Evidence for horizon-scale power from CMB polarization

The CMB temperature power spectrum offers ambiguous evidence for the existence of horizon-scale power in the primordial power spectrum due to uncertainties in spatial curvature and the physics of cosmic acceleration as well as the observed low quadrupole. Current polarization data from WMAP provide evidence for horizon-scale power that is robust to these uncertainties. Polarization on the largest scales arises mainly from scattering at z<6 when the universe is fully ionized, making the evidence robust to ionization history variations at higher redshifts as well. A cutoff in the power spectrum is limited to C=k_C/10^{-4} Mpc^{-1}<5.2 (95% CL) by polarization, only slightly weaker than joint temperature and polarization constraints in flat LCDM (C<4.2). Planck should improve the polarization limit to C<3.6 for any model of the acceleration epoch and ionization history as well as provide tests for foreground and systematic contamination.Comment: 4 pages, 2 figures; submitted to Phys. Rev. D (Rapid Communications). Code for modified reionization in CAMB and CosmoMC available at http://background.uchicago.edu/camb_rpc

The Maximum B-mode Polarization of the Cosmic Microwave Background from Inhomogeneous Reionization

We compute the B-mode polarization power spectrum of the CMB from an epoch of inhomogeneous reionization, using a simple model in which HII regions are represented by ionized spherical bubbles with a log normal distribution of sizes whose clustering properties are determined by large-scale structure. Both the global ionization fraction and the characteristic radius of HII regions are allowed to be free functions of redshift. Models that would produce substantial contamination to degree scale gravitational wave B-mode measurements have power that is dominated by the shot noise of the bubbles. Rare bubbles of >100 Mpc at z>20 can produce signals that in fact exceed the B-modes from gravitational lensing and are comparable to the maximal allowed signal of gravitational waves (~0.1uK) while still being consistent with global constraints on the total optical depth. Even bubbles down to 20 Mpc at z~15, or 40 Mpc at z~10 can be relevant (0.01uK) once the lensing signal is removed either statistically or directly. However, currently favored theoretical models that have ionization bubbles that only grow to such sizes at the very end of a fairly prompt and late reionization produce signals which are at most at these levels.Comment: 14 pages, 11 figures; published in ApJ; corrected Fig. 4 and updated reference

Figures of merit for present and future dark energy probes

We compare current and forecasted constraints on dynamical dark energy models from Type Ia supernovae and the cosmic microwave background using figures of merit based on the volume of the allowed dark energy parameter space. For a two-parameter dark energy equation of state that varies linearly with the scale factor, and assuming a flat universe, the area of the error ellipse can be reduced by a factor of ~10 relative to current constraints by future space-based supernova data and CMB measurements from the Planck satellite. If the dark energy equation of state is described by a more general basis of principal components, the expected improvement in volume-based figures of merit is much greater. While the forecasted precision for any single parameter is only a factor of 2-5 smaller than current uncertainties, the constraints on dark energy models bounded by -1<w<1 improve for approximately 6 independent dark energy parameters resulting in a reduction of the total allowed volume of principal component parameter space by a factor of ~100. Typical quintessence models can be adequately described by just 2-3 of these parameters even given the precision of future data, leading to a more modest but still significant improvement. In addition to advances in supernova and CMB data, percent-level measurement of absolute distance and/or the expansion rate is required to ensure that dark energy constraints remain robust to variations in spatial curvature.Comment: 9 pages, 7 figures; submitted to Phys. Rev.

Model-independent constraints on reionization from large-scale CMB polarization

On large angular scales, the polarization of the CMB contains information about the evolution of the average ionization during the epoch of reionization. Interpretation of the polarization spectrum usually requires the assumption of a fixed functional form for the evolution, e.g. instantaneous reionization. We develop a model-independent method where a small set of principal components completely encapsulate the effects of reionization on the large-angle E-mode polarization for any reionization history within an adjustable range in redshift. Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, we apply this approach to both the 3-year WMAP data and simulated future data. WMAP data constrain two principal components of the reionization history, approximately corresponding to the total optical depth and the difference between the contributions to the optical depth at high and low redshifts. The optical depth is consistent with the constraint found in previous analyses of WMAP data that assume instantaneous reionization, with only slightly larger uncertainty due to the expanded set of models. Using the principal component approach, WMAP data also place a 95% CL upper limit of 0.08 on the contribution to the optical depth from redshifts z>20. With improvements in polarization sensitivity and foreground modeling, approximately five of the principal components can ultimately be measured. Constraints on the principal components, which probe the entire reionization history, can test models of reionization, provide model-independent constraints on the optical depth, and detect signatures of high-redshift reionization.Comment: 14 pages, 13 figures; submitted to Ap

Hiding dark energy transitions at low redshift

We show that it is both observationally allowable and theoretically possible to have large fluctuations in the dark energy equation of state as long as they occur at ultra-low redshifts z<0.02. These fluctuations would masquerade as a local transition in the Hubble rate of a few percent or less and escape even future, high precision, high redshift measurements of the expansion history and structure. Scalar field models that exhibit this behavior have a sharp feature in the potential that the field traverses within a fraction of an e-fold of the present. The equation of state parameter can become arbitrarily large if a sharp dip or bump in the potential causes the kinetic and potential energy of the field to both be large and have opposite sign. While canonical scalar field models can decrease the expansion rate at low redshift, increasing the local expansion rate requires a non-canonical kinetic term for the scalar field.Comment: 4 pages, 2 figures; submitted to Phys. Rev. D (Brief Report

Testing dark energy paradigms with weak gravitational lensing

Any theory invoked to explain cosmic acceleration predicts consistency relations between the expansion history, structure growth, and all related observables. Currently there exist high-quality measurements of the expansion history from Type Ia supernovae, the cosmic microwave background temperature and polarization spectra, and baryon acoustic oscillations. We can use constraints from these datasets to predict what future probes of structure growth should observe. We apply this method to predict what range of cosmic shear power spectra would be expected if we lived in a LambdaCDM universe, with or without spatial curvature, and what results would be inconsistent and therefore falsify the model. Though predictions are relaxed if one allows for an arbitrary quintessence equation of state $-1\le w(z)\le 1$, we find that any observation that rules out LambdaCDM due to excess lensing will also rule out all quintessence models, with or without early dark energy. We further explore how uncertainties in the nonlinear matter power spectrum, e.g. from approximate fitting formulas such as Halofit, warm dark matter, or baryons, impact these limits.Comment: 12 pages, 11 figures, submitted to PR

Testing flatness of the universe with probes of cosmic distances and growth

When using distance measurements to probe spatial curvature, the geometric degeneracy between curvature and dark energy in the distance-redshift relation typically requires either making strong assumptions about the dark energy evolution or sacrificing precision in a more model-independent approach. Measurements of the redshift evolution of the linear growth of perturbations can break the geometric degeneracy, providing curvature constraints that are both precise and model-independent. Future supernova, CMB, and cluster data have the potential to measure the curvature with an accuracy of sigma(Omega_K)=0.002, without specifying a particular dark energy phenomenology. In combination with distance measurements, the evolution of the growth function at low redshifts provides the strongest curvature constraint if the high-redshift universe is well approximated as being purely matter dominated. However, in the presence of early dark energy or massive neutrinos, the precision in curvature is reduced due to additional degeneracies, and precise normalization of the growth function relative to recombination is important for obtaining accurate constraints. Curvature limits from distances and growth compare favorably to other approaches to curvature estimation proposed in the literature, providing either greater accuracy or greater freedom from dark energy modeling assumptions, and are complementary due to the use of independent data sets. Model-independent estimates of curvature are critical for both testing inflation and obtaining unbiased constraints on dark energy parameters.Comment: 23 pages, 11 figures; submitted to Phys. Rev.