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Ph.DDOCTOR OF PHILOSOPH

Structural response analysis of the hydraulic pneumatic tensioner under its local failure based on a fully coupled TLP-TTR system

The presented work studied the structural response of the hydraulic pneumatic tensioner (HPT) in a TLP-TTR system with failure of the tensioner cylinder. A fully coupled hull-tendon-TTR-tensioner model was established in AQWA to simulate the failure numerically. A specific HPT was modeled by considering 4 cylinders and the real-time stroke of each piston. A set of formulas was proposed to calculate the real-time tension including different components, e.g. Stribeck friction, in the tensioner. A riser array including 6 independent production TTRs and their tensioners was also modeled. The production TTR model was stacked up by different specific riser joints. The hydrodynamic force acting on the hull was obtained by using the 3D potential flow theory. The real-time tensions on different tensioner cylinders were obtained by using an in-house-developed program. Different environmental conditions, including a calm sea, regular waves, and extreme sea states, were considered in the simulations. In the results, the behaviors of different cylinders of the failed tensioner were presented. The results show that when an accidental local failure of the HPT occurs, the tension and stroke responses are still far from the designed-limits to induce a progressive failure

Three-dimensional semi-analytical solutions for the transient response of functionally graded material cylindrical panels with various boundary conditions

In this paper, a 3D semi-analytical method is proposed by introducing the Durbin's Laplace transform, as well as its numerical inversion method, state space approach and differential quadrature method to analyse the transient behaviour of functionally graded material cylindrical panels. Moreover, to investigate the effectiveness of the proposed semi-analytical solution, four boundary conditions are used to undertake the analyses. Comparing the proposed approach with other theoretical methods from the literatures, we see better agreements in the natural frequencies. Besides, the semi-analytical solution acquires nearly the same transient response as those obtained by ANSYS. Convergence studies indicate that the proposed method has a quick convergence rate with growing sample point numbers along the length direction, so do layer numbers increase along the radial direction. The effects of thickness/outer radius ratio, length/outer radius ratio and functionally graded indexes are also studied. When carbon nanotube is added to functionally graded material cylindrical panel, the composite structures have been reinforced greatly. The proposed 3D semi-analytical method has high accuracy for the analysis of composite structures. This study can serve as a foundation for solving more complicated environments such as fluid–structure interaction of flexible pipe or thermal effect analysis of functionally graded material in aerospace field

Accuracy of epidemiological inferences based on publicly available information: retrospective comparative analysis of line lists of human cases infected with influenza A(H7N9) in China

Background: Appropriate public health responses to infectious disease threats should be based on best-available evidence, which requires timely reliable data for appropriate analysis. During the early stages of epidemics, analysis of ‘line lists’ with detailed information on laboratory-confirmed cases can provide important insights into the epidemiology of a specific disease. The objective of the present study was to investigate the extent to which reliable epidemiologic inferences could be made from publicly-available epidemiologic data of human infection with influenza A(H7N9) virus. Methods: We collated and compared six different line lists of laboratory-confirmed human cases of influenza A(H7N9) virus infection in the 2013 outbreak in China, including the official line list constructed by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention plus five other line lists by HealthMap, Virginia Tech, Bloomberg News, the University of Hong Kong and FluTrackers, based on publicly-available information. We characterized clinical severity and transmissibility of the outbreak, using line lists available at specific dates to estimate epidemiologic parameters, to replicate real-time inferences on the hospitalization fatality risk, and the impact of live poultry market closure. Results: Demographic information was mostly complete (less than 10% missing for all variables) in different line lists, but there were more missing data on dates of hospitalization, discharge and health status (more than 10% missing for each variable). The estimated onset to hospitalization distributions were similar (median ranged from 4.6 to 5.6 days) for all line lists. Hospital fatality risk was consistently around 20% in the early phase of the epidemic for all line lists and approached the final estimate of 35% afterwards for the official line list only. Most of the line lists estimated >90% reduction in incidence rates after live poultry market closures in Shanghai, Nanjing and Hangzhou. Conclusions: We demonstrated that analysis of publicly-available data on H7N9 permitted reliable assessment of transmissibility and geographical dispersion, while assessment of clinical severity was less straightforward. Our results highlight the potential value in constructing a minimum dataset with standardized format and definition, and regular updates of patient status. Such an approach could be particularly useful for diseases that spread across multiple countries