The impact of control strategies and behavioural changes on the elimination of Ebola from Lofa County, Liberia.

The Ebola epidemic in West Africa was stopped by an enormous concerted effort of local communities and national and international organizations. It is not clear, however, how much the public health response and behavioural changes in affected communities, respectively, contributed to ending the outbreak. Here, we analyse the epidemic in Lofa County, Liberia, lasting from March to November 2014, by reporting a comprehensive time line of events and estimating the time-varying transmission intensity using a mathematical model of Ebola transmission. Model fits to the epidemic show an alternation of peaks and troughs in transmission, consistent with highly heterogeneous spread. This is combined with an overall decline in the reproduction number of Ebola transmission from early August, coinciding with an expansion of the local Ebola treatment centre. We estimate that healthcare seeking approximately doubled over the course of the outbreak, and that isolation of those seeking healthcare reduced their reproduction number by 62% (mean estimate, 95% credible interval (CI) 59-66). Both expansion of bed availability and improved healthcare seeking contributed to ending the epidemic, highlighting the importance of community engagement alongside clinical intervention.This article is part of the themed issue 'The 2013-2016 West African Ebola epidemic: data, decision-making and disease control'

Bundling HIV and TB Care at a District-Level Center in Sierra Leone: A high-yield method for diagnosing co-infection with TB and antiretroviral treatment failure among people living with HIV

Background: Protocols for HIV care are widely accepted by all international organizations and are proven to reduce mortality and complications from living with HIV. Unfortunately, executing best practice recommendations in Sierra Leone is difficult due to shortages in staff, training, and medications. Methods: From June 2016 to August 2016, we implemented both an HIV guideline-based clinical evaluation protocol and a patient-centered workflow for TB screening and CD4 testing in the HIV clinic at Koidu Government Hospital (KGH) in rural Sierra Leone. The primary outcome of interest was how often this service center resulted in a clinically significant change in the patients’ HIV regimen. Reasons for changing regimen included diagnosis of co-infection with tuberculosis (TB), diagnosis of clinical or presumed immunologic treatment failure of antiretroviral (ART) medications and, need for adherence to weight-based dosing in pediatric patients. Findings: A total of 188 patients with HIV were seen in the clinic; 49 (26%) of these patients had a clinically significant change in their HIV regimen. The most common reason for regimen change was TB co-infection diagnosis in 38 (20%) patients. The other reasons for HIV regimen changes included: eight children whose ART was adjusted to meet appropriate levels for weight-based guidelines, five patients diagnosed with presumed immunologic treatment failure (some also co-infected with tuberculosis), and two patients with a serious side effect to ART. Interpretation: A comprehensive, patient-centric HIV clinic can result in high rates of case detection for tuberculosis and recognition of immunological ART failure. Keywords: HIV, Immunological failure, Co-infection, Quality, Tuberculosis, Afric