16 research outputs found
Dynamics of Coronavirus spread in terms of chemical reaction kinetics
The data on Coronavirus spread in Russia (as a whole), Sweden, Moscow, and Yakutia were analyzed within the framework of kinetics of autocatalytic branching chain reactions It was shown that in certain time intervals, the dynamics of this process can be described by a logistic function with a graph similar to the kinetic curve of product accumulation in a first-order autocatalytic reaction both in the consumption of the reactant and in the autocatalysis by the product The logistic curve expression has a certain predictive ability and can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of anti-epidemic measures;it also poses the problem of elucidating the causes of unexpected abrupt changes in the logistic function parameters in the description of actual statistical data Π‘ ΠΏΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΊΠΈΠ½Π΅ΡΠΈΠΊΠΈ Π°Π²ΡΠΎΠΊΠ°ΡΠ°Π»ΠΈΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈΡ
ΡΠ΅ΠΏΠ½ΡΡ
ΡΠ°Π·Π²Π΅ΡΠ²Π»Π΅Π½Π½ΡΡ
ΡΠ΅Π°ΠΊΡΠΈΠΉ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ Π°Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΠ· Π΄Π°Π½Π½ΡΡ
ΠΏΠΎ ΡΠ°ΡΠΏΡΠΎΡΡΡΠ°Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΊΠΎΡΠΎΠ½Π°Π²ΠΈΡΡΡΠ° Π² Π ΠΎΡΡΠΈΠΈ (Π² ΡΠ΅Π»ΠΎΠΌ), Π¨Π²Π΅ΡΠΈΠΈ, ΠΠΎΡΠΊΠ²Π΅ ΠΈ Π―ΠΊΡΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΠΎΠΊΠ°Π·Π°Π½ΠΎ, ΡΡΠΎ Π² ΠΎΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅Π»Π΅Π½Π½ΡΡ
Π²ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π½ΡΡ
ΠΈΠ½ΡΠ΅ΡΠ²Π°Π»Π°Ρ
Π΄ΠΈΠ½Π°ΠΌΠΈΠΊΡ ΡΡΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΏΡΠΎΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ° ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ ΠΎΠΏΠΈΡΠ°ΡΡ Π»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΡΡΠ½ΠΊΡΠΈΠ΅ΠΉ, Π³ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΊ ΠΊΠΎΡΠΎΡΠΎΠΉ Π°Π½Π°Π»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡΠ΅Π½ ΠΊΠΈΠ½Π΅ΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²ΠΎΠΉ Π½Π°ΠΊΠΎΠΏΠ»Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ΄ΡΠΊΡΠ° Π² Π°Π²ΡΠΎΠΊΠ°ΡΠ°Π»ΠΈΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΡΠ΅Π°ΠΊΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ²ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΏΠΎΡΡΠ΄ΠΊΠ° ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎ ΡΠ°ΡΡ
ΠΎΠ΄Ρ ΠΈΡΡ
ΠΎΠ΄Π½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ Π²Π΅ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π°, ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎ ΡΠ΅Π°ΠΊΡΠΈΠΈ Π°Π²ΡΠΎΠΊΠ°ΡΠ°Π»ΠΈΠ·Π° ΠΏΡΠΎΠ΄ΡΠΊΡΠΎΠΌ ΠΡΡΠ°ΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ Π»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²ΠΎΠΉ ΠΎΠ±Π»Π°Π΄Π°Π΅Ρ ΠΎΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅Π»Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΡΠΊΠ°Π·Π°ΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΏΠΎΡΠΎΠ±Π½ΠΎΡΡΡΡ, ΠΏΠΎΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ»ΡΠ΅Ρ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡ ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΠΎΡΡΡ Π°Π½ΡΠΈΡΠΏΠΈΠ΄Π΅ΠΌΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈΡ
ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠΏΡΠΈΡΡΠΈΠΉ, ΡΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ±Π»Π΅ΠΌΡ Π²ΡΡΡΠ½Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΏΡΠΈΡΠΈΠ½ Π½Π΅ΠΎΠΆΠΈΠ΄Π°Π½Π½ΡΡ
ΡΠΊΠ°ΡΠΊΠΎΠΎΠ±ΡΠ°Π·Π½ΡΡ
ΠΈΠ·ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ ΠΏΠ°ΡΠ°ΠΌΠ΅ΡΡΠΎΠ² Π»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΡΡΠ½ΠΊΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΈ ΠΎΠΏΠΈΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΠΈ ΡΠ°ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈΡ
ΡΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈΡ
Π΄Π°Π½Π½Ρ