Improved HAC Covariance Matrix Estimation Based on Forecast Errors

We propose computing HAC covariance matrix estimators based on one-stepahead forecasting errors. It is shown that this estimator is consistent and has smaller bias than other HAC estimators. Moreover, the tests that rely on this estimator have more accurate sizes without sacrificing its power.forecast error, HAC estimator, kernel estimator, recursive residual, robust test

Electric Vehicle - Smart Grid Integration: Load Modeling, Scheduling, and Cyber Security

The modern world has witnessed the surge of electric vehicles (EVs) driven by government policy worldwide to reduce transportation’s dependence on fossil fuels. According to (Slowik, 2019), the global EV market has grown sharply with the annual light-duty EV sales surpassing 2 million in 2018, which is about a 70% increase from 2017. The increase in EV population implies the rise in energy demand, and that introduces new challenges to the electricity sector. EV charging load demand in high penetration scenarios, which is foreseen, may lead to stability and quality issues in power grids. Generation capacity and the electricity infrastructure upgrade may be required to address those issues; however, it increases generation costs significantly. The most common EV chargers installed today deliver around 7 kW of power, which is over four times that of an average household power consumption in the US. EV charging load often shows two peaks in a day, one in the morning when people plug in the EV at the workplace and the other in the evening when people get home from work. Without proper energy management for EV charging, the vast power demand due to a large number of plugged-in EVs can stress the electric grid, degrade the electric power quality, and impact the wholesale electricity market. Although an EV battery may store energy up to 80 kWh, which requires more than 10 hours to charge at 7kW from empty, we found that most EVs need only 12 kWh per charge or 1.7 hours at 7 kW to meet daily commute requirement while they stay in the parking garage for a more extended period. This implies that EVs can have considerable time-flexibility for charging, and it is not necessary to start chargingright after plugging in, which is likely to result in the charging power add-up. A proper EV charging schedule can well allocate the charging load to prevent power peaks. Therefore, EV charging scheduling can play a significant role in mitigating the adverse effects of vast EV charging demand without upgrading the power grid capacity.To optimize the EV charging schedule while satisfies EVs’ charging demand, each EV’s stay duration and energy need are essential parameters for the optimization. Those parameters are based on predictions to minimize human intervention. Nonetheless, the uncertainty of EV user behavior poses a challenge to the prediction accuracy. Therefore, this dissertation demonstrates an ensemble machine learning-based method to model and predict the EV loads accurately, thereby improving the performance of EV charging scheduling.On the other hand, this smart EV-grid integration, which requires massive communication, including collecting, transmitting, and distributing real-time data within the network, makes it more susceptible to cyber-physical threats. Potential breaches could not only affect grid operation but also reduce consumers’ willingness to adopting EVs over conventional fuel-powered vehicles. This dissertation also presents the vulnerability analysis and risk assessment for a smart EV charging system to develop the countermeasures to secure the network. Also, while it is inevitable that the security has flaws, this dissertation provides a novel anomaly detection approach based on the invariant correlations of different measurements within the EV charging network

Traffic Engineering in Multiprotocol Label Switching networks

The goal of Traffic Engineering is to optimize the resource utilization and increase the network performance. Constraint-based routing has been proposed as an networks effective approach to implement traffic engineering in Multiprotocol Label Switching. In this thesis, we review several algorithms on constraint-based routing from the literature and point out their advantages and disadvantages. We then propose several algorithms to overcome some of the shortcomings of these approaches. Our algorithms are specifically suitable for large densely connected networks supporting both Quality of Service traffic and the Best Effort traffic. In large networks the size of the MPLS label space in a node may become extremely large. Our algorithms allow for control on the size of the label space for each node in the network. In addition, explicit routes can be accommodated supporting both node and link affinity. We address an algorithm that implements the node and link affinity correctly. If the QoS traffic has stringent delay requirements, a path length limit can be imposed so that the number of hops on the path for such traffic is limited. Finally, we propose the 1 + 1 and 1 : 1 path protection mechanisms using the constraint-based routing in MPLS and establish backup for the working path carrying the primary traffic. Our approach appropriately overcome the problems and the result are satisfying

Multi-Label Zero-Shot Learning with Structured Knowledge Graphs

In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning architecture for multi-label zero-shot learning (ML-ZSL), which is able to predict multiple unseen class labels for each input instance. Inspired by the way humans utilize semantic knowledge between objects of interests, we propose a framework that incorporates knowledge graphs for describing the relationships between multiple labels. Our model learns an information propagation mechanism from the semantic label space, which can be applied to model the interdependencies between seen and unseen class labels. With such investigation of structured knowledge graphs for visual reasoning, we show that our model can be applied for solving multi-label classification and ML-ZSL tasks. Compared to state-of-the-art approaches, comparable or improved performances can be achieved by our method.Comment: CVPR 201