Frequency of significant fibrosis in various chronic liver diseases: an evaluation with Transient Elastography (TE)

INTRODUCTION: Liver biopsy has long been the gold standard to evaluate liver fibrosis. TE was developed as a non- invasive method to assess liver fibrosis by measuring liver stiffness using shear wave velocity. Many studies have proven its’ effectiveness as a method for evaluating liver fibrosis.1-2 The use of TE in UMMC began in 2013. OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency and aetiology of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in our local population METHOD: This was a retrospective study conducted at UMMC. Inclusion criteria was all patients who had TE performed from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2021. Their demographics, clinical characteristics and TE findings were charted. RESULTS: A total of 3066 patients were included, in which 51.7% were males and 48.3% were females. The median CAP value was 271 dB/m. The median E value was 6.5kPa. 11.2% and 11.3% of patients had significant fibrosis (10.1-14.9kPa) and cirrhosis(≥15kPa) respectively. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) was noted to be the most common aetiology for fibrosis (32.8%), followed by chronic hepatitis B (CHB) at 25.2%, chronic hepatitis C (CHC) at 6.7% and alcoholic liver disease (ALD) with 1.3%. This finding was also found to be similar in the cirrhosis group (NAFLD 32.5%, CHB 17.2%, CHC 11.9% and ALD 1.4%). 219 DISCUSSION: Our study shows that the most common cause for significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is NAFLD. This is in contrast with previous studies, that reported the most common aetiology being CHB.3-4 This is likely due to the availability of effective treatment for hepatitis B and C. This may also be attributed to the initiation of the national Hepatitis B vaccination program for newborns and the improvement in blood transfusion safety. CONCLUSION: NAFLD has the greatest frequency of fibrosis compared with other aetiologies of liver disease - mainly as there is no effective treatment, unlike viral hepatitis

Frequency of significant steatosis in various chronic liver diseases: an evaluation with Transient Elastography (TE)

INTRODUCTION: TE was developed as a non-invasive method to assess liver fibrosis and steatosis using shear wave velocity. Many studies have proven its’ effectiveness as a method for evaluating liver fibrosis and steatosis.1-2 OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence and aetiology of steatosis in our local population. METHOD: This study was conducted as a retrospective review on all patients who had TE performed at UMMC from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2021. Their demographics, clinical characteristics and TE findings were charted. RESULTS: A total of 3066 patients were included. 51.7% were males and 48.3% were females. The median CAP value was 271 dB/m. The median E value was 6.5kPa. 61.2% of patients had steatosis, with a staggering number of of these patients having significant steatosis (51.8%). 6.3% of patients had S2 steatosis whereas 45.5% of patients had severe (S3) steatosis. Interestingly, in those with S2 steatosis, 34.7% had chronic hepatitis B (CHB), 31.5% had non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), 5.2% with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and 1% had alcoholic liver disease (ALD). In the S3 steatosis group, 66.7% had NAFLD, followed by ALD (36.6%), CHB (30.1%) and CHC (27.7%). 221 DISCUSSION: It is important to highlight that a large proportion of our patients has significant steatosis. This is likely in keeping with the global rise of obesity and sedentary lifestyle.3 NAFLD is a 4-decades old nomenclature that does not appropriately address the heterogenous pathogenicity of fatty liver disease. Our study reflects this heterogeneity, as it shows that steatosis often co-exists with other diverse aetiologies. CONCLUSION: Whilst NAFLD clearly has the greatest frequency of severe steatosis, it is also present in other aetiologies. These findings support the new terminology of metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), which reflects the fact that NAFLD commonly co-exists with other aetiologies

Global economic burden of unmet surgical need for appendicitis

Background There is a substantial gap in provision of adequate surgical care in many low- and middle-income countries. This study aimed to identify the economic burden of unmet surgical need for the common condition of appendicitis. Methods Data on the incidence of appendicitis from 170 countries and two different approaches were used to estimate numbers of patients who do not receive surgery: as a fixed proportion of the total unmet surgical need per country (approach 1); and based on country income status (approach 2). Indirect costs with current levels of access and local quality, and those if quality were at the standards of high-income countries, were estimated. A human capital approach was applied, focusing on the economic burden resulting from premature death and absenteeism. Results Excess mortality was 4185 per 100 000 cases of appendicitis using approach 1 and 3448 per 100 000 using approach 2. The economic burden of continuing current levels of access and local quality was US $92 492 million using approach 1 and$73 141 million using approach 2. The economic burden of not providing surgical care to the standards of high-income countries was $95 004 million using approach 1 and$75 666 million using approach 2. The largest share of these costs resulted from premature death (97.7 per cent) and lack of access (97.0 per cent) in contrast to lack of quality. Conclusion For a comparatively non-complex emergency condition such as appendicitis, increasing access to care should be prioritized. Although improving quality of care should not be neglected, increasing provision of care at current standards could reduce societal costs substantially

Global economic burden of unmet surgical need for appendicitis

Background There is a substantial gap in provision of adequate surgical care in many low- and middle-income countries. This study aimed to identify the economic burden of unmet surgical need for the common condition of appendicitis. Methods Data on the incidence of appendicitis from 170 countries and two different approaches were used to estimate numbers of patients who do not receive surgery: as a fixed proportion of the total unmet surgical need per country (approach 1); and based on country income status (approach 2). Indirect costs with current levels of access and local quality, and those if quality were at the standards of high-income countries, were estimated. A human capital approach was applied, focusing on the economic burden resulting from premature death and absenteeism. Results Excess mortality was 4185 per 100 000 cases of appendicitis using approach 1 and 3448 per 100 000 using approach 2. The economic burden of continuing current levels of access and local quality was US $92 492 million using approach 1 and$73 141 million using approach 2. The economic burden of not providing surgical care to the standards of high-income countries was $95 004 million using approach 1 and$75 666 million using approach 2. The largest share of these costs resulted from premature death (97.7 per cent) and lack of access (97.0 per cent) in contrast to lack of quality. Conclusion For a comparatively non-complex emergency condition such as appendicitis, increasing access to care should be prioritized. Although improving quality of care should not be neglected, increasing provision of care at current standards could reduce societal costs substantially

Management and Outcomes Following Surgery for Gastrointestinal Typhoid: An International, Prospective, Multicentre Cohort Study

Background: Gastrointestinal perforation is the most serious complication of typhoid fever, with a high disease burden in low-income countries. Reliable, prospective, contemporary surgical outcome data are scarce in these settings. This study aimed to investigate surgical outcomes following surgery for intestinal typhoid. Methods: Two multicentre, international prospective cohort studies of consecutive patients undergoing surgery for gastrointestinal typhoid perforation were conducted. Outcomes were measured at 30 days and included mortality, surgical site infection, organ space infection and reintervention rate. Multilevel logistic regression models were used to adjust for clinically plausible explanatory variables. Effect estimates are expressed as odds ratios (ORs) alongside their corresponding 95% confidence intervals. Results: A total of 88 patients across the GlobalSurg 1 and GlobalSurg 2 studies were included, from 11 countries. Children comprised 38.6% (34/88) of included patients. Most patients (87/88) had intestinal perforation. The 30-day mortality rate was 9.1% (8/88), which was higher in children (14.7 vs. 5.6%). Surgical site infection was common, at 67.0% (59/88). Organ site infection was common, with 10.2% of patients affected. An ASA grade of III and above was a strong predictor of 30-day post-operative mortality, at the univariable level and following adjustment for explanatory variables (OR 15.82, 95% CI 1.53–163.57, p = 0.021). Conclusions: With high mortality and complication rates, outcomes from surgery for intestinal typhoid remain poor. Future studies in this area should focus on sustainable interventions which can reduce perioperative morbidity. At a policy level, improving these outcomes will require both surgical and public health system advances

SARS-CoV-2 vaccination modelling for safe surgery to save lives: data from an international prospective cohort study

Background: Preoperative SARS-CoV-2 vaccination could support safer elective surgery. Vaccine numbers are limited so this study aimed to inform their prioritization by modelling. Methods: The primary outcome was the number needed to vaccinate (NNV) to prevent one COVID-19-related death in 1 year. NNVs were based on postoperative SARS-CoV-2 rates and mortality in an international cohort study (surgical patients), and community SARS-CoV-2 incidence and case fatality data (general population). NNV estimates were stratified by age (18-49, 50-69, 70 or more years) and type of surgery. Best- and worst-case scenarios were used to describe uncertainty. Results: NNVs were more favourable in surgical patients than the general population. The most favourable NNVs were in patients aged 70 years or more needing cancer surgery (351; best case 196, worst case 816) or non-cancer surgery (733; best case 407, worst case 1664). Both exceeded the NNV in the general population (1840; best case 1196, worst case 3066). NNVs for surgical patients remained favourable at a range of SARS-CoV-2 incidence rates in sensitivity analysis modelling. Globally, prioritizing preoperative vaccination of patients needing elective surgery ahead of the general population could prevent an additional 58 687 (best case 115 007, worst case 20 177) COVID-19-related deaths in 1 year. Conclusion: As global roll out of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination proceeds, patients needing elective surgery should be prioritized ahead of the general population