Application of expert systems in project management decision aiding

The feasibility of developing an expert systems-based project management decision aid to enhance the performance of NASA project managers was assessed. The research effort included extensive literature reviews in the areas of project management, project management decision aiding, expert systems technology, and human-computer interface engineering. Literature reviews were augmented by focused interviews with NASA managers. Time estimation for project scheduling was identified as the target activity for decision augmentation, and a design was developed for an Integrated NASA System for Intelligent Time Estimation (INSITE). The proposed INSITE design was judged feasible with a low level of risk. A partial proof-of-concept experiment was performed and was successful. Specific conclusions drawn from the research and analyses are included. The INSITE concept is potentially applicable in any management sphere, commercial or government, where time estimation is required for project scheduling. As project scheduling is a nearly universal management activity, the range of possibilities is considerable. The INSITE concept also holds potential for enhancing other management tasks, especially in areas such as cost estimation, where estimation-by-analogy is already a proven method

The Technological and Socio-Economic Organization of the Elmenteitan Early Herders in Southern Kenya (3000-1200 BP)

Understanding how the modern world has been shaped by the origins and spread of food production deeper in our past is an enduring and fundamental goal of anthropological archaeology. In Africa, mobile pastoralism emerged as a way of life that is economically and ideologically focused on herding livestock, and spread across the continent over the last 8000 years. Despite the potential importance of African pastoralism within global dialogues on the origins of food production, the social and economic systems that sustained its spread through the continent remain poorly understood. A culture-complex known as the Elmenteitan is associated with the spread of stone-tool using herders into southern Kenya, and the development of a long-distance obsidian exchange system stemming from a single quarry site on top of Mt. Eburru from 3000-1400 years ago. This dissertation uses the Elmenteitan case-study to mount the first comprehensive study of how economic needs, environmental conditions, and socio-cultural institutions shaped ancient pastoralist technological strategies. To accomplish this I directed archaeological surveys and excavations at the Elmenteitan Obsidian Quarry on Mt. Eburru to test hypotheses regarding the social systems involved in herder obsidian procurement. I engaged in intensive analysis of stone tool debris at the quarry in order to establish a start point for a larger comparative analysis of 12 lithic assemblages from Elmenteitan sites spread across southwestern Kenya. Based on archaeological and lithic datasets, I demonstrate that Elmenteitan herders deployed a regionally uniform lithic technology that emphasized flexibility in responding to environmental diversity and climatic change. I show that this form of technological organization was supported by a system of obsidian access and distribution that was maintained through investment in social institutions that bound Elmenteitan communities into a system of reciprocity, alliance, and cultural identity. I conclude that the integration of social, economic, and technological systems developed as strategy for ensuring long-term risk mitigation in unpredictable environments

Off-line-locked laser diode species monitor system

An off-line-locked laser diode species monitor system includes: reference means for including at least one known species having a first absorption wavelength; a laser source for irradiating the reference means and at least one sample species having a second absorption wavelength differing from the first absorption wavelength by a predetermined amount; means for locking the wavelength of the laser source to the first wavelength of the at least one known species in the reference means; a controller for defeating the means for locking and for displacing the laser source wavelength from said first absorption wavelength by said predetermined amount to the second absorption wavelength; and a sample detector device for determining laser radiation absorption at the second wavelength transmitted through the sample to detect the presence of the at least one sample species

The mechanical properties of trabecular bone: Dependence on anatomic location and function

In 1961, Evans and King documented the mechanical properties of trabecular bone from multiple locations in the proximal human femur. Since this time, many investigators have cataloged the distribution of trabecular bone material properties from multiple locations within the human skeleton to include femur, tibia, humerus, radius, vertebral bodies, and iliac crest. The results of these studies have revealed tremendous variations in material properties and anisotropy. These variations have been attributed to functional remodeling as dictated by Wolff's Law. Both linear and power functions have been found to explain the relationship between trabecular bone density and material properties. Recent studies have re-emphasized the need to accurately quantify trabecular bone architecture proposing several algorithms capable of determining the anisotropy, connectivity and morphology of the bone. These past studies, as well as continuing work, have significantly increased the accuracy of analytical and experimental models investigating bone, and bone implant interfaces as well as enhanced our perspective towards understanding the factors which may influence bone formation or resorption.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/26998/1/0000565.pd

Inclusions in diamonds constrain thermo-chemical conditions during Mesozoic metasomatism of the Kaapvaal cratonic mantle

Fluid/melt inclusions in diamonds, which were encapsulated during a metasomatic event and over a short period of time, are isolated from their surrounding mantle, offering the opportunity to constrain changes in the sub-continental lithospheric mantle (SCLM) that occurred during individual thermo-chemical events, as well as the composition of the fluids involved and their sources. We have analyzed a suite of 8 microinclusion-bearing diamonds from the Group I De Beers Pool kimberlites, South Africa, using FTIR, EPMA and LA-ICP-MS. Seven of the diamonds trapped incompatible-element-enriched saline high density fluids (HDFs), carry peridotitic mineral microinclusions, and substitutional nitrogen almost exclusively in A-centers. This low-aggregation state of nitrogen indicates a short mantle residence times and/or low mantle ambient temperature for these diamonds. A short residence time is favored because, elevated thermal conditions prevailed in the South African lithosphere during and following the Karoo flood basalt volcanism at ∼180 Ma, thus the saline metasomatism must have occurred close to the time of kimberlite eruptions at ∼85 Ma. Another diamond encapsulated incompatible-element-enriched silicic HDFs and has 25% of its nitrogen content residing in B-centers, implying formation during an earlier and different metasomatic event that likely relates to the Karoo magmatism at ca. 180 Ma. Thermometry of mineral microinclusions in the diamonds carrying saline HDFs, based on Mg–Fe exchange between garnet–orthopyroxene (Opx)/clinopyroxene (Cpx)/olivine and the Opx–Cpx thermometer, yield temperatures between 875–1080 °C at 5 GPa. These temperatures overlap with conditions recorded by touching inclusion pairs in diamonds from the De Beers Pool kimberlites, which represent the mantle ambient conditions just before eruption, and are altogether lower by 150–250 °C compared to P–T gradients recorded by peridotite xenoliths from the same locality. Oxygen fugacity () differs as well. The calculated for the saline HDF compositions ( to −1.34) are higher by about a log unit compared with that recorded by xenoliths at 4–7 GPa. We conclude that enriched saline HDFs mediated the metasomatism that preceded Group I kimberlite eruptions in the southwestern Kaapvaal craton, and that their ‘cold and oxidized’ nature reflects their derivation from a deep subducting slab. This event had little impact on the temperature and redox state of the Kaapvaal lithosphere as a reservoir, however, it likely affected its properties along limited metasomatized veins and their wall rock. To reconcile the temperature and oxygen fugacity discrepancy between inclusions in diamonds and xenoliths, we argue that xenoliths did not equilibrate during the last saline metasomatic event or kimberlite eruption. Thus the P–T– gradients they record express pre-existing lithospheric conditions that were likely established during the last major thermal event in the Kaapvaal craton (i.e. the Karoo magmatism at ca. 180 Ma)

Development of a Light-Weight, Reliable, Booster System for SHELS-Launched Payloads

Small satellite missions are often used to support low-cost space missions demonstrating new technologies. An economical source of low-cost space lift is to fly these satellites as secondary payloads aboard the Space Shuttle. The Shuttle has accommodations for flying these payloads using the Shuttle Hitchhiker Experiment Launch System (SHELS). While the relative costs for a Shuttle launch are at least an order of magnitude below the cost of a dedicated Expendable Launch Vehicle (ELV), final orbit altitude selection is limited to Shuttle mission goals. The Air Force Space Test Program (STP) is responsible for flying the Space Experiments Review Board (SERB) recommended experiments on a level-of-effort basis. Low-cost space lift is crucial to maximizing the number of SERB payloads that STP can support. Unfortunately, the typical Shuttle orbit does not provide a high enough orbit to guarantee the oneyear orbital lifetime required to meet STP mission objectives. A low-cost, autonomous STP Transfer Upper stage, Guided (TUG) that can boost an STP payload from a typical Shuttle orbit to a higher, longer duration orbit would allow STP to take advantage of the low-cost space lift provided by the Shuttle and still meet their mission requirements. The Air Force Research Laboratory Space Vehicles Directorate (AFRL/VS) is pursuing a solution to fulfill STP’s satellite lifting requirements by developing a low-cost, lightweight, reliable, strap-on propulsion module using several Small Business Innovative Research (SBIR) contracts focused on various parts of the TUG system. The Shuttle Expendable Rocket for Payload Augmentation (SHERPA) program will integrate all of these SBIR programs to meet the STP TUG requirement. The TUG system would be composed of several technologies being developed or already developed by AFRL/VS such as separation systems, guidance systems, propulsion modules, and modular bus architecture. The TUG would be re-startable for multiple orbit changes, station keeping, or deorbiting at the completion of a mission. Three versions of the TUG are envisioned. The first is a simple propulsion module that uses the satellite\u27s Attitude Control System (ACS) and Guidance, Navigation, and Control (GN&C) to provide stack guidance. The second is a fully autonomous TUG that lifts the payload to the higher orbit as cargo, separates from the payload, and then accomplishes a collision avoidance maneuver and propellant burn after payload separation. The third configuration is an autonomous TUG with a long duration module that allow experiments to use the TUG\u27s ACS, GN&C, and power systems in the intended final orbit. There are many challenges in the development of this vehicle. The most difficult of these is meeting the man-rating requirements of the Shuttle. All critical systems must have triple redundancy to ensure that the system does not threaten the Shuttle, its crew, or its mission. Another complication is producing a structure that meets the strict mass and volume restrictions of the SHELS system. Integration is als o a challenge, as many contractors and technologies are brought together under this program

A Group-Based Yule Model for Bipartite Author-Paper Networks

This paper presents a novel model for author-paper networks, which is based on the assumption that authors are organized into groups and that, for each research topic, the number of papers published by a group is based on a success-breeds-success model. Collaboration between groups is modeled as random invitations from a group to an outside member. To analyze the model, a number of different metrics that can be obtained in author-paper networks were extracted. A simulation example shows that this model can effectively mimic the behavior of a real-world author-paper network, extracted from a collection of 900 journal papers in the field of complex networks.Comment: 13 pages (preprint format), 7 figure