3,048 research outputs found

    Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Emerging Economies: An Unobserved Components Approach

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    This paper re-examines the impact of demographic factors on the current account balance. To this end, we develop an analytical framework that is more general than the one commonly used in the literature in three aspects. First, it accounts for the facts that the world current account balance must be equal to zero. Second, a bigger economy will have greater impacts on others, but be influenced less by them. Third, a more open economy will have greater impacts on others and at the same time be more readily influenced by them. We then confront two alternative empirical specifications based on both the new and the conventional framework with a panel of data. In contrast to the findings based on the conventional framework, our results with the new framework indicate that population ageing does not appear to have discernible impacts on the current account balance.

    Demography, Financial Openness, National Savings and External Balance

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    This paper examines the impact of demographic factors on saving, investment, and external balances. We derive a number of semi-structural equations from national accounting principle and the principle that external balances for the world as a whole must sum to zero. The resulting equations embody both closed, partially open and completely open economies as special cases, and are arguably more properly specified than those previously used in the literature. We apply these semi-structural equations to a large panel data set. While our findings by and large are in agreement with most of previous studies, our semi-structural equations give much more plausible estimation results for saving and investment than conventional specification.

    Does demographic change affect the current account? A reconsideration?

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    This paper re-examines the impact of demographic factors on the current account balance. To this end, we develop an analytical framework that is more general than the one commonly used in the literature in three aspects. First, it accounts for the facts that the world current account balance must be equal to zero. Second, a bigger economy will have greater impacts on others, but be influenced less by them. Third, a more open economy will have greater impacts on others and at the same time be more readily influenced by them. We then confront two alternative empirical specifications based on both the new and the conventional framework with a panel of data. In contrast to the findings based on the conventional framework, our results with the new framework indicate that population ageing does not appear to have discernible impacts on the current account balance

    Does Demographic Change Affect the Current Account? A Reconsideration

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    This paper re-examines the impact of demographic factors on the current account balance. To this end, we develop an analytical framework that is more general than the one commonly used in the literature in three aspects. First, it accounts for the facts that the world current account balance must be equal to zero. Second, a bigger economy will have greater impacts on others, but be influenced less by them. Third, a more open economy will have greater impacts on others and at the same time be more readily influenced by them. We then confront two alternative empirical specifications based on both the new and the conventional framework with a panel of data. In contrast to the findings based on the conventional framework, our results with the new framework indicate that population ageing does not appear to have discernible impacts on the current account balanc

    A Bayesian regression tree approach to identify the effect of nanoparticles' properties on toxicity profiles

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    We introduce a Bayesian multiple regression tree model to characterize relationships between physico-chemical properties of nanoparticles and their in-vitro toxicity over multiple doses and times of exposure. Unlike conventional models that rely on data summaries, our model solves the low sample size issue and avoids arbitrary loss of information by combining all measurements from a general exposure experiment across doses, times of exposure, and replicates. The proposed technique integrates Bayesian trees for modeling threshold effects and interactions, and penalized B-splines for dose- and time-response surface smoothing. The resulting posterior distribution is sampled by Markov Chain Monte Carlo. This method allows for inference on a number of quantities of potential interest to substantive nanotoxicology, such as the importance of physico-chemical properties and their marginal effect on toxicity. We illustrate the application of our method to the analysis of a library of 24 nano metal oxides.Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/14-AOAS797 in the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

    The price Asian venture capitalists pay to work in Silicon Valley

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    They pay higher valuations due to their lower social status rather than social network disadvantages, write Jing Zhang, Poh-Kam Wong and Yuen-Ping H

    Investigating the Impact of Institutional Pressures on Information Security Compliance in Organizations

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    Abstract: The increasing threat to information security has created institutional pressures on organizations to comply with information security policies and standards. This paper presents an empirical study to investigate the impact of institutional pressures (coercive, normative, and mimetic) on information security compliance in organizations. The results show that coercive pressures that are manifested by regulatory agencies, normative pressures that are exerted through social pressures, and mimetic pressures that are manifested by security benefits positively influence information security compliance in public organizations. Furthermore, the results reveal that regulation and security benefits generate pressures on management to strengthen their commitments towards information security compliance in organizations. It is, however, worthwhile to notice that social pressures do not have a significant impact on management commitments towards information security compliance. The implications of this study indicate the criticality of institutional pressures for enhancing information security compliance in public organizations both directly and indirectly
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