Can crop yield risk be globally diversified?

In 2007 and 2008 world food markets observed a significant price boom. Crop failures simultaneously occurring in some of the world’s major production regions have been quoted as one factor among others for the price boom. Against this background, we analyse the stochasticity of crop yields in major production areas. The analysis is exemplified for wheat, which is one of the most important crops worldwide. Particular attention is given to the stochastic dependence of yields in different regions. Thereby we address the question of whether local fluctuations of yields can be smoothed by international agricultural trade, i.e. by global diversification. The analysis is based on the copula approach, which requires less restrictive assumptions compared with linear correlations. The use of copulas allows for a more reliable estimation of extreme yield shortfalls, which are of particular interest in this application. Our calculations reveal that a production shortfall, such as in 2007, is not a once in a lifetime event. Instead, from a statistical point of view, similar production conditions will occur every 15 years.crop yield risk, fully nested hierarchical Archimedean copulas (FNAC), price boom

Visible two-dimensional photonic crystal slab laser

The authors describe the fabrication and performance of photonic crystal lasers fabricated within thin membranes of InGaP/InGaAlP quantum well material and emitting in the visible wavelength range. These lasers have ultrasmall mode volumes, emit red light, and exhibit low threshold powers. They can be lithographically tuned from 650 to 690 nm. Their cavity volumes of approximately 0.01 µm3 are ideally suited for use as spectroscopic sources

Practical Modeling and Comprehensive System Identification of a BLDC Motor

The aim of this paper is to outline all the steps in a rigorous and simple procedure for system identification of BLDC motor. A practical mathematical model for identification is derived. Frequency domain identification techniques and time domain estimation method are combined to obtain the unknown parameters. The methods in time domain are founded on the least squares approximation method and a disturbance observer. Only the availability of experimental data for rotor speed and armature current are required for identification. The proposed identification method is systematically investigated, and the final identified model is validated by experimental results performed on a typical BLDC motor in UAV

Routing-Guided Learned Product Quantization for Graph-Based Approximate Nearest Neighbor Search

Given a vector dataset $\mathcal{X}$, a query vector $\vec{x}_q$, graph-based Approximate Nearest Neighbor Search (ANNS) aims to build a proximity graph (PG) as an index of $\mathcal{X}$ and approximately return vectors with minimum distances to $\vec{x}_q$ by searching over the PG index. It suffers from the large-scale $\mathcal{X}$ because a PG with full vectors is too large to fit into the memory, e.g., a billion-scale $\mathcal{X}$ in 128 dimensions would consume nearly 600 GB memory. To solve this, Product Quantization (PQ) integrated graph-based ANNS is proposed to reduce the memory usage, using smaller compact codes of quantized vectors in memory instead of the large original vectors. Existing PQ methods do not consider the important routing features of PG, resulting in low-quality quantized vectors that affect the ANNS's effectiveness. In this paper, we present an end-to-end Routing-guided learned Product Quantization (RPQ) for graph-based ANNS. It consists of (1) a \textit{differentiable quantizer} used to make the standard discrete PQ differentiable to suit for back-propagation of end-to-end learning, (2) a \textit{sampling-based feature extractor} used to extract neighborhood and routing features of a PG, and (3) a \textit{multi-feature joint training module} with two types of feature-aware losses to continuously optimize the differentiable quantizer. As a result, the inherent features of a PG would be embedded into the learned PQ, generating high-quality quantized vectors. Moreover, we integrate our RPQ with the state-of-the-art DiskANN and existing popular PGs to improve their performance. Comprehensive experiments on real-world large-scale datasets (from 1M to 1B) demonstrate RPQ's superiority, e.g., 1.7$\times$-4.2$\times$ improvement on QPS at the same recall@10 of 95\%.Comment: 14 pages, 12 figure

Numerical calculation of free-energy barriers for entangled polymer nucleation.

The crystallization of entangled polymers from their melt is investigated using computer simulation with a coarse-grained model. Using hybrid Monte Carlo simulations enables us to probe the behavior of long polymer chains. We identify solid-like beads with a centrosymmetry local order parameter and compute the nucleation free-energy barrier at relatively high supercooling with adaptive-bias windowed umbrella sampling. Our results demonstrate that the critical nucleus sizes and the heights of free-energy barriers do not significantly depend on the molecular weight of the polymer; however, the nucleation rate decreases with the increase in molecular weight. Moreover, an analysis of the composition of the critical nucleus suggests that intra-molecular growth of the nucleated cluster does not contribute significantly to crystallization for this system.National Key R&D Program of China (2016YFB0302500); National Natural Science Foundation of China (51633009); Royal Society Newton Mobility Grant (MBAG/240 RG82754

Hyperspectral Imaging with Stimulated Raman Scattering by Chirped Femtosecond Lasers

Raman microscopy is a quantitative, label-free, and noninvasive optical imaging technique for studying inhomogeneous systems. However, the feebleness of Raman scattering significantly limits the use of Raman microscopy to low time resolutions and primarily static samples. Recent developments in narrowband stimulated Raman scattering (SRS) microscopy have significantly increased the acquisition speed of Raman based label-free imaging by a few orders of magnitude, at the expense of reduced spectroscopic information. On the basis of a spectral focusing approach, we present a fast SRS hyperspectral imaging system using chirped femtosecond lasers to achieve rapid Raman spectra acquisition while retaining the full speed and image quality of narrowband SRS imaging. We demonstrate that quantitative concentration determination of cholesterol in the presence of interfering chemical species can be achieved with sensitivity down to 4 mM. For imaging purposes, hyperspectral imaging data in the C–H stretching region is obtained within a minute. We show that mammalian cell SRS hyperspectral imaging reveals the spatially inhomogeneous distribution of saturated lipids, unsaturated lipids, cholesterol, and protein. The combination of fast spectroscopy and label-free chemical imaging will enable new applications in studying biological systems and material systems.Chemistry and Chemical BiologyEngineering and Applied Science