International external validation of a stratification tool to identify branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms at lowest risk of progression

BACKGROUND: Identifying branch‐duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD‐IPMNs) at lowest risk of progression may allow for a reduced intensity of surveillance. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to externally validate the previously developed Dutch‐American Risk stratification Tool (DART‐1; https://rtools.mayo.edu/DART/), which identifies cysts at low risk of developing worrisome features (WFs) or high‐risk stigmata (HRS). METHODS: Three prospective cohorts of individuals under surveillance for BD‐IPMNs were combined, independent from the original development cohort. We assessed the performance (discrimination and calibration) of DART‐1, a multivariable Cox‐proportional logistic regression model with five predictors for the development of WFs or HRS. RESULTS: Of 832 individuals (mean age 77 years, SD 11.5) under surveillance for a median of 40 months (IQR 44), 163 (20%) developed WFs or HRS. DART‐1's discriminative ability (C‐statistic 0.68) was similar to that in the development cohort (0.64–0.72) and showed moderate calibration. DART‐1 adequately estimated the risk for patients in the middle risk quintile, and slightly underestimated it in the lowest quintiles. Their range of predicted versus observed 3‐year risk was 0%–0% versus 0%–3.7% for Q1; 0.3%–0.4% versus 3%–11% for Q2; and 2.6%–3% versus 2.4%–9.8% for Q3. The development of WFs or HRS was associated with pancreatic cancer (p < 0.001). Vice versa, in absence of WFs or HRS, the risk of malignancy was low (0.3%). CONCLUSIONS: The performance of DART‐1 to predict the development of WFs or HRS in BD‐IPMN was validated in an external international cohort, with a discriminative ability equal as in the development cohort. Risk estimations were most accurate for patients with BD‐IPMNs in the middle risk quintile and slightly underestimated in the lowest quintiles

Study protocol for a multicenter randomized controlled trial to compare radiofrequency ablation with surgical resection for treatment of pancreatic insulinoma

Background: Insulinoma is the most common functional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor and treatment is required to address symptoms associated with insulin hypersecretion. Surgical resection is effective but burdened by high rate of adverse events (AEs). Endoscopic ultrasound-guided radiofrequency ablation (EUS-RFA) demonstrated encouraging results in terms of safety and efficacy for the management of these tumors. However, studies comparing surgery and EUS-RFA are lacking. Aims: The primary aim is to compare EUS-RFA with surgery in term of safety (overall rate of AEs). Secondary endpoints include: (a) severe AEs rate; (b) clinical effectiveness; (c) patient's quality of life; (d) length of hospital stay; (e) rate of local/distance recurrence; (f) need of reintervention; (g) rate of endocrine and exocrine pancreatic insufficiency; (h) factors associated with EUS-RFA related AEs and clinical effectiveness. Methods: ERASIN-RCT is an international randomized superiority ongoing trial in four countries. Sixty patients will be randomized in two arms (EUS-RFA vs surgery) and outcomes compared. Two EUS-RFA sessions will be allowed to achieve symptoms resolution. Randomization and data collection will be performed online. Discussion: This study will ascertain if EUS-RFA can become the first-line therapy for management of small, sporadic, pancreatic insulinoma and be included in a step-up approach in case of clinical failure. &amp; COPY; 2023 Editrice Gastroenterologica Italiana S.r.l. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

Biliary complications after liver transplantation: current perspectives and future strategies

Importance: Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving therapy for patients with end-stage liver disease and with acute liver failure, and it is associated with excellent outcomes and survival rates at 1 and 5 years. The incidence of biliary complications (BCs) after LT is reported to range from 5% to 20%, most of them occurring in the first three months, although they can occur also several years after transplantation.Objective: The aim of this review is to summarize the available evidences on pathophysiology, risk factors, diagnosis and therapeutic management of BCs after LT.Evidence Review: a literature review was performed of papers on this topic focusing on risk factors, classifications, diagnosis and treatmentFindings: Principal risk factors include surgical techniques and donor's characteristics for biliary leakage and anastomotic biliary strictures and vascular alterations for nonanastomotic biliary strictures. MRCP is the gold standard both for intra- and extrahepatic BCs, while invasive cholangiography should be restricted for therapeutic uses or when MRCP is equivocal. About treatment, endoscopic techniques are the first line of treatment with success rates of 70-100%. The combined success rate of ERCP and PTBD overcome 90% of cases. Biliary leaks often resolve spontaneously, or with the positioning of a stent in ERCP for major bile leaksConclusions and Relevance: BCs influence morbidity and mortality after LT, therefore further evidences are needed to identify novel possible risk factors, to understand if an immunological status that could lead to their development exists and to compare the effectiveness of innovative surgical and machine perfusion techniques

Antidiabetic Drugs in NAFLD: The Accomplishment of Two Goals at Once?

Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease in Western countries, accounting for 20&#8315;30% of general population and reaching a prevalence of 55% in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Insulin resistance plays a key role in pathogenic mechanisms of NAFLD. Many drugs have been tested but no medications have yet been approved. Antidiabetic drugs could have a role in the progression reduction of the disease. The aim of this review is to summarize evidence on efficacy and safety of antidiabetic drugs in patients with NAFLD. Metformin, a biguanide, is the most frequently used drug in the treatment of T2DM. To date 15 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and four meta-analysis on the use of metformin in NAFLD are available. No significant improvement in histological liver fibrosis was shown, but it can be useful in the treatment of co-factors of NAFLD, like body weight, transaminase or cholesterol levels, and HbA1c levels. A possible protective role in various types of cancer has been reported for Metformin. Thiazolidinediones modulate insulin sensitivity by the activation of PPAR-&#947;. The RCTs and the meta-analysis available about the role of these drugs in NAFLD show an improvement in ballooning, lobular inflammation, and perhaps fibrosis, but some side effects, in particular cardiovascular, were showed. GLP-1 analogues stimulate insulin secretion by pancreatic beta cell and inhibit glucagon release; Liraglutide is the most used drug in this class and significantly improves steatosis, hepatocyte ballooning and transaminase levels. Scanty data about the role of DPP-4 and SGLT inhibitors were published. No data about insulin effects on NAFLD are available but it was showed a possible association between insulin use and the development of solid neoplasms, in particular HCC. In conclusion, antidiabetic drugs seem to be promising drugs, because they are able to treat both NAFLD manifestations and diabetes, preventing worsening of hepatic damage, but data are still conflicting. All antidiabetic drugs can be safely used in patients with compensated cirrhosis, while insulin is the preferred drug in decompensated Child C cirrhosis

Risk Factors for Rate of Relapse and Effects of Steroid Maintenance Therapy in Patients With Autoimmune Pancreatitis: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND &amp; AIMS: Risk for relapse after induction of remission with steroid therapy has been studied extensively in patients with autoimmune pancreatitis (AIP), but findings have been equivocal. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the relapse rate of AIP after initial remission after steroid treatment and to identify factors associated with relapse.METHODS: Three reviewers searched MEDLINE, SCOPUS, and EMBASE until July 2018 to identify studies on rate of relapse of AIP after induction of remission with steroid therapy. A pooled estimate was calculated using the DerSimonian and Laird method for a random-effects model. This study was conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and MetaAnalyses guidelines.RESULTS: Thirty-six studies met the inclusion criteria for meta-analysis. The median follow-up time was 40.8 months. Fifty-two percent of patients were classified as having type 1 AIP. The pooled estimate of relapse rate was 33% (95% CI, 30%-37%). A higher proportion of patients with type 1 AIP had a relapse compared with patients with type 2 AIP (37.5% vs 15.9%; P &lt;.001). We found significant heterogeneity among studies (P &lt;.01). Long-term maintenance therapy with steroids and study quality were associated independently with AIP relapse, after we adjusted for year of publication by multivariate meta-regression.CONCLUSIONS: In a systematic review and meta-analysis, we found that a large proportion of patients with AIP treated successfully with steroid induction therapy had a relapse (33%)-particularly patients with type 1 AIP (37%). Maintenance steroid therapy lasting longer than 1 year could reduce risk of relapse. However, the data characterizing relapse rates are of limited quality, indicating the need for randomized controlled trials and new immunosuppressive drugs

Reliability of grading preoperative pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors on EUS specimens: a systematic review with meta-analysis of aggregate and individual data

Background and aims: Therapy and prognosis of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PanNETs) are strictly related to the Ki-67 index, which defines tumor grading. The criterion standard for the assessment of grading of PanNETs is EUS-guided FNA (EUS-FBAFNA) or EUS-guided fine-needle biopsy sampling (EUS-FNB). Because data on diagnostic accuracy of EUS-FNA and EUS-FNB are heterogeneous, we aimed to analyze the variability in concordance between EUS grading and surgical grading. Methods: The MEDLINE, SCOPUS, and EMBASE databases were searched until November 2021 to identify studies reporting the concordance rate between EUS grading and surgical grading. The study was conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Pooled events were calculated using a random-effects model and expressed in terms of pooled prevalence rates. A multivariate meta-regression was performed to find possible sources of heterogeneity. Where available, individual data were analyzed. Results: Twenty-six studies with 864 patients undergone EUS-FNA or EUS-FNB and surgical resection for PanNETs were included. The pooled estimate rate for the overall concordance of EUS grading and surgical grading was 80.3% (95% confidence interval, 75.6-85.1). Undergrading (EUS grading&nbsp;&lt; surgical grading) was significantly more frequent with respect to overgrading (14.7% vs 3.5%, P&nbsp;&lt; .001). Individual data analysis showed that among nonconcordant patients, the median Ki-67 difference was 3% (interquartile range, 2-6.15). The type of World Health Organization classification adopted and the median lesion diameter were significantly associated with heterogeneity at meta-regression. Conclusions: EUS is an accurate technique in defining grading in patients with PanNETs, but a margin of error still exists, which should be the focus of future studies to minimize the risk of over- and/or undertreatment

Predicting in-hospital mortality from Coronavirus Disease 2019: A simple validated app for clinical use

Backgrounds Validated tools for predicting individual in-hospital mortality of COVID-19 are lacking. We aimed to develop and to validate a simple clinical prediction rule for early identification of inhospital mortality of patients with COVID-19. Methods and findings We enrolled 2191 consecutive hospitalized patients with COVID-19 from three Italian dedicated units (derivation cohort: 1810 consecutive patients from Bergamo and Pavia units; validation cohort: 381 consecutive patients from Rome unit). The outcome was in-hospital mortality. Fine and Gray competing risks multivariate model (with discharge as a competing event) was used to develop a prediction rule for in-hospital mortality. Discrimination and calibration were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and by Brier score in both the derivation and validation cohorts. Seven variables were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality: age (Hazard Ratio [HR] 1.08, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.07\u20131.09), male sex (HR 1.62, 95%CI 1.30\u20132.00), duration of symptoms before hospital admission &lt;10 days (HR 1.72, 95%CI 1.39\u20132.12), diabetes (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.02\u20131.45), coronary heart disease (HR 1.40 95% CI 1.09\u20131.80), chronic liver disease (HR 1.78, 95%CI 1.16\u20132.72), and lactate dehydrogenase levels at admission (HR 1.0003, 95%CI 1.0002\u20131.0005). The AUC was 0.822 (95%CI 0.722\u20130.922) in the derivation cohort and 0.820 (95%CI 0.724\u20130.920) in the validation cohort with good calibration. The prediction rule is freely available as a web-app (COVID-CALC: https://sites.google.com/community. unipa.it/covid-19riskpredictions/c19-rp). Conclusions A validated simple clinical prediction rule can promptly and accurately assess the risk for inhospital mortality, improving triage and the management of patients with COVID-1

Preoperative assessment of microvessel density in nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (NF-PanNETs).

BACKGROUND Hypervascularization is a typical feature of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors, and it frequently allows their recognition at imaging studies. However, the density of microvessels in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors changes according to their biological behavior, and a low microvessel density is associated with higher disease aggressiveness. The primary aim was to investigate the relationship between microvessel density and aggressiveness of nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors. The secondary aim was to evaluate the ability of contrast-enhanced computed tomography and contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasound in predicting tumor microvessel density. METHODS The patients who underwent surgery for nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (n = 66) with an available preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (n = 39) and/or contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasound (n = 37) performed at San Raffaele Hospital (2016-2020) were included. The tumor vascularization was assessed by CD-34 staining, contrast-enhanced computed tomography, and contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasound. Median microvessel density (165 microvessels/mm2) was chosen as the cutoff to define low microvessel density and high microvessel density. RESULTS The patients with a low microvessel density showed a significantly higher frequency of nodal metastases (P = .026), G2-G3 tumors (P = .022), and death domain-associated protein/α-thalassemia/mental retardation syndrome X-linked loss (P = .011) compared to patients with high microvessel density. The contrast-enhanced computed tomography tumor density in the arterial phase was significantly higher in patients with high microvessel density compared to those with low microvessel density (P = .016). The patients with a low microvessel density showed a significantly higher frequency of contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasound arterial hypoenhancement (P = .042) and late washout (P = .034). Contrast-enhanced computed tomography arterial hypoenhancement (P = .007) and contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasound late washout (P = .048) independently predicted a low microvessel density in the patients who underwent contrast-enhanced computed tomography and contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasound, respectively. CONCLUSION A low microvessel density represents a marker of aggressiveness in the patients with nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography and contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasound are reliable and easily available tools for preoperative assessment of microvessel density

Endoscopic Ultrasound-Through-the-Needle Biopsy in Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: A Multicenter Study

Tissue acquisition in pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) is the ideal method for diagnosis and risk stratification for malignancy of these lesions. Direct sampling from the walls of PCLs with different devices has shown better results than cytology from cystic fluid. We carried out a retrospective, multicenter study to evaluate the feasibility, safety, and diagnostic yield of a micro forceps, specifically designed to be used through a 19-gauge needle after EUS-guided puncture of PCL