Increasing risk behaviour can outweigh the benefits of antiretroviral drug treatment on the HIV incidence among men-having-sex-with-men in Amsterdam

Background: The transmission through contacts among MSM (men who have sex with men) is one of the dominating contributors to HIV prevalence in industrialized countries. In Amsterdam, the capital of the Netherlands, the MSM risk group has been traced for decades. This has motivated studies which provide detailed information about MSM's risk behavior statistically, psychologically and sociologically. Despite the era of potent antiretroviral therapy, the incidence of HIV among MSM increases. In the long term the contradictory effects of risk behavior and effective therapy are still poorly understood.Methods: Using a previously presented Complex Agent Network model, we describe steady and casual partnerships to predict the HIV spreading among MSM. Behavior-related parameters and values, inferred from studies on Amsterdam MSM, are fed into the model; we validate the model using historical yearly incidence data. Subsequently, we study scenarios to assess the contradictory effects of risk behavior and effective therapy, by varying corresponding values of parameters. Finally, we conduct quantitative analysis based on the resulting incidence data.R

Letter to the editor: Pre-exposure prophylaxis for HIV in Europe: The need for resistance surveillance

__To the editor:__ In a recent paper by Hauser et al. in this journal, a prevalence of 10.8% of transmitted drugresistant viruses was reported among newly diagnosed HIV cases in Germany in 2013 and 2014. The authors conclude that genotypic resistance testing remains important for treatment as well as HIV prevention. We comment on the use of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in relation to drug resistance in HIV infections and the need for European surveillance of drug resistance

Застосування меланіну як стреспротектора півкуль головного мозку в залежності від стресостійкості тварин

На модели острого стресса обоснована стрессоустойчивость полушарий головного мозга крыс и стресспротекторные свойства меланина. Меланин проявляет стресспротекторные свойства за счет уменьшения содержания окислительномодифицированных белков, ТБК-реактантов и увеличения антиоксидантной защиты в тканях полушарий головного мозга в условиях острого стресса.A stress-resistance of rats’ cerebral hemispheres and melanin’s stressprotective properties were substantiated on the model of an acute stress. Melanin shows its stressprotective properties at the expense of oxidatively-modificated proteins’ decrease, TBA-reactants’ decrease and antioxidative protection’s increase in the tissues of cerebral hemispheres in conditions of an acute stress

Self-reported adherence and pharmacy refill adherence are both predictive for an undetectable viral load among HIV-infected migrants receiving cART

HIV-infected migrants were shown to have poorer treatment outcomes than Dutch HIV-infected patients, often due to worse treatment adherence. Self-reported adherence would be an easy way to monitor adherence, but its validity relative to pharmacy refill adherence has not been extensively evaluated in migrants. All HIV-infected migrants older than 18 years and in care at the two Rotterdam HIV-treatment centers were eligible. Refill data with leftover medication (PRL) (residual pill count) were obtained from their pharmacies up to 15 months prior to inclusion. Self-reported adherence to combination Antiretroviral Therapy was assessed by four questions about adherence at inclusion. Additionally, risk factors for pharmacy refill non-adherence were examined. In total, 299 HIV-infected migrants were included. Viral load (VL) was detectable in 11% of the patients. Specificity of PRL was 53% for patients with an adherence of 100% and decreased with lower cut-off values. Sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) were 68% and 15% and increased with lower cut-off values. Positive predictive value (PPV) was around 93% for all cut-off values. Using the self-reported questions, 139 patients (47%) reported to be adherent. Sensitivity was 49% and specificity was 72%. PPV and NPV were 95% and 13%. No risk factors for pharmacy refill non-adherence were found in multivariable analyses. Both PRL and self-reported adherence, can predict undetectable VL in HIV-infected migrants. PPV and NPV are similar for both methods. This study shows that using four self-reported items is sufficient to predict adherence which is crucial for optimal clinical outcome in HIV-infected migrants

Partner notification for reduction of HIV-1 transmission and related costs among men who have sex with men: A mathematical modeling study

Background Earlier antiretroviral treatment initiation prevents new HIV infections. A key problem in HIV prevention and care is the high number of patients diagnosed late, as these undiagnosed patients can continue forward HIV transmission. We modeled the impact on the Dutch menwho-have-sex-with-men (MSM) HIV epidemic and cost-effectiveness of an existing partner notification process for earlier identification of HIV-infected individuals to reduce HIV transmission. Methods Reduction in new infections and cost-effectiveness ratios were obtained for the use of partner notification to identify 5% of all new diagnoses (Scenario 1) and 20% of all new diagnoses (Scenario 2), versus no partner notification. Costs and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) were assigned to each disease state and calculated over 5 year increments for a20 year period. Results Partner notification is predicted to avert 18-69 infections (interquartile range [IQR] 13-24; 51-93) over the course of 5 years countrywide to 221-830 (IQR 140-299; 530-1,127) over 20 years for Scenario 1 and 2 respectively. Partner notification was considered cost-effective in the short term, with increasing cost-effectiveness over time: from €41,476 -€41, 736 (IQR €40,529-€42,147; €40,791-€42,397) to €5,773 -€5,887 (€5,134-€7,196; €5,411-€6,552) per QAL

Targeted HCV core antigen monitoring among HIV-positive men who have sex with men is cost-saving

Introduction: The World Health Organization declared the goal of hepatitis Cvirus (HCV) elimination by 2030. Micro-elimination, which is the reduction of incidence to zero in targeted populations, is less complex and costly and may be the first step to prove whether elimination is feasible. Asuitable target group are HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM) because of their high-risk behaviour and high incidence rates. Moreover, HCV monitoring is integrated in HIV care. The current HCV monitoring approach is suboptimal and complex and may miss new HCV infections. Alternative monitoring strategies, based on alanine aminotransferase, HCV-PCRand HCV-core antigen (HCV-cAg), combined with immediate direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment, may be more effective in reducing new HCV infections. Methods: Adeterministic mathematical transmission model was constructed representing the Dutch HCV epidemic among HIV-positive MSM to compare different HCV monitoring strategies from 2018 onwards. We evaluated the epidemiological impact of alternative and intensified monitoring in MSM with HCV. In addition, the cost-effectiveness was calculated over a lifetime horizon. Results: Current HCV monitoring and treatment is projected to result in an incidence of 1.1/1000 person-years, 0.24% prevalence, at a cost of 61.8 million (interquartile range 52.2-73.9). Compared with current monitoring, intensified monitoring will result in a maximum 27% reduction of incidence and 33% in prevalence at an increased cost. Conversely, compared with current monitoring, targeted HCV-cAg monitoring will result in a comparable incidence (1.1/1000 person-years) and prevalence (0.23%) but will be 1 million cheaper with increased quality-adjusted life year. Conclusion: Targeted monitoring reduces the HCV epidemic in a cost-saving manner; however, micro-elimination may not be obtained by 2030, highlighting the need for harm-reduction programmes

From more testing to smart testing:data-guided SARS-CoV-2 testing choices, the Netherlands, May to September 2020

BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR assays are more sensitive than rapid antigen detection assays (RDT) and can detect viral RNA even after an individual is no longer infectious. RDT can reduce the time to test and the results might better correlate with infectiousness. AIM: We assessed the ability of five RDT to identify infectious COVID-19 cases and systematically recorded the turnaround time of RT-PCR testing. METHODS: Sensitivity of RDT was determined using a serially diluted SARS-CoV-2 stock with known viral RNA concentration. The probability of detecting infectious virus at a given viral load was calculated using logistic regression of viral RNA concentration and matched culture results of 78 specimens from randomly selected non-hospitalised cases. The probability of each RDT to detect infectious cases was calculated as the sum of the projected probabilities for viral isolation success for every viral RNA load found at the time of diagnosis in 1,739 confirmed non-hospitalised COVID-19 cases. RESULTS: The distribution of quantification cycle values and estimated RNA loads for patients reporting to drive-through testing was skewed to high RNA loads. With the most sensitive RDT (Abbott and SD Biosensor), 97.30% (range: 88.65–99.77) of infectious individuals would be detected. This decreased to 92.73% (range: 60.30–99.77) for Coris BioConcept and GenBody, and 75.53% (range: 17.55–99.77) for RapiGEN. Only 32.9% of RT-PCR results were available on the same day as specimen collection. CONCLUSION: The most sensitive RDT detected infectious COVID-19 cases with high sensitivity and may considerably improve containment through more rapid isolation and contact tracing

Use of Laboratory Markers in Addition to Symptoms for Diagnosis of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Children:A Meta-analysis of Individual Patient Data

IMPORTANCE: Blood markers and fecal calprotectin are used in the diagnostic workup for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in pediatric patients. Any added diagnostic value of these laboratory markers remains unclear.OBJECTIVE: To determine whether adding laboratory markers to evaluation of signs and symptoms improves accuracy when diagnosing pediatric IBD.DATA SOURCES: A literature search of MEDLINE and EMBASE from inception through September 26, 2016. Studies were identified using indexing terms and free-text words related to child, target condition IBD, and diagnostic accuracy.STUDY SELECTION: Two reviewers independently selected studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of more than 1 blood marker or fecal calprotectin for IBD, confirmed by endoscopy and histopathology or clinical follow-up, in pediatric patients with chronic gastrointestinal symptoms. Studies that included healthy controls and/or patients with known IBD were excluded.DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Individual patient data from each eligible study were requested from the authors. In addition, 2 reviewers independently assessed quality with Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2.MEAN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Laboratory markers were added as a single test to a basic prediction model based on symptoms. Outcome measures were improvement of discrimination by adding markers as a single test and improvement of risk classification of pediatric patients by adding the best marker.RESULTS: Of the 16 eligible studies, authors of 8 studies (n = 1120 patients) provided their data sets. All blood markers and fecal calprotectin individually significantly improved the discrimination between pediatric patients with and those without IBD, when added to evaluation of symptoms. The best marker-fecal calprotectin-improved the area under the curve of symptoms by 0.26 (95% CI, 0.21-0.31). The second best marker-erythrocyte sedimentation rate-improved the area under the curve of symptoms by 0.16 (95% CI, 0.11-0.21). When fecal calprotectin was added to the model, the proportion of patients without IBD correctly classified as low risk of IBD increased from 33% to 91%. The proportion of patients with IBD incorrectly classified as low risk of IBD decreased from 16% to 9%. The proportion of the total number of patients assigned to the intermediate-risk category decreased from 55% to 6%.CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In a hospital setting, fecal calprotectin added the most diagnostic value to symptoms compared with blood markers. Adding fecal calprotectin to the diagnostic workup of pediatric patients with symptoms suggestive of IBD considerably decreased the number of patients in the group in whom challenges in clinical decision making are most prevalent.</p

Targeted HCV core antigen monitoring among HIV-positive men who have sex with men is cost-saving

Introduction: The World Health Organization declared the goal of hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination by 2030. Microelimination, which is the reduction of incidence to zero in targeted populations, is less complex and costly and may be the first step to prove whether elimination is feasible. A suitable target group are HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM) because of their high-risk behaviour and high incidence rates. Moreover, HCV monitoring is integrated in HIV care. The current HCV monitoring approach is suboptimal and complex and may miss new HCV infections. Alternative monitoring strategies, based on alanine aminotransferase, HCV-PCR and HCV-core antigen (HCV-cAg), combined with immediate direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment, may be more effective in reducing new HCV infections. Methods: A deterministic mathematical transmission model was constructed representing the Dutch HCV epidemic among HIV-positive MSM to compare different HCV monitoring strategies from 2018 onwards. We evaluated the epidemiological impact of alternative and intensified monitoring in MSM with HCV. In addition, the cost-effectiveness was calculated over a lifetime horizon. Results: Current HCV monitoring and treatment is projected to result in an incidence of 1.1/1000 person-years, 0.24% prevalence, at a cost of €61.8 million (interquartile range 52.2–73.9). Compared with current monitoring, intensified monitoring will result in a maximum 27% reduction of incidence and 33% in prevalence at an increased cost. Conversely, compared with current monitoring, targeted HCV-cAg monitoring will result in a comparable incidence (1.1/1000 person-years) and prevalence (0.23%) but will be €1 million cheaper with increased quality-adjusted life year. Conclusion: Targeted monitoring reduces the HCV epidemic in a cost-saving manner; however, micro-elimination may not be obtained by 2030, highlighting the need for harm-reduction programmes