Separating signal from noise: the challenge of identifying useful biomarkers in sepsis

Abstract Sepsis diagnosis remains based largely on clinical presentation despite significant advances in the understanding of underlying pathophysiology and host-pathogen interactions. The systematic review article by Zonneveld and colleagues in the previous issue of Critical Care describes another potential avenue of study for using biomarkers for sepsis diagnosis and prognostication. Soluble leukocyte adhesion molecules and their associated sheddase enzymes vary in detectable levels and activity in patients in relation to immunologic status, age, and systemic inflammation, including in the setting of sepsis. Unfortunately, studies of these molecules as diagnostic or prognostic aids (or both) in sepsis have thus far been disappointing. Zonneveld and colleagues propose two potential avenues to enhance the performance characteristics of soluble adhesion molecules and their sheddases in sepsis diagnosis and prognosis: (a) identifying age-adjusted normal values for soluble leukocyte adhesion molecules and their sheddases and (b) investigating simultaneous measurement of both soluble adhesion molecules and sheddases in integrated sepsis evaluation schema. This commentary discusses the proposed solutions of Zonneveld and colleagues in more detail and outlines additional considerations that should be addressed in order to develop robust and valid diagnostic and prognostic tools for clinicians managing patients with sepsis.Peer Reviewe

Assessing response bias from missing quality of life data: The Heckman method

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to demonstrate the use of the Heckman two-step method to assess and correct for bias due to missing health related quality of life (HRQL) surveys in a clinical study of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. METHODS: We analyzed data from 2,733 veterans with a confirmed diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes (ACS), including either acute myocardial infarction or unstable angina. HRQL outcomes were assessed by the Short-Form 36 (SF-36) health status survey which was mailed to all patients who were alive 7 months following ACS discharge. We created multivariable models of 7-month post-ACS physical and mental health status using data only from the 1,660 survey respondents. Then, using the Heckman method, we modeled survey non-response and incorporated this into our initial models to assess and correct for potential bias. We used logistic and ordinary least squares regression to estimate the multivariable selection models. RESULTS: We found that our model of 7-month mental health status was biased due to survey non-response, while the model for physical health status was not. A history of alcohol or substance abuse was no longer significantly associated with mental health status after controlling for bias due to non-response. Furthermore, the magnitude of the parameter estimates for several of the other predictor variables in the MCS model changed after accounting for bias due to survey non-response. CONCLUSION: Recognition and correction of bias due to survey non-response changed the factors that we concluded were associated with HRQL seven months following hospital admission for ACS as well as the magnitude of some associations. We conclude that the Heckman two-step method may be a valuable tool in the assessment and correction of selection bias in clinical studies of HRQL

Development and Content Validity Testing of a Patient-Reported Treatment Acceptance Measure for Use in Patients Receiving Treatment via Subcutaneous Injection

AbstractBackgroundNew therapies in development for lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, such as alirocumab, require administration by subcutaneous injections. There is a need to assess the acceptance of such treatments and their mode of administration.ObjectivesTo develop a novel patient-reported outcome measure, the Injection-Treatment Acceptance Questionnaire (I-TAQ), and assess its content validity using qualitative methods.MethodsConcepts generated from a literature and instrument review informed the initial drafting of 17 items in the I-TAQ, with item wording adapted from three existing instruments. Three rounds of qualitative interviews were conducted with 29 US-English speaking patients at high cardiovascular risk. Concept elicitation questioning was used to explore patients’ treatment experiences followed by cognitive debriefing of the I-TAQ using “think-aloud” methods. Verbatim transcripts were analyzed using thematic analysis.ResultsQualitative analysis of concept elicitation data identified the following relevant concepts: perceived efficacy, side effects, self-efficacy, convenience, and overall acceptance. Seven (24%) patients discussed an initial fear of needles, but described this as subsiding with no impact on adherence. Five items were added after round one interviews, three of which were retained after round two testing in which two further items were added, forming the conceptually comprehensive 22-item I-TAQ. Patients demonstrated good understanding of item wording, instructions, response scales, and recall period.ConclusionsSuccessive rounds of in-depth interviews resulted in a treatment acceptance measure with strong content validity. Pending demonstration of its psychometric properties, the I-TAQ may prove to be a valuable measure of patients’ perspectives toward being treated with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol–lowering therapies requiring subcutaneous injections

Precision medicine to improve use of bleeding avoidance strategies and reduce bleeding in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: Prospective cohort study before and after implementation of personalized bleeding risks

Objective To examine whether prospective bleeding risk estimates for patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention could improve the use of bleeding avoidance strategies and reduce bleeding. Design Prospective cohort study comparing the use of bleeding avoidance strategies and bleeding rates before and after implementation of prospective risk stratification for peri-procedural bleeding. Setting Nine hospitals in the United States. Participants All patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention for indications other than primary reperfusion for ST elevation myocardial infarction. Main outcome measures Use of bleeding avoidance strategies, including bivalirudin, radial approach, and vascular closure devices, and peri-procedural bleeding rates, stratified by bleeding risk. Observed changes were adjusted for changes observed in a pool of 1135 hospitals without access to pre-procedural risk stratification. Hospital level and physician level variability in use of bleeding avoidance strategies was examined. Results In a comparison of 7408 pre-intervention procedures with 3529 post-intervention procedures, use of bleeding avoidance strategies within intervention sites increased with pre-procedural risk stratification (odds ratio 1.81, 95% confidence interval 1.44 to 2.27), particularly among higher risk patients (2.03, 1.58 to 2.61; 1.41, 1.09 to 1.83 in low risk patients, after adjustment for control sites; P for interaction=0.05). Bleeding rates within intervention sites were significantly lower after implementation of risk stratification (1.0% v 1.7%; odds ratio 0.56, 0.40 to 0.78; 0.62, 0.44 to 0.87, after adjustment); the reduction in bleeding was greatest in high risk patients. Marked variability in use of bleeding avoidance strategies was observed across sites and physicians, both before and after implementation. Conclusions Prospective provision of individualized bleeding risk estimates was associated with increased use of bleeding avoidance strategies and lower bleeding rates. Marked variability between providers highlights an important opportunity to improve the consistency, safety, and quality of care. Study registration Clinicaltrials.gov NCT01383382

Long-term prognostic risk in lower extremity peripheral arterial disease as a function of the number of peripheral arterial lesions

Background:  Although patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) are known to have an increased risk of adverse prognosis, simple techniques to further risk-stratify PAD patients would be clinically useful. A plausible but unexplored factor to predict such risk would be greater disease burden, manifested as multiple lower extremity lesions. The aim of this study was to examine the association between having multiple versus isolated lower extremity PAD lesions and long-term prognosis. Methods and results:  A prospective cohort of 756 newly diagnosed PAD patients underwent duplex ultrasound testing to determine the number of lower extremity lesions. Cox regression models examined the independent association of lesion number (≥3 and 2 versus 1) and adverse prognosis (defined as a composite end point comprising first occurrence of either lower extremity amputation, admission for heart failure, nonfatal stroke, myocardial infarction, or unstable angina or mortality), adjusting for demographic and clinical risk factors. Analyses were replicated using an advanced Cox-based model for multiple events. A total of 173 patients (23%) had ≥3 lesions, 197 (26%) had 2 lesions, and 386 (51%) had 1 lesion. After a median follow-up of 3.2 years, patients with ≥3 lesions had an increased risk of experiencing a first adverse event (adjusted hazard ratio 1.60, 95% CI 1.08-2.38, P=0.020) and an increased risk of having multiple events (adjusted hazard ratio 1.53, 95% CI 1.08-2.18, P=0.018). Patients with 2 lesions had a prognosis similar to those with 1 lesion. Conclusions:  Among PAD patients, a greater number of lesions is associated with an increased risk of an adverse prognosis over 3 years of follow-up. Assessing the number of lower extremity lesions might serve as a simple risk-stratification tool at initial PAD diagnosis

Variation in practice regarding pretreatment with dual antiplatelet therapy for patients with non–ST elevation myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND: Despite guideline recommendations, a significant number of patients with non–ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) do not receive dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) before angiography “pretreatment.” While there may be valid clinical reasons to not pretreat, such as concern for bleeding or multivessel disease warranting coronary artery bypass graft surgery, the degree of variability and factors associated with DAPT pretreatment are unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: From the multicenter TRIUMPH registry, 1632 NSTEMI patients were not taking DAPT on admission and were included in the study cohort. Among the study patients, only 22% patients received DAPT pretreatment. A multivariable logistic regression model showed that race other than white or black (odds ratio [OR] 0.41, 95% CI 0.21–0.83), hemoglobin level (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.08–1.29), patients’ bleeding risk (assessed with NCDR CathPCI Bleeding Risk Score) (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.74–0.99), and severe left ventricular dysfunction (OR 0.3, 95% CI 0.13–0.65) were the main predictors of pretreatment with DAPT, whereas likelihood of needing coronary artery bypass graft surgery (GRACE prediction model) was not (OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.88–1.35). Median ORs were calculated to assess variability of receiving DAPT pretreatment across sites after adjustment for patient characteristics. Receiving DAPT pretreatment varied substantially across sites (range 0–100%, mean OR 3.94, P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: While deviating from guideline‐recommended DAPT pretreatment in patients with NSTEMI was associated with patient factors (eg, bleeding risk), marked variation was present across sites after accounting for patient‐level characteristics. This suggests that site‐level interventions are needed to improve concordance with current guidelines