46 research outputs found

    Monetary policy rules and U.S. monetary policy

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    An inflation-augmented Atesoglu monetary policy rule is introduced. The Atesoglu rule is based on an estimate of the neutral rate of interest of Keynes. Actual Fed monetary policy and policy implied by Atesoglu rules are compared. During the 1994:2-2006:4 period, monetary policy suggested by the inflation-augmented Atesoglu rule is closer to that indicated by the Atesoglu rule rather than the actual Fed monetary policy. Findings reveal that the monetary policy implied by the Atesoglu rules has been less restrictive and less volatile than the actual Fed monetary policy.monetary policy, monetary policy rule, neutral rate of interest,

    Economic consequences of a rise in defense spending after September 11, 2001

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    The purpose of this paper is to discuss the effects of a rise in defense spending on key macroeconomic variables since September 11, 2001. For examining the effects of the rise in defense spending, empirical models were developed for GDP, employment, trade deficit, and budget deficit. In addition to estimation results, simulations were made to assess the effect of defense spending employing the empirical models. Findings reveal that the rise in defense spending had a favorable impact on GDP and employment but led to larger trade and budget deficits.budget deficit, defense spending, employment, GDP, trade deficit,

    Asset price bubbles, monetary policy and financial crisis

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    In this paper, asset price bubbles in equities and housing that were developed from August 1987 to September 2008 are examined. Monetary policy reaction functions are estimated. Results revealed that, although not successful in pricking the bubble, the Federal Reserve System did follow a restrictive monetary policy with respect to the equity price bubble. Results also indicate that monetary policy did not respond to housing price bubbles. The findings suggest that the bursting of the housing price bubble in early 2007 resulted in the recent financial crisis. This crisis, together with the rise in oil prices and an unnecessarily restrictive monetary policy, led to the start of the recession in December 2007 and the subsequent collapse of equity prices.asset prices, price bubbles, monetary policies, financial crises, equities, housing, house prices, reaction functions, Federal Reserve System, central banks, banking, USA, United States, equity prices, restrictive policies, oil prices, recessions, price collapse, public policy, economic policies, alternative paradigms,

    Monetary policy and long-term interest rates

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    Empirical relations between the federal funds rate and long-term interest rates are analyzed by employing the vector error correction modeling and cointegration techniques. The findings reveal a cointegration relation and a unidirectional causality from the federal funds rate to the long-term interest rates and are supportive of the horizontalist rather than the structuralist view of the money supply endogeneity. Findings also reveal that changes in the federal funds rate do not have much of an effect on the long-term interest rates in the short run. These results raise doubts concerning the effectiveness of monetary policy in the short run.cointegration, federal funds rate, long-term interest rates, monetary policy,
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