Conservative and aggressive rough SVR modeling

AbstractSupport vector regression provides an alternative to the neural networks in modeling non-linear real-world patterns. Rough values, with a lower and upper bound, are needed whenever the variables under consideration cannot be represented by a single value. This paper describes two approaches for the modeling of rough values with support vector regression (SVR). One approach, by attempting to ensure that the predicted high value is not greater than the upper bound and that the predicted low value is not less than the lower bound, is conservative in nature. On the contrary, we also propose an aggressive approach seeking a predicted high which is not less than the upper bound and a predicted low which is not greater than the lower bound. The proposal is shown to use ϵ-insensitivity to provide a more flexible version of lower and upper possibilistic regression models. The usefulness of our work is realized by modeling the rough pattern of a stock market index, and can be taken advantage of by conservative and aggressive traders

Survey of Rough and Fuzzy Hybridization

In this research existing barriers and the influence of product’s functional lifecycle on the adoption of circular revenue models in the civil and non-residential building sector was investigated. A revenue model, i.e. how revenues are generated in a business model, becomes circular if it is used to extend producer responsibility to create financial incentives for producers to benefit from making their product more circular. For example, leasing or a buy-back scheme in theory creates an incentive for producers to, amongst others, make the product last longer, to be maintained more easily and to be returned. In the Dutch national policy documents there is a call for the development of circular revenue models to extend producer responsibility in the construction sector, as the construction sector is highlighted as a key sector in terms of environmental impact. Adopting circular revenue models in the construction has so far not been research, however expectations about barriers towards adopting circular revenue models can be derived from related literature. The civil and non-residential building sub-sector of the construction sector is of special interest as this subsector has specific characteristics that were expected to create barriers towards adopting circular revenue models: ownership rights and the long functional lifecycle of products (e.g. buildings). This led to the main research question: “What are the barriers to the adoption of circular revenue models in the civil- and non-residential building sector?” The long functional lifecycle of buildings is of special interest as literature suggests that buildings are made from products with different functional lifecycles. This led to led to an additional sub question: “What is the influence of product’s functional lifecycle on the adoption of circular revenue models in the civil and non-residential building sector?” To answer both research questions, the research was split up into three phases. First, semi-structured interviews were held with practitioners, e.g. companies that have adopted, or are working on adopting, circular revenue models. Based upon the results, a second round of interviews was held with experts to better understand the barriers and gather more in-depth insights. The topics chosen for this round were based on the results from the practitioners. The third research phase was a focus group session held primarily with respondents from the expert and practitioner interviews. During the focus group preliminary results were presented and several topics were discussed. During this research 25 barriers, such as a maximum duration for contracts, short-term thinking and the adoption of measurement methods, towards adopting circular revenue models in the civil and non-residential building sector were found, which fit under five main categories in order of importance: financial, sector-specific, regulatory, organisational and technical barriers. Furthermore, seven additional barriers were found when adopting circular revenue models in which producers retain ownership. This shows that there are many barriers that hinder the adoption of circular revenue models in the civil and non-residential building sector, especially when adopting circular revenue models where producers retain ownership. Furthermore, during this research it was found that the shorter the functional lifecycle of building layers, the more easy the adoption of circular revenue models becomes, because, amongst others, financing for longer that 15 years is difficult and two parties to not like to be mutually dependents upon each other over long time periods. In increasing order of difficulty circular revenue models can be adopted to the building layers with longer functional lifecycles: space plan, services, skin and structure. During the research a consensus amongst respondents was identified that circular revenue models should not be adopted to the structure, as the functional lifecycle was too long. In addition to the functional lifecycle, four additional variables were identified that emphasise why the adoption of circular revenue models to building layers with shorter functional lifecycles is more interesting: ratio CAPEX/OPEX, flexibility of products, focus on investor or user and complexity of products

Fuzzy c-means clustering of web users for educational sites

Publisher's version/PDFCharacterization of users is an important issue in the design and maintenance of websites. Analysis of the data from the World Wide Web faces certain challenges that are not commonly observed in conventional data analysis. The likelihood of bad or incomplete web usage data is higher than in conventional applications. The clusters and associations in web mining do not necessarily have crisp boundaries. Researchers have studied the possibility of using fuzzy sets for clustering of web resources. This paper presents clustering using a fuzzy c-means algorithm, on secondary data consisting of access logs from the World Wide Web. This type of analysis is called web usage mining, which involves applying data mining techniques to discover usage patterns from web data. The fuzzy c-means clustering was applied to the web visitors to three educational websites. The analysis shows the ability of the fuzzy c-means clustering to distinguish different user characteristics of these sites

Interval set clustering of web users using modified Kohonen self-organizing maps based on the properties of rough sets

Publisher's version/PDFWeb usage mining involves application of data mining techniques to discover usage patterns from the web data. Clustering is one of the important functions in web usage mining. The likelihood of bad or incomplete web usage data is higher than the conventional applications. The clusters and associations in web usage mining do not necessarily have crisp boundaries. Researchers have studied the possibility of using fuzzy sets in web mining clustering applications. Recent attempts have adapted the K-means clustering algorithm as well as genetic algorithms based on rough sets to find interval sets of clusters. The genetic algorithms based clustering may not be able to handle large amounts of data. The K-means algorithm does not lend itself well to adaptive clustering. This paper proposes an adaptation of Kohonen self-organizing maps based on the properties of rough sets, to find the interval sets of clusters. Experiments are used to create interval set representations of clusters of web visitors on three educational web sites. The proposed approach has wider applications in other areas of web mining as well as data mining

Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and trauma in young children: What we know and what we can do

This archival publication may not reflect current scientific knowledge or recommendations. Current information available from the University of Minnesota Extension: https://www.extension.umn.edu

Relationship between product based loyalty and clustering based on supermarket visit and spending patterns

Loyalty of customers to a supermarket can be measured in a variety of ways. If a customer tends to buy from certain categories of products, it is likely that the customer is loyal to the supermarket. Another indication of loyalty is based on the tendency of customers to visit the supermarket over a number of weeks. Regular visitors and spenders are more likely to be loyal to the supermarket. Neither one of these two criteria can provide a complete picture of customers’ loyalty. The decision regarding the loyalty of a customer will have to take into account the visiting pattern as well as the categories of products purchased. This paper describes results of experiments that attempted to identify customer loyalty using thes e two sets of criteria separately. The experiments were based on transactional data obtained from a supermarket data collection program. Comparisons of results from these parallel sets of experiments were useful in fine tuning both the schemes of estimating the degree of loyalty of a customer. The project also provides useful insights for the development of more sophisticated measures for studying customer loyalty. It is hoped that the understanding of loyal customers will be helpful in identifying better marketing strategies

Estimation of annual average daily traffic with optimal adjustment factors

This study aimed to estimate the annual average daily traffic in inter-urban networks determining the best correlation (affinity) between the short period traffic counts and permanent traffic counters. A bi-level optimisation problem is proposed in which an agent in an upper level prefixes the affinities between short period traffic counts and permanent traffic counters stations and looks to minimise the annual average daily traffic calculation error while, in a lower level, an origin–destination (O–D) trip matrix estimation problem from traffic counts is solved. The proposed model is tested over the well-known Sioux-Falls network and applied to a real case of Cantabria (Spain) regional road network. The importance of determining appropriate affinity and the effect of localisation of permanent traffic counters stations are discussed