Anarchy or Transformation? Scenarios for Change

SUMMARY The present period of crisis has stimulated a number of alternative ‘cognitive maps’ of change, among them the proposals contained in the Brandt, Palme and Thorsson reports. This article introduces six scenarios which portray some of these alternatives, including projects for crisis?management within the established international framework as well as for the transformation of that framework. SOMMAIRE Anarchie ou transformation? Ses scénarios pour un changement La période de crise actuelle a stimulé un certain nombre de “cartes de référence” alternatives de changement, parmi ceux?ci les propositions contenues dans les rapports de Brandt, Palme et Thorsson. Cet article introduit six scénarios qui montrent quelques alternatives, parmi scénarios lesquelles les projets relatifs à la crise de l'administration dans la structure établie internationale aussi bien que pour la transformation de cette structure. RESUMEN Anarquía o transformación? Scenarios para el cambio El actual período de crisis ha estimulado varios ‘mapas cognoscitivos’ alternativos de cambio, entre ellos las proposiciones contenidas en los informes Brandt, Palme y Thorsson. Este artículo presenta seis scenarios que describen algunas de estas alternativas, entre otros, proyectos para el manejo de crisis dentro del marco internacional establecido y también para la transformación de dicho marco

Editorial: Disarmament and Development – the International Context

The interconnections between international economic recession, the new Cold War and militarisation in the South provide the context for the articles in the IDS Bulletin 'Disarmament and World Development: Is There a Way Forward', from October 1985. Contributors were asked to reassess four key reports on development, disarmament and security issues. All were undertaken during a period of transition in the global economy and the Cold War (1979–83). Despite differences of emphasis they all advocate an integrated global approach to world economic and military problems, the restructuring of North-South economic relationships, strengthening of detente, and reductions in the allocation of resources for military purposes. But why, then, have they had so little impact on policy and still less on the march of events? Contributors to the Bulletin were also asked to address how disarmament and development could be put back on the international agenda. For instance, is there an adequate political case for linking disarmament to development and does military spending in fact entrench underdevelopment