Modeling the Probability of HIV Infection over Time in High-Risk Seronegative Participants Receiving Placebo in Five Randomized Double-Blind Placebo-Controlled HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis Trials: A Patient-Level Pooled Analysis.

The World Health Organization recommends pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for individuals at substantial risk of HIV infection. The aim of this analysis is to quantify the individual risk of HIV infection over time, using a large database of high-risk individuals (n = 5583). We used data from placebo recipients in five phase III PrEP trials: iPrEx, conducted in men who have sex with men and transgender women; VOICE, conducted in young women at high sexual risk; Partners PrEP, conducted in HIV serodiscordant heterosexual couples; TDF2, conducted in high-risk heterosexual men and women; and BTS, conducted in persons who inject drugs. The probability of HIV infection over time was estimated using NONMEM7.4. We identified predictors of HIV risk and found a substantial difference in the risk of infection among and within trial populations, with each study including a mix of low, moderate, and high-risk individuals (p < 0.05). Persons who were female at birth were at a higher risk of HIV infection than people who were male at birth. Final models were integrated in a tool that can assess person-specific risk and simulate cumulative HIV risk over time. These models can be used to optimize future PrEP clinical trials by identifying potential participants at highest risk

Cross-reactive T cell responses in HIV CRF01_AE and B'-infected intravenous drug users: implications for superinfection and vaccines.

Abstract We previously observed limited cross-reactive T cell responses in two HIV-1-superinfected injection drug users (IDUs) before superinfection [Ramos A, et al.: J Virol 2002;76(15):7444-7452]. To elucidate the role of such responses in superinfection we examined cross-reactive T cell responses in IDUs infected with a single HIV-1 subtype. In this study, IFN-gamma ELISPOT assays were performed using recombinant vaccinia constructs and peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from 43 IDUs singly infected with CRF01_AE or B' from the same cohort as the superinfected IDUs. PBMCs were from time points corresponding to pre- (early) or post- (late) superinfection in the superinfected IDUs. We observed that most singly infected IDUs had cross-reactivity in samples from early (84% of CRF01_AE and 78% of B'-infected IDUs) and late (96% of CRF_01AE and 77% of B'-infected IDUs) time points. Frequent homologous reactivity at early (67% of CRF-01AE and 100% of B') and late (84% of CRF01_AE-infected and 100% of B'-infected IDUs) time points was also observed. Cross-reactive responses were predominantly to Pol and were broader and higher in CRF01_AE than in B'-infected IDUs (medians of 825 vs. 90 and 585 vs. 60 spot-forming units/10(6) PBMCs at early and late time points, respectively). Our results show that cross-reactive responses were more prevalent with greater height and breadth in singly infected IDUs than previously observed in corresponding collection time points of superinfected IDU. Thus, low or absent cross-reactivity may have contributed to the previously observed superinfections. These data are relevant for understanding superinfection and improving vaccine design

Risk behaviors and risk factors for HIV infection among participants in the Bangkok tenofovir study, an HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis trial among people who inject drugs.

INTRODUCTION: HIV spread rapidly among people who inject drugs in Bangkok in the late 1980s. In recent years, changes in drug use and HIV-associated risk behaviors have been reported. We examined data from the Bangkok Tenofovir Study, an HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis trial conducted among people who inject drugs, to assess participant risk behavior and drug use, and to identify risk factors for HIV infection. METHODS: The Bangkok Tenofovir Study was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. HIV status was assessed monthly and risk behavior every 3 months. We used generalized estimating equations logistic regression to model trends of injecting, needle sharing, drugs injected, incarceration, and sexual activity reported at follow-up visits; and proportional hazards models to evaluate demographic characteristics, sexual activities, incarceration, drug injection practices, and drugs injected during follow-up as predictors of HIV infection. RESULTS: The proportion of participants injecting drugs, sharing needles, and reporting sex with more than one partner declined during follow-up (p<0.001). Among participants who reported injecting at enrollment, 801 (53.2%) injected methamphetamine, 559 (37.1%) midazolam, and 527 (35.0%) heroin. In multivariable analysis, young age (i.e., 20-29 years) (p = 0.02), sharing needles (p<0.001), and incarceration in prison (p = 0.002) were associated with incident HIV infection. Participants reporting sex with an opposite sex partner, live-in partner, casual partner, or men reporting sex with male partners were not at a significantly higher risk of HIV infection compared to those who did not report these behaviors. CONCLUSION: Reports of HIV-associated risk behavior declined significantly during the trial. Young age, needle sharing, and incarceration were independently associated with HIV infection. Sexual activity was not associated with HIV infection, suggesting that the reduction in HIV incidence among participants taking daily oral tenofovir compared to those taking placebo was due to a decrease in parenteral HIV transmission

Enrollment characteristics and risk behaviors of injection drug users participating in the Bangkok Tenofovir Study, Thailand.

The Bangkok Tenofovir Study was launched in 2005 to determine if pre-exposure prophylaxis with tenofovir will reduce the risk of HIV infection among injecting drug users (IDUs). We describe recruitment, screening, enrollment, and baseline characteristics of study participants and contrast risk behavior of Tenofovir Study participants with participants in the 1999-2003 AIDSVAX B/E Vaccine Trial.The Bangkok Tenofovir Study is an ongoing, phase-3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis trial of daily oral tenofovir. The Tenofovir Study and the Vaccine Trial were conducted among IDUs at 17 drug-treatment clinics in Bangkok. Tenofovir Study sample size was based on HIV incidence in the Vaccine Trial. Standardized questionnaires were used to collect demographic, risk behavior, and incarceration data. The Tenofovir Study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number--NCT00119106.From June 2005 through July 2010, 4094 IDUs were screened and 2413 enrolled in the Bangkok Tenofovir Study. The median age of enrolled participants was 31 years (range, 20-59), 80% were male, and 63% reported they injected drugs during the 3 months before enrollment. Among those who injected, 53% injected methamphetamine, 37% midazolam, and 35% heroin. Tenofovir Study participants were less likely to inject drugs, inject daily, or share needles (all, p<0.001) than Vaccine Trial participants.The Bangkok Tenofovir Study has been successfully launched and is fully enrolled. Study participants are significantly less likely to report injecting drugs and sharing needles than participants in the 1999-2003 AIDSVAX B/E Vaccine Trial suggesting HIV incidence will be lower than expected. In response, the Bangkok Tenofovir Study enrollment was increased from 1600 to 2400 and the study design was changed from a defined 1-year follow-up period to an endpoint-driven design. Trial results demonstrating whether or not daily oral tenofovir reduces the risk of HIV infection among IDUs are expected in 2012

Characterizing HIV-Preventive, Plasma Tenofovir Concentrations-A Pooled Participant-level Data Analysis From Human Immunodeficiency Virus Preexposure Prophylaxis Clinical Trials.

BackgroundDaily dosing of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate, with or without emtricitabine, has high efficacy in preventing human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection when individuals are adherent. The target protective plasma concentration of tenofovir (TFV), however, is not fully understood. The aim of this study is to estimate the protective TFV plasma concentration.MethodsParticipant data from TFV-based daily oral and topical active arms of phase 3 trials (iPrEx, VOICE, and Partners PrEP) were pooled (n = 2950). Individual specific risk scores (low and high risk) of acquiring HIV, based on an earlier placebo analysis, were created. Longitudinal TFV pharmacokinetics (PK), HIV outcome, individual risk scores and the effect of sex at birth data were integrated and analyzed using non-linear mixed effects models.ResultsAround 50% of the individuals were estimated to be adherent, which differed from self-reported adherence (∼90%) and large variation between longitudinal adherence patterns were identified. Following oral administration, the estimated protective TFV trough concentration was substantially higher in high-risk females (45.8 ng/mL) compared with high-risk males (16.1 ng/mL) and to low-risk individuals (∼7.5 ng/mL). Dosing simulations indicated that high-risk women require full adherence to maintain protective levels.ConclusionsUsing the largest PK-HIV outcome database to date, we developed a population adherence-PK-risk-outcome model. Our results indicate that high-risk females need higher levels of plasma TFV to achieve HIV protection compared with males. HIV protection exceeds 90% in all populations if daily adherence is achieved

Characterizing HIV-Preventive, Plasma Tenofovir Concentrations-A Pooled Participant-level Data Analysis From Human Immunodeficiency Virus Preexposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) Clinical Trials

Background. Daily dosing of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate, with or without emtricitabine, has high efficacy in preventing human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection when individuals are adherent. The target protective plasma concentration of tenofovir (TFV), however, is not fully understood. The aim of this study is to estimate the protective TFV plasma concentration. Methods. Participant data from TFV-based daily oral and topical active arms of phase 3 trials (iPrEx, VOICE, and Partners PrEP) were pooled (n = 2950). Individual specific risk scores (low and high risk) of acquiring HIV, based on an earlier placebo analysis, were created. Longitudinal TFV pharmacokinetics (PK), HIV outcome, individual risk scores and the effect of sex at birth data were integrated and analyzed using non-linear mixed effects models. Results. Around 50% of the individuals were estimated to be adherent, which differed from self-reported adherence (≏90%) and large variation between longitudinal adherence patterns were identified. Following oral administration, the estimated protective TFV trough concentration was substantially higher in high-risk females (45.8 ng/mL) compared with high-risk males (16.1 ng/mL) and to low-risk individuals (≏7.5 ng/mL). Dosing simulations indicated that high-risk women require full adherence to maintain protective levels. Conclusions. Using the largest PK-HIV outcome database to date, we developed a population adherence-PK-risk-outcome model. Our results indicate that high-risk females need higher levels of plasma TFV to achieve HIV protection compared with males. HIV protection exceeds 90% in all populations if daily adherence is achieved