Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objective: The ongoing novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is the main cause of morbidity and mortality due to its contagious nature and absence of vaccine and treatment. Although there are considerable primary studies that reported extremely variable case fatality rate (CFR) of COVID-19, there is no review study that attempted to estimate CFR of COVID-19. The current systematic review and meta-analysis was aimed to estimate the pooled CFR of COVID-19. Methods: Electronic databases: PubMed, Science Direct, Scopus and Google Scholar were searched to retrieve the eligible primary studies that reported CFR of COVID-19. Keywords: ("COVID-19"OR "COVID-2019" OR "severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2"OR "severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2" OR "2019-nCoV" OR "SARS-CoV-2" OR "2019nCoV" OR (("Wuhan" AND ("coronavirus" OR "coronavirus")) AND (2019/12[PDAT] OR 2020[PDAT]))) AND ("mortality "OR "mortality" OR ("case" AND "fatality" AND "rate") OR "case fatality rate") were used as free text and MeSH term in searching process. Random-effects model used to estimate the CFR in this study. I2 statistic, Cochran’s Q test and T2 were used to assess the available heterogeneity between included studies. Results: The overall pooled CFR of COVID 19 was 10.0 %( 95% CI: 8.0-11.0); P<0.001; I2 = 99.7). The pooled CFR of COVID 19 in general population was 1.0% (95% CI: 1.0–3.0); P<0.001; I2 = 94.3), while in hospitalized patients was 13.0 % (95% CI: 9.0–17.0); P<0.001, I2 = 95.6). The pooled CFR in patients admitted in intensive care unit (ICU) was 37.0 % (95% CI: 24.0–51.0); P<0.001, I2 = 97.8) and in patients older than 50 years was 19.0 % (95% CI: 13.0–24.0); P<0.001; I2 = 99.8). Conclusion: The present review results highlighted the need of transparency in testing and reporting policies and denominators used in CFR estimation. It is also necessary reporting the cases age, sex and the comorbidity distribution of all patients which important in comparing the CFR among different segments of population

The effect of psychosocial factors and patients’ perception of tuberculosis treatment non-adherence in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

Background: Although there are several studies reported on factors affecting tuberculosis (TB) treatment non-adherence, there is information gap on psychosocial and patients’ perceptions aspects. Therefore, this study was aimed to investigate the effect of psychosocial factors and patients’ perceptions on TB treatment non-adherence in Ethiopia.Methods: A cross sectional study was conducted in Addis Ababa from May to December, 2014. Thirty one health facilities were randomly selected and 698 TB patients, who had been on treatment, were enrolled consecutively using patient registration number. Structured questionnaire was used to collect data on demographics, knowledge, psychological distress, alcohol use, tobacco smoking and six HBM domains. Treatment adherence level was the main outcome variable, and it measured using visual analog scale. Statistical Package for Social Sciences version 20 was used for data analysis.Results: Non-adherence level within last one month prior to the study was 19.5%. After controlling for all potential confounding variables, Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) status (Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) = 1.79, 95% Confidence interval (CI) (1.09 -2.95)), alcohol use (AOR = 2.11, 95% CI (1.33-3.37)), economic status (AOR = 0.53, 95% CI (0.33-0.82)), perceived barriers (AOR = 1.21, 95% CI (1.10-1.47)) and psychological distress (AOR = 1.83, 95% CI (1.47-2.29)) were independently associated with TB treatment non-adherence.Conclusion: ART status, economic status, alcohol use, perceived barrier and psychological distress are the major areas that need to be targeted with health promotion intervention to enhance TB treatment adherence.Keywords: Treatment Non-adherence, Determinants of treatment non-adherence, Health Belief Model, Tuberculosi

Tuberculosis among refugees and migrant populations: Systematic review.

Tuberculosis (TB) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality among refugees and migrant populations. These groups are among the most vulnerable populations at increased risk of developing TB. However, there is no systematic review that attempts to summarize TB among refugees and migrant populations. This study aimed to summarize evidence on the magnitude of TB among refugees and migrant populations. The findings of this review will provide evidence to improve TB prevention and control policies in refugees and migrants in refugee camps and in migrant-hosting countries. A systematic search was done to retrieve the articles published from 2014 to 2021 in English language from electronic databases. Key searching terms were used in both free text and Medical Subject Heading (MeSH). Articles which had reported the magnitude of TB among refugees and migrant populations were included in the review. We assessed the risk of bias, and quality of the included studies with a modified version of the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Included studies which had reported incidence or prevalence data were eligible for data synthesis. The results were shown as summary tables. In the present review, more than 3 million refugees and migrants were screened for TB with the data collection period between 1991 and 2017 among the included studies. The incidence and prevalence of TB ranged from 19 to 754 cases per 100,000 population and 18.7 to 535 cases per 100,000 population respectively among the included studies. The current findings show that the most reported countries of origin in TB cases among refugees and migrants were from Asia and Africa; and the incidence and prevalence of TB among refugees and migrant populations is higher than in the host countries. This implies the need to implement and improve TB prevention and control in refugees and migrant populations globally. Trial registration: The protocol of this review was registered on PROSPERO (International prospective register of systematic reviews) with ID number, CRD42020157619

Is hypothyroidism rare in multidrug resistance tuberculosis patients on treatment? A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BackgroundHypothyroidism is one of the adverse drug reactions that associated with Multidrug Resistant Tuberculosis (MDR-TB) medications. Extremely variable magnitude of hypothyroidism in MDR-TB patients has been reported from different parts of the world. However, there is no evidence that tried to estimate the pooled prevalence of hypothyroidism to confirm the rareness of hypothyroidism in MDR-TB patients on treatment. Therefore, we did a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the prevalence of hypothyroidism in MDR-TB patients on treatment, and to summarize the demographic and clinical characteristics of the patients.MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis on studies reported around the world on the prevalence of hypothyroidism in MDR-TB patients on treatment. We searched electronic databases: PubMed/Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Science Direct, Academic Search Complete and Google scholar for English language articles without limiting publication year. We also reviewed the bibliographies of relevant studies and conducted an electronic search for relevant conference abstracts. Eligible studies were cross-sectional and cohort studies that included at least five participants. We used a random-effects model to estimate the pooled prevalence of hypothyroidism. The registration number of this review study protocol is CRD42018109237.ResultsWe included 30 studies and pooled data on a total of 6,241 MDR-TB patients. The crude prevalence of hypothyroidism was extremely heterogeneous. The pooled prevalence of hypothyroidism in MDR-TB patients on treatment was 17.0% (95% CI: 13.0-20.0). Ethionamide and para-aminosalicylic acid (PAS) were the most frequently reported drugs that associated with the occurrence of hypothyroidism.ConclusionThis review revealed that hypothyroidism is not a rare adverse drug reaction in MDR-TB patients on treatment. Ethionamide and PAS were the most frequently reported drugs that associated with the occurrence of hypothyroidism. Screening of hypothyroidism in MDR-TB patients on treatment is important while targeting patients on Ethionamide and PAS based treatment regimen

Low enrollment and high treatment success in children with drug-resistant tuberculosis in Ethiopia: A ten years national retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND:Limited evidence exists on the treatment outcome and factors that are associated with the duration from the initiation of treatment to death or treatment failure in children with drug resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB). Thus, we aimed to determine the proportion of treatment enrollment, status of treatment outcome and determine factors that are associated with the duration from treatment initiation to death or treatment failure in children treated for DR-TB in Ethiopia. METHODS:We conducted a retrospective cohort study in children younger than 15 years old who were treated for DR-TB from February 2009 to February 2019 in Ethiopia. We collected data on socio-demographic and clinical characteristics from clinical charts, registration books and laboratory result reports on 155 children. Proportion of enrollment to the treatment was calculated by dividing the total number of children who were receiving the treatment by the total number of DR-TB patients treated during the specified years. We used Cox proportional hazard models to determine factors that were associated with the duration from the beginning of the treatment to death or treatment failure. Data was analyzed using STATA version 14. RESULTS:Of the 3,478 DR-TB patients enrolled into the treatment and fulfilling our inclusion criteria during the past ten years, 155 (4.5%) were children. Of the 155 children, 75 (48.4%) completed the treatment and 51 (32.9%) were cured. Furthermore, 18 (11.6%) children were died, seven (4.5%) lost to follow up and treatment of four (2.6%) children was failed. The overall treatment success was 126 (81.3%). Age younger than 5 years old [Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) = 3.2, 95%CI (1.2-8.3)], HIV sero-reactivity [AHR = 5.3, 95%CI (1.8-14.9)] and being anemic [AHR = 4.3, 95%CI (1.8-10.3)] were significantly associated with the duration from the enrollment into the treatment to death or treatment failure. CONCLUSION:In this study, the proportion of children enrolled into DR-TB treatment was lower than the proportion of adults enrolled to the treatment (4.5% in children versus 95.5% in adults) in last ten years. Our findings also suggest that children with DR-TB can be successfully treated with standardized long term regimen. Further prospective cohort study is required to investigate factors contributing to death or treatment failure

Pooled proportion of smear-positive EPTB using a fixed-effects model.

Pooled proportion of smear-positive EPTB using a fixed-effects model.</p

Psychological and Educational Intervention to Improve Tuberculosis Treatment Adherence in Ethiopia Based on Health Belief Model: A Cluster Randomized Control Trial

Treatment non-adherence results in treatment failure, prolonged transmission of disease and emergence of drug resistance. Although the problem widely investigated, there remains an information gap on the effectiveness of different methods to improve treatment adherence and the predictors of non-adherence in resource limited countries based on theoretical models. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of psychological counseling and educational intervention on tuberculosis (TB) treatment adherence based on Health Belief Model (HBM). A cluster randomized control trial was conducted in Addis Ababa from May to December, 2014. Patients were enrolled into study consecutively from 30 randomly selected Health Centers (HCs) (14 HCs intervention and 16 HCs control groups). A total of 698 TB patients, who were on treatment for one month to two months were enrolled. A structured questionnaire was administered to both groups of patients at baseline and endpoint of study. Control participants received routine directly-observed anti-TB therapy and the intervention group additionally received combined psychological counseling and adherence education. Treatment non-adherence level was the main outcome of the study, and multilevel logistic regression was employed to assess the impact of intervention on treatment adherence. At enrollment, the level of non-adherence among intervention (19.4%) and control (19.6%) groups was almost the same. However, after intervention, non-adherence level decreased among intervention group from 19.4 (at baseline) to 9.5% (at endpoint), while it increased among control group from 19.4% (baseline) to 25.4% (endpoint). Psychological counseling and educational interventions resulted in significant difference with regard to non-adherence level between intervention and control groups (Adjusted OR = 0.31, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) (0.18-0.53), p < 0.001)). Psychological counseling and educational interventions, which were guided by HBM, significantly decreased treatment non-adherence level among intervention group. Provision of psychological counseling and health education to TB patients who are on regular treatment is recommended. This could be best achieved if these interventions are guided by behavioral theories and incorporated into the routine TB treatment strategy. Pan African Clinical Trials Registry PACTR20150600117542

Epidemiology of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis among patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Objectives: To estimate the pooled proportion of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB) and pre-extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (pre-XDR-TB) in patients with multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB). Methods: We systematically searched articles from electronic databases: MEDLINE (PubMed), ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar. We also searched gray literature from the different literature sources main outcome of the review was either XDR-TB or pre-XDR-TB in patients with MDR-TB. We used the random-effects model, considering the substantial heterogeneity among studies. Heterogeneity was assessed by subgroup analyses. STATA version 14 was used for analysis. Results: A total of 64 studies that reported on 12,711 patients with MDR-TB from 22 countries were retrieved. The pooled proportion of pre-XDR-TB was 26% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 22-31%), whereas XDR-TB in MDR-TB cases was 9% (95% CI: 7-11%) in patients treated for MDR-TB. The pooled proportion of resistance to fluoroquinolones was 27% (95% CI: 22-33%) and second-line injectable drugs was 11% (95% CI: 9-13%). Whereas the pooled resistance proportions to bedaquiline, clofazimine, delamanid, and linezolid were 5% (95% CI: 1-8%), 4% (95% CI: 0-10%), 5% (95% CI; 2-8%), and 4% (95% CI: 2-10%), respectively. Conclusion: The burden of pre-XDR-TB and XDR-TB in MDR-TB were considerable. The high burdens of pre-XDR-TB and XDR-TB in patients treated for MDR-TB suggests the need to strengthen TB programs and drug resistance surveillance

Psychological distress and its effect on tuberculosis treatment outcomes in Ethiopia

Background: Psychological distress is the major comorbidity among tuberculosis (TB) patients. However, its magnitude, associated factors, and effect on treatment outcome have not been adequately studied in low-income countries. Objective: This study aimed to determine the magnitude of psychological distress and its effect on treatment outcome among TB patients on treatment. Design: A follow-up study was conducted in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, from May to December 2014. Patients (N=330) diagnosed with all types of TB who had been on treatment for 1–2 months were enrolled consecutively from 15 randomly selected health centers and one TB specialized hospital. Data on sociodemographic variables and economic status were collected using a structured questionnaire. The presence of psychological distress was assessed at baseline (within 1–2 months after treatment initiation) and end point (6 months after treatment initiation) using the 10-item Kessler (K-10) scale. Alcohol use and tobacco smoking history were assessed using WHO Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test and Australian Smoking Assessment Checklist, respectively. The current WHO TB treatment outcome definition was used to differentiate the end result of each patient at completion of the treatment. Results: The overall psychological distress was 67.6% at 1–2 months and 48.5% at 6 months after treatment initiation. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that past TB treatment history [adjusted odds ratio (AOR): 3.76; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.67–8.45], being on anti-TB and anti-HIV treatments (AOR: 5.35; 95% CI: 1.83–15.65), being unmarried (AOR: 4.29; 95% CI: 2.45–7.53), having alcohol use disorder (AOR: 2.95; 95% CI: 1.25–6.99), and having low economic status (AOR: 4.41; 95% CI: 2.44–7.97) were significantly associated with psychological distress at baseline. However, at 6 months after treatment initiation, only being a multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) patient (AOR: 3.02; 95% CI: 1.17–7.75) and having low economic status (AOR: 3.75; 95% CI: 2.08–6.74) were able to predict psychological distress significantly. Past TB treatment history (AOR: 2.13; 95% CI: 1.10–4.12), employment status (AOR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.06–7.00), and existence of psychological distress symptoms at 6 months after treatment initiation (AOR: 2.87; 95% CI: 1.05–7.81) were found to be associated with treatment outcome. Conclusions: The overall magnitude of psychological distress was high across the follow-up period; this was more pronounced at baseline. At baseline, past TB treatment history, being on anti-TB and anti-HIV treatments, being unmarried, and having symptoms of alcohol use disorder were associated with psychological distress. However, both at baseline and end point, low economic status was associated with psychological distress. Screening and treatment of psychological distress among TB patients across the whole treatment period is needed, and focusing more on patients who have been economically deprived, previously treated for TB, and on MDR-TB treatment are important

Crude and Adjusted Odds Ratios of Predictors of TB Treatment Non-adherence.

<p>Crude and Adjusted Odds Ratios of Predictors of TB Treatment Non-adherence.</p