A REPRESENTATIVE FARM APPROACH TO OUTREACH WITH BEGINNING FARMERS AND RANCHERS

Beginning Farmers and Ranchers, Representative Farm, Whole Farm Analysis, Risk Management, Online Decision Support, Stochastic, Baseline, Farm Management, Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession, Q12, Q14, D81,

Proposed improvement of system status displays for the F/A-18E/F Super Hornet aircraft

The gradual decline in Department of Defense weapons procurement dollars combined with increased weapon system costs has lead to reduced purchases of new tactical aircraft. In an effort to reduce costs and become more efficient, the services have chosen to procure multi-role tactical fighter aircraft. Each new aircraft takes the place of two or more single-mission, previous generation aircraft and the missions they performed. The modern multi-role aircraft, such as the F/A-18 Hornet and the F-15E Strike Eagle, are tasked with execution of numerous Air-to-Ground (A/G), Air-to-Air (A/A), and Suppression Of Enemy Air Defenses (SEAD) missions. These aircraft utilize complex weapon and sensor suites, though specific weapon and sensor requirements vary widely from mission to mission. The weapon and sensor suites of modern, multi-role tactical fighter aircraft consist of both offensive and defensive systems. The status of these systems must be assessed prior to flight to determine if the aircraft is fully capable to execute the mission tasking. Equipment Built-in Test (BIT) can provide detailed information to the aircrew as to system status, but this information is frequently difficult to interpret. System health information must be presented in a manner which will allow aircrew to make a critical GO / NO GO decision. BIT information should detail performance of each weapon or sensor function critical to mission execution. The BIT information also must be available in a timely fashion, particularly for United States Navy aircraft who operate under strict time constraints which limit time available to diagnose system degrades and failures. This paper provides specific recommendations to improve the display of weapon and sensor status information in the F/A-18E/F Super Hornet aircraft. BIT display formats are modeled around the most recent FA-18 System Configuration Set (SOS), and apply to weapons and sensors carried on that platform. The goal of the display format improvements is to provide aircrew with timely presentation of weapon and sensor health in such a way that they can make educated GO / NO GO decisions. Information in this paper is UNCLASSIFIED, EXPORT CONTROLLED

God, the word of god, and scripture: the mediation of the knowledge of god in Calvin's theology

This thesis attempts to elucidate Calvin's high view of the function of Scripture in the mediation of the knowledge of God. Two conclusions emerge:- The first is that the statement 'Scripture is the Word of God' Is not a premise with which Calvin's theological exposition begins, but a position to which the Reformer comes as a corollary of his understanding of the grace of God.- The second Is that Calvin's contention that the knowledge of God is mediated In Scripture rests upon his view that the nature of God is such that its most adequate form of self-expression is as Word. There are three parts to the thesis.- Part I Is an examination of The Actuality of the Knowledge of God In the Word of God. This section is concerned with the actual content of the knowledge of God as it is mediated by the Word of God. The mediation of the knowledge of God In Scripture is set in the context of the mediation of the knowledge of God by the Eternal Word of God and the mediation of the knowledge of God by the Incarnate Word of God.- Parts II and III explore The Possibility of the Knowledge of God in the Word of God. Part II asks how it is possible for the Word of God to be spoken, and answers the question In terms of Calvin's use of the principle of Accommodation. Part III considers how It Is possible for the Word of God to be heard, and answers the question in terms of Calvin's consistent correlation of Word and Spirit. In both cases the mediation of the knowledge of God in Scripture is again set in the context of the mediation of the knowledge of God by the Eternal Word of God, and the mediation of the knowledge of God by the Incarnate Word of God

Opportunities for industrial CO2 capture and utilization in the US

Carbon dioxide capture from flue gases has largely failed to gain traction due to their prohibitively high cost. One strategy to lower capture costs is to target capture from emissions with higher CO2 concentration. This presentation focuses specifically on a sub-section of industrial CO2 emissions, of which there are no carbon-free routes for the formation of products such as cement, glass, iron and other metals. Although these emissions do not represent the majority, unlike the electricity and transportation sectors, they are not replaceable with renewables or bio-energy routes, and in fact, their scale matches well with CO2 utilization opportunities. A low-cost pathway, including separation, compression and transportation to currently available utilization opportunities has been identified. In particular, our cost model corrects for differences in exhaust composition, flow rate, and geo-specific utilization demand. A regional case-study for the US state of Pennsylvania reveals steel and cement manufacturing as the least cost options. Further, we find that transportation via trucks is generally the low-cost alternative compared to pipeline transport for small volumes on the order of 100 kt CO2/a. These results are presented in the context of other complexities such as the relative feasibility of extracting CO2 process emissions from combustion emissions, theoretical maximum commodity outputs by region, and competitive-based commodity trading (regional and international) inspired by localized CCUS efforts

Assessment of the CO2 capture potential from irreplaceable industrial sources

The industrial sector represents approximately 20% of total US CO2 emissions.1 These emissions can be further categorized as direct (accountable on-site, e.g., stationary combustion), indirect (assigned to electricity purchased for power) and process (CO2 liberated as a reaction by-product). For example, steel and cement production both involve processes that directly emit CO2 as a by-product (via the oxidation of metallurgical coke and conversion of calcium carbonate to lime, respectively). While climate change mitigation efforts have the potential to reduce direct and indirect emissions through the adoption of best practice technologies and low-carbon energy sources, process emissions will remain largely unaffected in the absence of radical advances in engineering. As materials like glass, iron, cement and ammonia constitute the irreplaceable fabric of society and have few green analogs, CO2 emissions from these, as from other irreplaceable industrial processes, are projected to increase unabated. With capture technologies in place, these emissions can be diverted instead to viable CO2 reuse and sequestration opportunities, such as enhanced oil recovery (EOR), food processing, refrigeration, and fertilizer production.2 To assess the capture potential of irreplaceable industry, we first geo-reference these sources alongside all current and potential future CO2 sinks, with the goal of making economically sound linkages between source and markets of comparable scale.3 This entails a cost analysis of on-site capture plus additional transport (freight versus pipeline, hazmat fees, etc.) and compression costs. Geographic information systems (GIS) mapping is used to define the most cost-effective mechanisms for CO2 delivery. Further, additional sources of revenue offset (CO2 waste valorization and potential allowance trading) are incorporated to develop a more complete assessment of economic viability. As these costs are inventoried, the financial incentive gap necessary to compel the targeted source-sink pairings to move forward is calculated. Capture costs fell under a wide range, from $89 per tonne to a low of approximately$28 per tonne. Using $40 per tonne CO2 resale as a reference, our results indicate that the most viable industries for installing CO2 capture technologies are ammonia, ethanol, glass, and petrochemicals. Not surprisingly, many of these industries all ready take advantage of these low CO2 capture costs and consequently represent a large portion of the US merchant CO2 market. When revenue from CO2 resale is incorporated, larger contributors to the industrial emission profile like cement and iron and steel fall under the viability threshold. Finally, incentive based policy (like the current California cap and trade program) pushes even more industries toward carbon neutrality and some cases (ammonia, iron and steel, and petrochemicals) become carbon-negative. It should be emphasized that this analysis is a “lowest-hanging fruit” assessment, whereby lowest possible costs are reported based on plant character (CO2 purity) and source-sink transport logistics. An overall assessment by industry is less optimistic and reveals that those industries with prohibitive capture costs are not substantially aided by waste revenue and policy offsets; thus, the most important variable to reducing economic barriers to capture is the relative purity of CO2. This effort will develop a current economic assessment of moving irreplaceable industry toward carbon-neutrality. Though these industrial process emissions represent a smaller portion of total annual CO2 emissions, these opportunities may serve as a driver for learning and public acceptance, with future applicability to the assessment of carbon-neutrality in other sectors

Nitrogen-functionalized porous carbons for enhanced CO2 capture

The global consequences of increased anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions are well documented. To avoid the catastrophic long-term damages associated with climate change, much attention has been devoted to the development of CO2 emission mitigation strategies. A present challenge in the mitigation of anthropogenic CO2 emissions involves the design of less energy- and water-intensive capture technologies. Traditional capture methods, e.g. MEA solvent scrubbing, have prohibitive regeneration costs, and recent concerns in drought-ridden states like California have brought these water-intensive processes under increased scrutiny. Sorbent-based capture represents a promising solution to the aforementioned hurdles, as they do not incur the heavy energy penalties associated with solvent regeneration. However, to be considered competitive with their more mature, solvent-based counter-parts, these sorbents must exhibit i) high CO2 loading capacity and ii) high CO2/N2 selectivity. Ultra-microporous character and surface nitrogen functionality have been reported to be of great importance to the enhancement of CO2 capacity and CO2/N2 ideal selectivity. However, the role of pore size in combination with surface N-functionalities in the enhancement of these properties remains unclear. To investigate these effects, grand canonical Monte Carlo (GCMC) simulations were carried out on pure and functionalized 3-layer graphitic slit pore models. Theoretical isotherms were constructed as the PSD-weighted sum of individual slit-pore models of width varying from 3.5 to 200Å. In addition to pure and monovacancy-graphite, the following functional groups were isolated for testing at ~3% coverage: pyridinic nitrogen, pyrrolic nitrogen, quaternary nitrogen, and oxidized-pyridinic nitrogen. Our results reveal that nitrogen surface-functionalization can enhance CO2 loading by upwards of 90 percent over pure graphite. Increasing surface-coverage of quaternary-nitrogen resulted in enhanced loading, though higher coverage loadings converged at approximately 4 mmol CO2 g-1 sorbent. Charge analysis revealed that enhanced loading was strongly correlated with the oxidation state of surface-bound oxygen and, to a lesser extent, nitrogen at low pressures, with a decreasing effect at higher pressures. Functionally bound hydrogen contributed at higher (ambient) pressures suggesting a secondary mechanism of adsorbate stabilization. Ideal CO2/N2 selectivities were calculated for pure and N-doped models using both HL (low pressure) and IAST (working pressure) methods. Our results show that N-doping can enhance HL but not IAST selectivity. This is attributed to the introduction of a few highly active surface sites through surface N-modification. Additionally, selectivity was found to be greatly enhanced in the ultra-microporous volumes (3.5 - 7Å). These results illustrate that N-functionalization can influence CO2 and N2 adsorption behavior, particularly in narrower pores where opposing wall potentials overlap – an important consideration in the rational design of future carbon-based sorbents

Alphas, betas and skewy distributions: two ways of getting the wrong answer

Although many parametric statistical tests are considered to be robust, as recently shown in Methodologist’s Corner, it still pays to be circumspect about the assumptions underlying statistical tests. In this paper I show that robustness mainly refers to α, the type-I error. If the underlying distribution of data is ignored there can be a major penalty in terms of the β, the type-II error, representing a large increase in false negative rate or, equivalently, a severe loss of power of the test

CO2 capture from the industry sector

It is widely accepted that greenhouse gas emissions, especially CO2, must be significantly reduced to prevent catastrophic global warming. Carbon capture and reliable storage (CCS) is one path towards controlling emissions, and serves as a key component to climate change mitigation and will serve as a bridge between the fossil fuel energy of today and the renewable energy of tomorrow. Although fossil-fueled power plants emit the vast majority of stationary CO2, there are many industries that emit purer streams of CO2, which result in reduced cost for separation. Moreover, many industries outside of electricity generation do not have ready alternatives for becoming low-carbon and CCS may be their only option. The thermodynamic minimum work for separation was calculated for a variety of CO2 emissions streams from various industries, followed by a Sherwood analysis of capture cost. The Sherwood plot correlates the relationship between concentrations of a target substance with the cost to separate it from the remaining components. As the target concentration increases, the cost to separate decreases on a molar basis. Further, a spatial analysis of CO2 point sources revealed that as the purity of CO2 emissions increases, the quantity at a single source tends to decrease. Furthermore, the lowest cost opportunities for deploying first-of-a-kind CCS technology were found to be in the Midwest and along the Gulf Coast. Many high purity industries, such as ethanol production, ammonia production and natural gas processing, are located in these regions. The southern Midwest and Gulf Coast are also co-located with potential geologic sequestration sites and enhanced oil recovery opportunities. As a starting point, these sites may provide the demonstration and knowledge necessary for reducing carbon capture technology costs across all industries, therefore improving the economic viability for CCS and climate change mitigation. The various industries considered in this review were examined from a dilution and impact perspective to determine the best path forward in terms of prioritizing for carbon capture. A possible implementation pathway is presented that initially focuses on CO2 capture from ethanol production, followed by the cement industry, ammonia, and then natural gas processing and ethylene oxide production. While natural gas processing and ethylene oxide production produce high purity streams, they only account for relatively small portions of industrial process CO2. Finally, petroleum refineries account for almost a fifth of industrial process CO2, but are comprised of numerous low-purity CO2 streams. These qualities make the latter three industries less attractive for initial carbon capture implementation, and better suited for consideration towards the end of the industrial carbon capture pathway