Annual cycle (repeated twice) of the vertical (1000–600 hPa) profile of zonal wind (m/s).

<p>Average over the Caribbean Low-Level Jet area (80–70°W, 12–16°N) projected for (a) 2021–2050 and (b) difference of zonal wind between 2021–2050 and 1961–1990 period. Negative values in (a) refer to easterly winds, whereas negative values in (b) indicate strengthening (orange shading) of easterly wind velocity.</p

Future climate change scenarios in Central America at high spatial resolution - Fig 3

<p><b>Mean 2-metre temperature (°C) from Tavg [<a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0193570#pone.0193570.ref040" target="_blank">40</a>] dataset (top row), Eta-8km simulations (middle row) and differences between CHIRPS and Eta-8km (bottom row).</b> Average for the period 1961–1990 except Tavg (1970–1999), and for the seasons DJF, MAM, JJA, and SON (from left to right).</p

Mean annual cycle of 2-metre temperature (°C) averaged over the baseline 30-year period.

<p>Observations from CRU (dash-dot) and Tavg (dash) are plotted, as well as model simulations from Eta-8km (solid line and cross), Eta-20km (solid line and circle), and HadGEM2-ES (solid line and diamond). The curves refer to the model grid-point that contains the capital city of the countries that identify each box: Guatemala (GUA), Belize (BEL), Honduras (HON), Nicaragua (NIC), Panama (PAN), Costa Rica (COS), and El Salvador (ELS).</p

Annual cycle in precipitation (mm/day) and 2-metre temperature (^oC) for the capital cities in Central America.

<p>Historical period (in red), 1961–1990, and future period (in blue), 2021–2050, under RCP4.5 scenario. The three initial letters of the country of the respective capital city identify each box: Guatemala (GUA), Belize (BEL), Honduras (HON), Nicaragua (NIC), Panama (PAN), Costa Rica (COS), and El Salvador (ELS).</p

Future climate change scenarios in Central America at high spatial resolution - Fig 1

<p>(a) Model topography (metres), (b) vegetation types, and (c) soil types at 8-km resolution.</p

Future climate change scenarios in Central America at high spatial resolution - Fig 14

<p>(a) Trends in dry spells, defined as annual largest number of consecutive days when ET < = 0.5*ETP and (b) trends in annual P-ETP in mm year^-1, within the period 2021–2050.</p

Annual cycle (repeated twice) of the vertical (1000–600 hPa) profile of zonal wind (m/s).

<p>Average over the CLLJ area (80–70°W, 12–16°N), for (a) CFSR Reanalysis data, and for (b) the Eta-8km simulation. Negative values refer to easterly winds.</p

Future climate change scenarios in Central America at high spatial resolution - Fig 6

<p><b>Mid-Summer Drought strength (mm/day) calculated using different precipitation observational datasets:</b> (a) GPCP, (b) CRU, (c) CMORPH and (d) CHIRPS precipitation data, and using the baseline period (1961–1990) precipitation simulations from (e) Eta-8km and (f) HadGEM2-ES.</p

Pattern correlations between the Eta simulations and observations and between HadGEM2-ES simulations and observations, for DJF, MAM, JJA, and SON trimesters.

<p>Pattern correlations between the Eta simulations and observations and between HadGEM2-ES simulations and observations, for DJF, MAM, JJA, and SON trimesters.</p

Future climate change scenarios in Central America at high spatial resolution - Fig 8

<p><b>Mean precipitation (mm/day) changes projected for the period 2021–2050, under RCP4.5 scenario, for (a) DJF, (b) MAM, (c) JJA, and (d) SON</b>.</p