67 research outputs found

    Normal Approximation to a Sum of Geometric Random Variableswith Application to Ammunition Stockpile Planning

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    The normal approximation for a sum of geometric random variables has been examined. Thisapproximation is relevant to the determination of direct-fire ammunition stockpile levels in adefence setting. Among the methodologies available for this assessment, one is a target-orientedmethodology. This approach calculates the number of rounds necessary to destroy a givenfraction of the enemy force and infrastructure. The difficulty is that the number of rounds requiredcannot be determined analytically. An obvious numeric approach is Monte Carlo simulation.Another is the approximation approach which has several advantages like it is easy to implement.and is accurate even in the case where the number of targets is low

    A review of the Dividend Discount Model: from deterministic to stochastic models

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    This chapter presents a review of the dividend discount models starting from the basic models (Williams 1938, Gordon and Shapiro 1956) to more recent and complex models (Ghezzi and Piccardi 2003, Barbu et al. 2017, D'Amico and De Blasis 2018) with a focus on the modelling of the dividend process rather than the discounting factor, that is assumed constant in most of the models. The Chapter starts with an introduction of the basic valuation model with some general aspects to consider when performing the computation. Then, Section 1.3 presents the Gordon growth model (Gordon 1962) with some of its extensions (Malkiel 1963, Fuller and Hsia 1984, Molodovsky et al. 1965, Brooks and Helms 1990, Barsky and De Long 1993), and reports some empirical evidence. Extended reviews of the Gordon stock valuation model and its extensions can be found in Kamstra (2003) and Damodaran (2012). In Section 1.4, the focus is directed to more recent advancements which make us of the Markov chain to model the dividend process (Hurley and Johnson 1994, Yao 1997, Hurley and Johnson 1998, Ghezzi and Piccardi 2003, Barbu et al. 2017, D'Amico and De Blasis 2018). The advantage of these models is the possibility to obtain a different valuation that depends on the state of the dividend series, allowing the model to be closer to reality. In addition, these models permit to obtain a measure of the risk of the single stock or a portfolio of stocks

    Meditation-based interventions for family caregivers of people with dementia: a review of the empirical literature

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    Objectives: Providing care for a family member with dementia is associated with increased risk of adverse mental health sequelae. Recently, interventions utilising meditation-based techniques have been developed with the aim of reducing psychological distress among dementia caregivers. The present review aimed to critically evaluate the extant empirical literature in order to determine: (1) whether meditation-based interventions can reduce depression among dementia caregivers and (2) whether meditation-based interventions can reduce subjective burden among dementia caregivers. Method: After adhering to inclusion and exclusion criteria, a total of eight studies were included in the present review. Methodological quality was assessed using one of two scales dependent on study design. Results: The results provide tentative evidence that meditation-based interventions do indeed improve levels of depression and burden in family dementia caregivers. Conclusions: The review highlighted the strengths and weakness of the studies’ methodological designs. Whilst this novel review offers evidence in support of meditation-based interventions to improve the psychological distress of family dementia caregivers, future research should direct efforts to conduct larger scale, more rigorous studies. Clinical implications of the findings are also discussed

    Relativistic wave equations for interacting massive particles with arbitrary half-intreger spins

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    New formulation of relativistic wave equations (RWE) for massive particles with arbitrary half-integer spins s interacting with external electromagnetic fields are proposed. They are based on wave functions which are irreducible tensors of rank n(n (n=s-\frac12$) antisymmetric w.r.t. n pairs of indices, whose components are bispinors. The form of RWE is straightforward and free of inconsistencies associated with the other approaches to equations describing interacting higher spin particles

    On the linear forms of the Schrodinger equation

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    Generalizing the linearisation procedure used by Dirac and later by L\'evy-Leblond, we derive the first-order non-relativistic wave equations for particles of spin 1 and spin 3/2 starting from the Schrodinger equation

    Prevalence of drug-resistant minority variants in untreated HIV-1-infected individuals with and those without transmitted drug resistance detected by sanger sequencing

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    Minority variant human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) resistance mutations are associated with an increased risk of virological failure during treatment with NNRTI-containing regimens. To determine whether individuals to whom variants with isolated NNRTI-associated drug resistance were transmitted are at increased risk of virological failure during treatment with a non-NNRTI-containing regimen, we identified minority variant resistance mutations in 33 individuals with isolated NNRTI-associated transmitted drug resistance and 49 matched controls. We found similar proportions of overall and nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor-associated minority variant resistance mutations in both groups, suggesting that isolated NNRTI-associated transmitted drug resistance may not be a risk factor for virological failure during treatment with a non-NNRTI-containing regimen. © The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved

    Toward Developing Models to Study the Disease, Ecology, and Evolution of the Eye in Mollusca*

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    Factors Associated with Revision Surgery after Internal Fixation of Hip Fractures

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    Background: Femoral neck fractures are associated with high rates of revision surgery after management with internal fixation. Using data from the Fixation using Alternative Implants for the Treatment of Hip fractures (FAITH) trial evaluating methods of internal fixation in patients with femoral neck fractures, we investigated associations between baseline and surgical factors and the need for revision surgery to promote healing, relieve pain, treat infection or improve function over 24 months postsurgery. Additionally, we investigated factors associated with (1) hardware removal and (2) implant exchange from cancellous screws (CS) or sliding hip screw (SHS) to total hip arthroplasty, hemiarthroplasty, or another internal fixation device. Methods: We identified 15 potential factors a priori that may be associated with revision surgery, 7 with hardware removal, and 14 with implant exchange. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses in our investigation. Results: Factors associated with increased risk of revision surgery included: female sex, [hazard ratio (HR) 1.79, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-2.50; P = 0.001], higher body mass index (fo

    Calculating the odds of the miracle at brookline

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    Equitable birthdate categorization systems for organized minor sports competition

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    In some organized minor sports programs where there is early competitive streaming, players born early in the year are more likely to reach elite levels than those born late in the year. This is generally attributed to the calendar year system most minor sports programs use to group players for the purposes of competition. In this paper I show how to devise more equitable systems based only on player ages. These systems rotate the relative age advantage so that those players born late in the calendar year are not always the youngest players in their age division.Societal problem analysis Scheduling
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