources, people and products,
the ļ¬rst force brings people near to resources, and the latter brings products near to
people. Even these notions are simple, and are accepted in the spatial economic ļ¬eld [5]
it is not clear how a rank-size rule can be derived from it[2].
In this paper I will show how a rank-size distribution can be generated by using multiagent
interaction which uses a probabilistic law to obtain opposing goals that correspond
to uniļ¬cation and diversiļ¬cation forces. This paper is divided in two sections: the ļ¬rst
section presents a model based on agents pursuing opposite goals; the second discusses
the model in relation to the previously proposed models
Breaking the Degeneracy: Optimal Use of Three-point Weak Lensing Statistics
We study the optimal use of third order statistics in the analysis of weak
lensing by large-scale structure. These higher order statistics have long been
advocated as a powerful tool to break measured degeneracies between
cosmological parameters. Using ray-tracing simulations, incorporating important
survey features such as a realistic depth-dependent redshift distribution, we
find that a joint two- and three-point correlation function analysis is a much
stronger probe of cosmology than the skewness statistic. We compare different
observing strategies, showing that for a limited survey time there is an
optimal depth for the measurement of third-order statistics, which balances
statistical noise and cosmic variance against signal amplitude. We find that
the chosen CFHTLS observing strategy was optimal and forecast that a joint two-
and three-point analysis of the completed CFHTLS-Wide will constrain the
amplitude of the matter power spectrum to 10% and the matter density
parameter to 17%, a factor of ~2.5 improvement on the two-point
analysis alone. Our error analysis includes all non-Gaussian terms, finding
that the coupling between cosmic variance and shot noise is a non-negligible
contribution which should be included in any future analytical error
calculations.Comment: 27 pages, 13 figures, 3 table
Terrorism - A Concept Under Construction: The Use of the Term in Mexican Congressional Debates in the First Half of the XX Century
The paper focuses on the perceptions of āterrorismā that Mexican politicians developed in the initial decades of the 20th century, and which definitions did emerge in the Congressional debates. The aim is to assess which events were crucial in shaping an official narrative of the phenomenon, and, in doing so, it will apply the Foucaultian theory, looking at the issue of discontinuity, which provides an analytical key to assess the whens and whys for the emergence of a State-centered discourse on terrorism
Dependence of cosmic shear covariances on cosmology - Impact on parameter estimation
In cosmic shear likelihood analyses the covariance is most commonly assumed
to be constant in parameter space. Therefore, when calculating the covariance
matrix (analytically or from simulations), its underlying cosmology should not
influence the likelihood contours. We examine whether the aforementioned
assumption holds and quantify how strong cosmic shear covariances vary within a
reasonable parameter range. Furthermore, we examine the impact on likelihood
contours when assuming different cosmologies in the covariance. We find that
covariances vary significantly within the considered parameter range
(Omega_m=[0.2;0.4], sigma_8=[0.6;1.0]) and that this has a non-negligible
impact on the size of likelihood contours. This impact increases with
increasing survey size, increasing number density of source galaxies,
decreasing ellipticity noise, and when using non-Gaussian covariances. To
improve on the assumption of a constant covariance we present two methods. The
adaptive covariance is the most accurate method, but it is computationally
expensive. To reduce the computational costs we give a scaling relation for
covariances. As a second method we outline the concept of an iterative
likelihood analysis. Here, we additionally account for non-Gaussianity using a
ray-tracing covariance derived from the Millennium simulation.Comment: 11 pages, 8 figure
Intrinsic galaxy shapes and alignments II: Modelling the intrinsic alignment contamination of weak lensing surveys
Intrinsic galaxy alignments constitute the major astrophysical systematic of
forthcoming weak gravitational lensing surveys but also yield unique insights
into galaxy formation and evolution. We build analytic models for the
distribution of galaxy shapes based on halo properties extracted from the
Millennium Simulation, differentiating between early- and late-type galaxies as
well as central galaxies and satellites. The resulting ellipticity correlations
are investigated for their physical properties and compared to a suite of
current observations. The best-faring model is then used to predict the
intrinsic alignment contamination of planned weak lensing surveys. We find that
late-type galaxy models generally have weak intrinsic ellipticity correlations,
marginally increasing towards smaller galaxy separation and higher redshift.
The signal for early-type models at fixed halo mass strongly increases by three
orders of magnitude over two decades in galaxy separation, and by one order of
magnitude from z=0 to z=2. The intrinsic alignment strength also depends
strongly on halo mass, but not on galaxy luminosity at fixed mass, or galaxy
number density in the environment. We identify models that are in good
agreement with all observational data, except that all models over-predict
alignments of faint early-type galaxies. The best model yields an intrinsic
alignment contamination of a Euclid-like survey between 0.5-10% at z>0.6 and on
angular scales larger than a few arcminutes. Cutting 20% of red foreground
galaxies using observer-frame colours can suppress this contamination by up to
a factor of two.Comment: 23 pages, 14 figures; minor changes to match version published in
MNRA
Weak lensing from space: first cosmological constraints from three-point shear statistics
We use weak lensing data from the Hubble Space Telescope COSMOS survey to
measure the second- and third-moments of the cosmic shear field, estimated from
about 450,000 galaxies with average redshift ~ 1.3. We measure two- and
three-point shear statistics using a tree-code, dividing the signal in E, B and
mixed components. We present a detection of the third-order moment of the
aperture mass statistic and verify that the measurement is robust against
systematic errors caused by point spread function (PSF) residuals and by the
intrinsic alignments between galaxies. The amplitude of the measured
three-point cosmic shear signal is in very good agreement with the predictions
for a WMAP7 best-fit model, whereas the amplitudes of potential systematics are
consistent with zero. We make use of three sets of large Lambda CDM simulations
to test the accuracy of the cosmological predictions and to estimate the
influence of the cosmology-dependent covariance. We perform a likelihood
analysis using the measurement and find that the Omega_m-sigma_8 degeneracy
direction is well fitted by the relation: sigma_8
(Omega_m/0.30)^(0.49)=0.78+0.11/-0.26. We present the first measurement of a
more generalised three-point shear statistic and find a very good agreement
with the WMAP7 best-fit cosmology. The cosmological interpretation of this
measurement gives sigma_8 (Omega_m/0.30)^(0.46)=0.69 +0.08/-0.14. Furthermore,
the combined likelihood analysis of this measurement with the measurement of
the second order moment of the aperture mass improves the accuracy of the
cosmological constraints, showing the high potential of this combination of
measurements to infer cosmological constraints.Comment: 17 pages, 11 figures. MNRAS submitte
Self Calibration of Tomographic Weak Lensing for the Physics of Baryons to Constrain Dark Energy
Numerical studies indicate that uncertainties in the treatment of baryonic
physics can affect predictions for shear power spectra at a level that is
significant for forthcoming surveys such as DES, SNAP, and LSST.
Correspondingly, we show that baryonic effects can significantly bias dark
energy parameter measurements. Eliminating such biases by neglecting
information in multipoles beyond several hundred leads to weaker parameter
constraints by a factor of approximately 2 to 3 compared with using information
out to multipoles of several thousand. Fortunately, the same numerical studies
that explore the influence of baryons indicate that they primarily affect power
spectra by altering halo structure through the relation between halo mass and
mean effective halo concentration. We explore the ability of future weak
lensing surveys to constrain both the internal structures of halos and the
properties of the dark energy simultaneously as a first step toward self
calibrating for the physics of baryons. This greatly reduces parameter biases
and no parameter constraint is degraded by more than 40% in the case of LSST or
30% in the cases of SNAP or DES. Modest prior knowledge of the halo
concentration relation greatly improves even these forecasts. Additionally, we
find that these surveys can constrain effective halo concentrations near
m~10^14 Msun/h and z~0.2 to better than 10% with shear power spectra alone.
These results suggest that inferring dark energy parameters with measurements
of shear power spectra can be made robust to baryonic effects and may
simultaneously be competitive with other methods to inform models of galaxy
formation. (Abridged)Comment: 18 pages, 11 figures. Minor changes reflecting referee's comments.
Results and conclusions unchanged. Accepted for publication in Physical
Review
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