18 research outputs found

    Modeling of surface dust concentration in snow cover at industrial area using neural networks and kriging

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    Modeling of spatial distribution of pollutants in the urbanized territories is difficult, especially if there are multiple emission sources. When monitoring such territories, it is often impossible to arrange the necessary detailed sampling. Because of this, the usual methods of analysis and forecasting based on geostatistics are often less effective. Approaches based on artificial neural networks (ANNs) demonstrate the best results under these circumstances. This study compares two models based on ANNs, which are multilayer perceptron (MLP) and generalized regression neural networks (GRNNs) with the base geostatistical method-kriging. Models of the spatial dust distribution in the snow cover around the existing copper quarry and in the area of emissions of a nickel factory were created. To assess the effectiveness of the models three indices were used: the mean absolute error (MAE), the root-mean-square error (RMSE), and the relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE). Taking into account all indices the model of GRNN proved to be the most accurate which included coordinates of the sampling points and the distance to the likely emission source as input parameters for the modeling. Maps of spatial dust distribution in the snow cover were created in the study area. It has been shown that the models based on ANNs were more accurate than the kriging, particularly in the context of a limited data set. Β© 2017 Author(s)

    Multilayer perceptron, generalized regression neural network, and hybrid model in predicting the spatial distribution of impurity in the topsoil of urbanized area

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    The study is based on the data obtained as a result of soil screening in the city of Noyabrsk, Russia. A comparison of two types of neural networks most commonly used in this type of research was carried out: multi-layer perceptron (MLP), generalized regression neural network (GRNN), and a combined MLP and ordinary kriging approach (MLPRK) for predicting the spatial distribution of the chemical element Chromium (Cr) in the surface layer of the urbanized territory. The model structures were developed using computer modeling, based on minimizing of a root mean squared error (RMSE). As input parameters, the spatial coordinates were used, and the concentration of Cr - as the output. The hybrid MLPRK approach showed the best prognostic accuracy. Β© 2018 Author(s)

    Modern problems of teaching human anatomy in medical universities and prospects for their solution

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    Teaching anatomy in medical schools requires reforming in order to improve the quality of teaching students at the current stage of training qualified doctors.ΠŸΡ€Π΅ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π°Π²Π°Π½ΠΈΠ΅ Π°Π½Π°Ρ‚ΠΎΠΌΠΈΠΈ Π² мСдицинских Π²ΡƒΠ·Π°Ρ… Ρ‚Ρ€Π΅Π±ΡƒΠ΅Ρ‚ рСформирования с Ρ†Π΅Π»ΡŒΡŽ ΡƒΠ»ΡƒΡ‡ΡˆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ качСства обучСния студСнтов Π½Π° соврСмСнном этапС ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π³ΠΎΡ‚ΠΎΠ²ΠΊΠΈ ΠΊΠ²Π°Π»ΠΈΡ„ΠΈΡ†ΠΈΡ€ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½Π½Ρ‹Ρ… Π²Ρ€Π°Ρ‡Π΅ΠΉ

    Forensic evaluation of obstetric&gynecological care based on expert commission

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    Study produced 188 examinations in cases of adverse outcome of care according to expert materials for 2001-2007. The paper presents the results of the analysis of defects providing obstetric care in clinics of district are submitted.ΠŸΡ€ΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΎ ΠΈΠ·ΡƒΡ‡Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ 188 экспСртиз ΠΏΠΎ Π΄Π΅Π»Π°ΠΌ ΠΎ нСблагоприятном исходС оказания мСдицинской ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠΎΡ‰ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎ Π΄Π°Π½Π½Ρ‹ΠΌ экспСртных ΠΌΠ°Ρ‚Π΅Ρ€ΠΈΠ°Π»ΠΎΠ² Π·Π° 2001 -2007 Π³ΠΎΠ΄Ρ‹. Π’ Ρ€Π°Π±ΠΎΡ‚Π΅ прСдставлСны Ρ€Π΅Π·ΡƒΠ»ΡŒΡ‚Π°Ρ‚Ρ‹ Π°Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΠ·Π° Π΄Π΅Ρ„Π΅ΠΊΡ‚ΠΎΠ² оказания Π°ΠΊΡƒΡˆΠ΅Ρ€ΡΠΊΠΎ-гинСкологичСской ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠΎΡ‰ΠΈ Π² мСдицинских учрСТдСниях ΠΎΠΊΡ€ΡƒΠ³Π°

    Modeling of changes in heat resistance of nickel-based alloys using bayesian artificial neural networks

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    Resource design of gas turbine engines and installations requires extensive information about the heat resistance of nickel-based superalloys, from which the most critical parts of aircraft and marine engines, pumps of gas-oil pumping stations and power plants are made. The problems are that the data on the heat resistance obtained as a result of testing each alloy under study are quite limited. In the present paper, the task of modelling changes in the heat resistance of nickel-based superalloy on the basis of available experimental data is solved. To solve the task, the most modern approach, the neural network modeling method, was applied. The input data are chemical compositions of heat-resistant nickel-based superalloys and the values of their heat resistance obtained experimentally. The output data are the calculated values of heat resistance modeled by an artificial neural network. In the course of the work, transformations of the input data were carried out to reduce the standard deviation of the modeling of the output data. The choice of the neural network configuration was made in order to achieve the highest possible accuracy. As a result, a neural network of direct error propagation was used, with 27 neurons on the input layer, 13 neurons in the hidden layer and 1 neuron in the output layer. To validate the results of the predictions, a group of alloys with the maximum number of known experimental values of heat resistance was randomly selected before the input of data into the network. After preparing the data, selecting the configuration and training the network, the chemical compositions of the selected group were loaded and their heat resistance values were calculated. Comparison of the obtained data with the experimental data showed high efficiency of the method. As a result, data on the change of heat resistance for the studied alloys were obtained and an analytical expression describing the obtained dependences was formulated. Β© 2020, Institute for Metals Superplasticity Problems of Russian Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

    Morphological changes in the cardiac conduction system in coronary artery disease

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    Myocardial infarction and acute coronary insufficiency, which prednekroticheskoy stage ischemic myocardium, the nature of structural changes in different parts of the conduction system is diverse and is characterized by an increase in the proportion of fat and connective tissue and a decrease in the proportion of conductive cardiomyocytes.ΠŸΡ€ΠΈ ΠΈΠ½Ρ„Π°Ρ€ΠΊΡ‚Π΅ ΠΌΠΈΠΎΠΊΠ°Ρ€Π΄Π° ΠΈ острой ΠΊΠΎΡ€ΠΎΠ½Π°Ρ€Π½ΠΎΠΉ нСдостаточности, ΡΠ²Π»ΡΡŽΡ‰Π΅ΠΉΡΡ прСднСкротичСской стадиСй ΠΈΡˆΠ΅ΠΌΠΈΠ·ΠΈΡ€ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½Π½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΌΠΈΠΎΠΊΠ°Ρ€Π΄Π°, Ρ…Π°Ρ€Π°ΠΊΡ‚Π΅Ρ€ структурных ΠΈΠ·ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ Π² Ρ€Π°Π·Π»ΠΈΡ‡Π½Ρ‹Ρ… ΠΎΡ‚Π΄Π΅Π»Π°Ρ… проводящСй систСмы отличаСтся большим Ρ€Π°Π·Π½ΠΎΠΎΠ±Ρ€Π°Π·ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ ΠΈ характСризуСтся ΡƒΠ²Π΅Π»ΠΈΡ‡Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ Π΄ΠΎΠ»ΠΈ ΠΆΠΈΡ€ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠΉ ΠΈ ΡΠΎΠ΅Π΄ΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡ‚Π΅Π»ΡŒΠ½ΠΎΠΉ Ρ‚ΠΊΠ°Π½ΠΈ ΠΈ ΡƒΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡŒΡˆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ Π΄ΠΎΠ»ΠΈ проводящих ΠΊΠ°Ρ€Π΄ΠΈΠΎΠΌΠΈΠΎΡ†ΠΈΡ‚ΠΎΠ²
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