Clinical characteristics and prognostic factors in COVID-19 patients aged ≥80 years

Aim: The aim of the present study was to describe the clinical presentation of patients aged ≥80 years with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), and provide insights regarding the prognostic factors and the risk stratification in this population. Methods: This was a single-center, retrospective, observational study, carried out in a referral center for COVID-19 in central Italy. We reviewed the clinical records of patients consecutively admitted for confirmed COVID-19 over a 1-month period (1-31 March 2020). We excluded asymptomatic discharged patients. We identified risk factors for death, by a uni- and multivariate Cox regression analysis. To improve model fitting and hazard estimation, continuous parameters where dichotomized by using Youden's index. Results: Overall, 69 patients, aged 80-98 years, met the inclusion criteria and were included in the study cohort. The median age was 84 years (82-89 years is interquartile range); 37 patients (53.6%) were men. Globally, 14 patients (20.3%) presented a mild, 30 (43.5%) a severe and 25 (36.2%) a critical COVID-19 disease. A total of 23 (33.3%) patients had died at 30 days' follow up. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that severe dementia, pO2 ≤90 at admission and lactate dehydrogenase >464 U/L were independent risk factors for death. Conclusions: The present data suggest that risk of death could be not age dependent in patients aged ≥80 years, whereas severe dementia emerged is a relevant risk factor in this population. Severe COVID-19, as expressed by elevated lactate dehydrogenase and low oxygen saturation at emergency department admission, is associated with a rapid progression to death in these patients

Guillain–Barré syndrome from an emergency department view: how to better predict the outcome?

Objective In Guillain–Barre syndrome (GBS), respiratory failure is the most serious manifestation and mechanical ventilation (MV) is required in approximately 20% of the patients. In this retrospective study, we aimed to evaluate clinical factors that can be evaluated in the Emergency Department which may influence the short-term prognosis of GBS patients. Methods Data were acquired regarding age, sex, antecedent infections, neurological signs and symptoms, cerebrospinal fluid examination, nerve conduction studies, treatment of GBS, need for MV, length of stay in the hospital, and discharge destination (home or rehabilitation). Charlson Comorbidity Index and modified Erasmus GBS outcome score (mEGOS) were collected on admission. Results Seventy-eight GBS patients were recruited with a mean age of 53.9 (range 19-81). Sixty-nine (88.46%) were diagnosed with GBS and nine (11.54%) had classic Miller-Fisher syndrome. Mean values for the Charlson Comorbidity index were 1.20 ± 1.81, and the values of mEGOS were 2.4 ± 1.6. The rate of home discharge and rehabilitation was similar between elderly and younger patients. Patients who required MV had higher mEGOS (p-value=0.061). Regarding the electrophysiological subtypes, we did not observe a significant difference between AIDP and AMAN/AMSAN concerning the need for MV, the type of discharge, values of mEGOS and Charlson Comorbidity Index. Discussion A significant correlation was found between mEGOS and the need for MV. Age did not influence the short-term prognosis of GBS patients. mEGOS may be a useful tool for predicting outcomes in patients with GBS and higher mEGOS scores on admission significantly correlated with poor outcomes

A new clinical score for cranial CT in ED non-trauma patients: Definition and first validation.

Introduction:Well recognized guidelines are available for the use of cranial computed tomography (CCT) in traumatic patients,while no definitely accepted standards exists to for CCT in patientswithout history of head injury. The aimof this study is to propose an easy clinical score to stratify the need of CCT inemergency department (ED) patients with suspect non-traumatic intracranial pathology. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated patients presenting to the ED for neurological deficit, postural instability, acute headache, alteredmental status, seizures, confusion, dizziness, vertigo, syncope, and pre-syncope.Webuild a score for positive CCT prediction by using a logistic regression model on clinical factors significant at univariate analysis. The score was validated on a population of prospectively observed patients. Results: We reviewed clinical data of 1156 patients; positivity of CCT was 15.2%. Persistent neurological deficit, new onset acute headache, seizures and/or altered state of consciousness, and transient neurological disorders were independent predictors of positive CCT. We observed 508 patients in a validation prospective cohort; CCT was positive in 11.3%. Our score performed well in validation population with a ROC AUC of 0.787 (CI 95% 0.748\u20130.822). Avoiding CT in score 0 patients would have saved 82 (16.2%) exams. No patients with score 0 had a positive CCT findings; score sensitivity was 100.0 (CI 95% 93.7\u2013100.0). Conclusions: A score for risk stratification of patients with suspect of intra-cranial pathology could reduce CT request in ED, avoiding a significant number of CCT while minimizing the risk of missing positive results

Predictors of in-hospital mortality AND death RISK STRATIFICATION among COVID-19 PATIENTS aged 65 80 YEARs OLD

Introduction: To date, mainly due to age-related vulnerability and to coexisting comorbidities, older patients often face a more severe COVID-19. This study aimed to identify at Emergency Department (ED) admission the predictors of in-hospital mortality and suitable scores for death risk stratification among COVID-19 patients 65 80 years old. Methods: Single-centre prospective study conducted in the ED of an university hospital, referral center for COVID-19 in central Italy. We included 239 consecutive patients 65 80 years old with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19. The primary study endpoint was all-cause in-hospital mortality. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed on significant variables at univariate analysis to identify independent risk factor for death. Overall performance in predicting mortality of WHO severity scale, APACHE II score, NEWS score, and CURB-65 was calculated. Results: Median age was 85 [82-89] and 112 were males (46.9%). Globally, 77 patients (32.2%) deceased. The presence of consolidations at chest x-ray and the hypoxemic respiratory failure were significant predictors of poor prognosis. Moreover, age 65 85 years, dependency in activities of daily living (ADL), and dementia were risk factors for death, even after adjusting for clinical covariates and disease severity. All the evaluated scores showed a fairly good predictive value in identifying patients who could experience a worse outcome. Conclusions: Among patients 65 80 years old hospitalized with COVID-19, not only a worse clinical and radiological presentation of the disease, but also the increasing age, dementia, and impairment in ADL were strong risk factors for in-hospital death, regardless of disease severit

Reduced utility of early procalcitonin and blood culture determination in patients with febrile urinary tract infections in the emergency department

To investigate the prognostic role of procalcitonin (PCT) assessment and blood culture (BC) acquisition in the emergency department (ED) in patients with urinary tract infection (UTI) or urosepsis. We enrolled patients admitted for UTI to our ED over a 10-year period. Mortality and in hospital length of stay (LOS) were compared between patients with UTI or urosepsis who had sampling for PCT levels and BC taken in the ED (ePCT group–eBC group) and those who had not (noePCT group–no-eBC group). 1029 patients were analyzed, 52.7% of which were female. Median age was 77 [65–83]; 139 patients (13.5%) had complicated UTI. Median LOS was 10 [7–17] days. In the ePCT group, LOS was 10 [7–16] days, vs. 10 [7–17] (p = 0.428) in the no-ePCT group. In the eBC group, LOS was 10 [6–16] days vs. 10 [7–17] days (p = 0.369) in the no-eBC group. The overall mortality rate was 6.6%. The mortality rate was not affected by early PCT determination (6% in the ePCT group vs. 6.9% in the no-ePCT group, p = 0.584). Similarly, the mortality rate was not different in the eBC group as compared to the no-eBC group (5.4% vs. 6.9%, p = 0.415). Performance of ePCT or eBC testing made no significant difference in terms of improvement of mortality rates in septic patients (11.4% vs. 7.2%; p = 0.397 and 8.8% vs. 9.8%; p = 0.845, respectively). The prognostic relevance of early evaluation of PCT and BC in the ED of patients with febrile UTI appears limited. In complicated UTI patients, PCT and BC testing may be more appropriate in the context of improving antibiotic stewardship, or as an integral component of PCT-guided standardized protocols

Use of POCUS in Chest Pain and Dyspnea in Emergency Department: What Role Could It Have?

Chest pain and dyspnea are common symptoms in patients presenting to the emergency room (ER); oftentimes it is not possible to clearly identify the underlying cause, which may cause the patient to have to return to the ER. In other cases, while it is possible to identify the underlying cause, it is necessary to perform a large number of tests before being able to make a diagnosis. Over the last twenty years, emergency medicine physicians have had the possibility of using ultrasound to help them make and rule out diagnoses. Specific ultrasound tests have been designed to evaluate patients presenting with specific symptoms to ensure a fast, yet complete, evaluation. In this paper, we examine the role of ultrasound in helping physicians understand the etiology behind chest pain and dyspnea. We analyze the different diseases and disorders which may cause chest pain and dyspnea as symptoms and discuss the corresponding ultrasound findings

A new clinical score for cranial CT in ED non-trauma patients: Definition and first validation

Abstract Introduction Well recognized guidelines are available for the use of cranial computed tomography (CCT) in traumatic patients, while no definitely accepted standards exists to for CCT in patients without history of head injury. The aim of this study is to propose an easy clinical score to stratify the need of CCT in emergency department (ED) patients with suspect non-traumatic intracranial pathology. Methods We retrospectively evaluated patients presenting to the ED for neurological deficit, postural instability, acute headache, altered mental status, seizures, confusion, dizziness, vertigo, syncope, and pre-syncope. We build a score for positive CCT prediction by using a logistic regression model on clinical factors significant at univariate analysis. The score was validated on a population of prospectively observed patients. Results We reviewed clinical data of 1156 patients; positivity of CCT was 15.2%. Persistent neurological deficit, new onset acute headache, seizures and/or altered state of consciousness, and transient neurological disorders were independent predictors of positive CCT. We observed 508 patients in a validation prospective cohort; CCT was positive in 11.3%. Our score performed well in validation population with a ROC AUC of 0.787 (CI 95% 0.748–0.822). Avoiding CT in score 0 patients would have saved 82 (16.2%) exams. No patients with score 0 had a positive CCT findings; score sensitivity was 100.0 (CI 95% 93.7–100.0). Conclusions A score for risk stratification of patients with suspect of intra-cranial pathology could reduce CT request in ED, avoiding a significant number of CCT while minimizing the risk of missing positive results

Early Prognostic Stratification of Clostridioides difficile Infection in the Emergency Department: The Role of Age and Comorbidities

Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) represents a significant cause of morbidity and mortality, mainly in older and frail subjects. Early identification of outcome predictors, starting from emergency department (ED) admission, could help to improve their management. In a retrospective single-center study on patients accessing the ED for diarrhea and hospitalized with a diagnosis of CDI infection, the patients’ clinical history, presenting symptoms, vital signs, and laboratory exams at ED admission were recorded. Quick sequential organ failure assessments (qSOFA) were conducted and Charlson’s comorbidity indices (CCI) were calculated. The primary outcomes were represented by all-cause in-hospital death and the occurrence of major cumulative complications. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to establish predictive risk factors for poor outcomes. Out of 450 patients, aged > 81 years, dyspnea at ED admission, creatinine > 2.5 mg/dL, white blood cell count > 13.31 × 109/L, and albumin < 30 µmol/L were independently associated with in-hospital death and major complications (except for low albumin). Both in-hospital death and major complications were not associated with multimorbidity. In patients with CDI, the risk of in-hospital death and major complications could be effectively predicted upon ED admission. Patients in their 8th decade have an increased risk independent of comorbidities

Development and Validation of Predictive Assessment of Complicated Diverticulitis Score

The prevalence of acute diverticulitis (AD) has progressively increased in recent decades, with correspondingly greater morbidity and mortality. The aim of the study is to develop a predictive score to identify patients with the highest risk of complicated AD. The clinical records of 1089 patients referred to the emergency department (ED) over a five-year period were reviewed. In multivariate analysis, male sex (p p = 0.002), hemoglobin p 80 mg/L (p p = 0.049), and no proton pump inhibitor treatment (p = 0.003) were independently associated with complicated AD. The predictive assessment of complicated (PACO)-diverticulitis (D) score, including these six variables, was applied to the retrospective cohort and then validated prospectively in a cohort including 282 patients. It categorized patients into three risk classes for complicated AD. The PACO-D score showed fair discrimination for complicated AD with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.674 and 0.648, in the retrospective and prospective cohorts, respectively. The PACO-D score could be a practical clinical tool to identify patients at highest risk for complicated AD referred to the ED so that appropriate diagnostic and therapeutic resources could be appropriately allocated. Further external validation is needed to confirm these results

The Role of Early Procalcitonin Determination in the Emergency Departiment in Adults Hospitalized with Fever

Background and Objectives: Fever is one of the most common presenting complaints in the Emergency Department (ED). The role of serum procalcitonin (PCT) determination in the ED evaluation of adults presenting with fever is still debated. The aim of this study was to evaluate if, in adults presenting to the ED with fever and then hospitalized, the early PCT determination could improve prognosis. Materials and Methods. This is a retrospective, mono-centric study, conducted over a 10-year period (2009–2018). We analyzed consecutive patients ≥18 years admitted to ED with fever and then hospitalized. According to quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) at admission, we compared patients that had a PCT determination vs. controls. Primary endpoint was overall in-hospital mortality; secondary endpoints were in-hospital length of stay, and mortality in patients with bloodstream infection and acute respiratory infections. Results. The sample included 12,062 patients, median age was 71 years and 55.1% were men. In patients with qSOFA ≥ 2 overall mortality was significantly lower if they had a PCT-guided management in ED, (20.5% vs. 26.5%; p = 0.046). In the qSOFA < 2 group the mortality was not significantly different in PCT patients, except for those with a final diagnosis of bloodstream infection. Conclusions. Among adults hospitalized with fever, the PCT evaluation at ED admission was not associated with better outcomes, with the possible exception of patients affected by bloodstream infections. However, in febrile patients presenting to the ED with qSOFA ≥ 2, the early PCT evaluation could improve the overall in-hospital survival