Imprecise inference for warranty contract analysis

a b s t r a c t This paper presents an investigation into generalised Bayesian analysis of warranty contracts, using sets of prior distributions within the theory of imprecise probability. Explicit expressions are derived for optimal lower and upper bounds for the expected profit for the manufacturer of a product, corresponding to an imprecise negative binomial model for which two sets of prior distributions are studied. The results can be used to set a maximum value of compensation such that the manufacturer's expected profit remains positive, under vague prior knowledge

Imprecise inference for warranty contract analysis

Abstract This paper presents an investigation into generalized Bayesian analysis of warranty contracts, using sets of prior distributions within the theory of imprecise probability. Explicit expressions are derived for optimal lower and upper bounds for the expected pro…t for the manufacturer of a product, corresponding to an imprecise negative binomial model for which two sets of prior distributions are studied. The results can be used to set a maximum value of compensation such that the manufacturer's expected pro…t remains positive, under vague prior knowledge

Hybrid fuzzy and sliding-mode control for motorised tether spin-up when coupled with axial vibration

A hybrid fuzzy sliding mode controller is applied to the control of motorised tether spin-up coupled with an axial oscillation phenomenon. A six degree of freedom dynamic model of a motorised momentum exchange tether is used as a basis for interplanetary payload exchange. The tether comprises a symmetrical double payload configuration, with an outrigger counter inertia and massive central facility. It is shown that including axial elasticity permits an enhanced level of performance prediction accuracy and a useful departure from the usual rigid body representations, particularly for accurate payload positioning at strategic points. A special simulation program has been devised in MATLAB and MATHEMATICA for a given initial condition data case

Application of Spectroscopy Methods for Indication and Identification of Pathogenic Biological Agents

The review presents data on application of UV, IR and optical spectroscopy methods for non-specific indication of pathogenic biological agents, and IR Fourier spectroscopy, and Raman spectroscopy - for their identification. Considered are advantages, disadvantages and prospects of different spectroscopy methods application for monitoring of the environment for the presence of pathogenic biological agents

Procjena varijabli stanja sustava s gorivnim člankom i uzlaznim pretvaračem metodom brzog uzorkovanja signala

Estimation of state variables of a peak current mode (PCM) controlled DC-DC boost converter supplied by a PEM fuel cell is described in this paper. Since this system is highly nonlinear and non-minimum phase, its state variables are estimated by using fast output sampling method. Estimated state variables are the converter output voltage and its first derivative, and they are suitable for model reference adaptive control or sliding mode based control techniques. The estimator has been designed in a way that it gives a good estimate of the state variables in the continuous and in the discontinuous conduction mode of the converter, and in the presence of measurement and process noise caused by converter switching-mode operation. Experimental results of estimating the state variables on a 450 W boost converter supplied by the emulator of the PEM fuel cell BCS 64-32 show good results of the estimation, regardless of the conduction mode of the converter, i.e. the operating point determined by its output current.U ovom radu obrađena je procjena varijabli stanja sustava s istomjernim uzlaznim pretvaračem u vršnom strujnom načinu upravljanja napajanim PEM gorivnim člankom. Budući da je taj sustav izrazito nelinearan te neminimalno-fazan, za procjenu njegovih varijabli stanja upotrebljena je metoda brzog uzorkovanja izlaznog signala. Procjenjene varijable stanja su izlazni napon uzlaznog pretvarača te njegova prva derivacija, te su pogodne za adaptivno upravljanje s referentnim modelom i upravljanje temeljeno na kliznim režimima. Procjenitelj je projektiran na način da daje dobru procjenu varijabli stanja u kontinuiranom i diskontinuiranom režimu rada pretvarača, te u uvjetima mjernog i procesnog šuma uzrokovanog sklopnim načinom rada pretvarača. Eksperimentalni rezultati procjene varijabli stanja na uzlaznom pretvaraču snage 450 W napajanim emulatorom gorivnog članka BCS 64-32 pokazuju dobre rezultate procjene, neovisno o režimu rada pretvarača, odnosno radnoj točki određenoj njegovom izlaznom strujom

Development of Methodological Approaches for Examination of Particularly Dangerous Infectious Diseases Agents by Means of Atomic Power Microscopy

The atomic power microscopy (APM) is used to study the cell surface structure of particularly dangerous infectious diseases agents and to carry out the morphometric analysis. APM shows similar results with scanning electron microscopy. However, its application makes it possible to avoid time-consuming and labour-intensive procedures of samples preparing for testing by fixation, dehydration and sputtering of conducting layer. Methodological approach has been elaborated for preparing and analysis of samples of agents of particularly dangerous infectious diseases by means of APM. This approach includes a selection of optimal substrate, mode of disinfection and scanning of samples

Determination of ππ\pi\pi scattering lengths from measurement of π+π−\pi^+\pi^- atom lifetime

The DIRAC experiment at CERN has achieved a sizeable production of $\pi^+\pi^-$ atoms and has significantly improved the precision on its lifetime determination. From a sample of 21227 atomic pairs, a 4% measurement of the S-wave $\pi\pi$ scattering length difference $|a_0-a_2| = (.0.2533^{+0.0080}_{-0.0078}|_\mathrm{stat}.{}^{+0.0078}_{-0.0073}|_\mathrm{syst})M_{\pi^+}^{-1}$ has been attained, providing an important test of Chiral Perturbation Theory.Comment: 6 pages, 6 figure