HbA1c levels in non-diabetic older adults - No J-shaped associations with primary cardiovascular events, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality after adjustment for confoundersin a meta-analysis of individual participant data from six cohort studies

Background: To determine the shape of the associations of HbA1c with mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in non-diabetic individuals and explore potential explanations. Methods: The associations of HbA1c with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and primary cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction or stroke) were assessed in non-diabetic subjects >50years from six population-based cohort studies from Europe and the USA and meta-analyzed. Very low, low, intermediate and increased HbA1c were defined as <5.0, 5.0 to <5.5, 5.5 to <6.0 and 6.0 to <6.5% (equals <31, 31 to <37, 37 to <42 and 42 to <48mmol/mol), respectively, and low HbA1c was used as reference in Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Overall, 6,769 of 28,681 study participants died during a mean follow-up of 10.7years, of whom 2,648 died of cardiovascular disease. Furthermore, 2,493 experienced a primary cardiovascular event. A linear association with primary cardiovascular events was observed. Adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors explained about 50% of the excess risk and attenuated hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for increased HbA1c to 1.14 (1.03-1.27), 1.17 (1.00-1.37) and 1.19 (1.04-1.37) for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular events, respectively. The six cohorts yielded inconsistent results for the association of very low HbA1c levels with the mortality outcomes and the pooled effect estimates were not statistically significant. In one cohort with a pronounced J-shaped association of HbA1c levels with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (NHANES), the following confounders of the association of very low HbA1c levels with mortality outcomes were identified: race/ethnicity; alcohol consumption; BMI; as well as biomarkers of iron deficiency anemia and liver function. Associations for very low HbA1c levels lost statistical significance in this cohort after adjusting for these confounders. Conclusions: A linear association of HbA1c levels with primary cardiovascular events was observed. For cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, the observed small effect sizes at both the lower and upper end of HbA1c distribution do not support the notion of a J-shaped association of HbA1c levels because a certain degree of residual confounding needs to be considered in the interpretation of the results. \ua9 2016 Sch\uf6ttker et al

Oxidative stress markers and all-cause mortality at older age: A population-based cohort study

Background. The free radical/oxidative stress theory of aging has recently received much attention but the association of oxidative stress markers with all-cause mortality was not yet assessed in humans. Methods. We measured derivatives of reactive oxygen metabolites (d-ROM) as a proxy for the reactive oxygen species concentration and total thiol levels (TTL) as a proxy for the redox control status in 2,932 participants of a population-based cohort study from Germany. Results. The median age of the population was 70 years and 120 (4.1%) study participants died during a mean follow-up of 3.3 years. Compared with the bottom tertiles, the top tertiles of d-ROM and TTL concentrations were both associated with all-cause mortality in models adjusted for age, sex, education, smoking, physical activity, and alcohol consumption (hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals: 1.63 [1.01; 2.63] and 0.68 [0.53; 0.87], respectively). Adding diseases, the inflammatory marker C-reactive protein or a cumulative somatic morbidity index did not alter the results for TTL. However, the association of d-ROM and mortality was attenuated and no longer statistically significant after adding C-reactive protein and the somatic morbidity index to the model. Conclusions. This study adds epidemiological evidence to the free radical/oxidative stress theory of aging. Both d-ROM and TTL were associated with mortality at older age. For TTL, this association was independent of baseline health status. Inflammation and higher general morbidity could be intermediate states on the pathway from high d-ROM levels to mortality. This hypothesis should to be explored by future studies with repeated measurements. \ua9 2014 The Author

Leukocyte Telomere Length and All-Cause, Cardiovascular Disease, and Cancer Mortality: Results from Individual-Participant-Data Meta-Analysis of 2 Large Prospective Cohort Studies

We studied the associations of leukocyte telomere length (LTL) with all-cause, cardiovascular disease, and cancer mortality in 12,199 adults participating in 2 population-based prospective cohort studies from Europe (ESTHER) and the United States (Nurses' Health Study). Blood samples were collected in 1989-1990 (Nurses' Health Study) and 2000-2002 (ESTHER). LTL was measured by quantitative polymerase chain reaction. We calculated z scores for LTL to standardize LTL measurements across the cohorts. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate relative mortality according to continuous levels and quintiles of LTL z scores. The hazard ratios obtained from each cohort were subsequently pooled by meta-analysis. Overall, 2,882 deaths were recorded during follow-up (Nurses' Health Study, 1989-2010; ESTHER, 2000-2015). LTL was inversely associated with age in both cohorts. After adjustment for age, a significant inverse trend of LTL with all-cause mortality was observed in both cohorts. In random-effects meta-analysis, age-adjusted hazard ratios for the shortest LTL quintile compared with the longest were 1.23 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04, 1.46) for all-cause mortality, 1.29 (95% CI: 0.83, 2.00) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.10 (95% CI: 0.88, 1.37) for cancer mortality. In this study population with an age range of 43-75 years, we corroborated previous evidence suggesting that LTL predicts all-cause mortality beyond its association with age. \ua9 The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. All rights reserved

Education, marital status, and risk of hip fractures in older men and women: the CHANCES project

Summary: The role of socioeconomic status in hip fracture incidence is unclear. In a diverse population of elderly, higher education was found to be associated with lower, whereas living alone, compared to being married/cohabiting, with higher hip fracture risk. Educational level and marital status may contribute to hip fracture risk. Introduction: The evidence on the association between socioeconomic status and hip fracture incidence is limited and inconsistent. We investigated the potential association of education and marital status with hip fracture incidence in older individuals from Europe and USA. Methods: A total of 155,940 participants (79\ua0% women) aged 60\ua0years and older from seven cohorts were followed up accumulating 6456 incident hip fractures. Information on education and marital status was harmonized across cohorts. Hip fractures were ascertained through telephone interviews/questionnaires or through record linkage with registries. Associations were assessed through Cox proportional hazard regression adjusting for several factors. Summary estimates were derived using random effects models. Results: Individuals with higher education, compared to those with low education, had lower hip fracture risk [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.84, 95\ua0% confidence interval (CI) 0.72\u20130.95]. Respective HRs were 0.97 (95\ua0% CI 0.82\u20131.13) for men and 0.75 (95\ua0% CI 0.65\u20130.85) for women. Overall, individuals living alone, especially those aged 60\u201369\ua0years, compared to those being married/cohabiting, tended to have a higher hip fracture risk (HR = 1.12, 95\ua0% CI 1.02\u20131.22). There was no suggestion for heterogeneity across cohorts (Pheterogeneity > 0.05). Conclusions: The combined data from >150,000 individuals 60\ua0years and older suggest that higher education may contribute to lower hip fracture risk. Furthermore, this risk may be higher among individuals living alone, especially among the age group 60\u201369\ua0years, when compared to those being married/cohabiting. \ua9 2015, International Osteoporosis Foundation and National Osteoporosis Foundation

Burden of hip fracture using disability-adjusted life-years: a pooled analysis of prospective cohorts in the CHANCES consortium

Background No studies have estimated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) lost due to hip fractures using real-life follow-up cohort data. We aimed to quantify the burden of disease due to incident hip fracture using DALYs in prospective cohorts in the CHANCES consortium, and to calculate population attributable fractions based on DALYs for specific risk factors. Methods We used data from six cohorts of participants aged 50 years or older at recruitment to calculate DALYs. We applied disability weights proposed by the National Osteoporosis Foundation and did a series of sensitivity analyses to examine the robustness of DALY estimates. We calculated population attributable fractions for smoking, body-mass index (BMI), physical activity, alcohol intake, type 2 diabetes and parity, use of hormone replacement therapy, and oral contraceptives in women. We calculated summary risk estimates across cohorts with pooled analysis and random-effects meta-analysis methods. Findings 223\u2008880 men and women were followed up for a mean of 13 years (SD 6). 7724 (3\ub75%) participants developed an incident hip fracture, of whom 413 (5\ub73%) died as a result. 5964 DALYs (27 per 1000 individuals) were lost due to hip fractures, 1230 (20\ub76%) of which were in the group aged 75\u201379 years. 4150 (69\ub76%) DALYs were attributed to disability. Current smoking was the risk factor responsible for the greatest hip fracture burden (7\ub75%, 95% CI 5\ub72\u20139\ub77) followed by physical inactivity (5\ub75%, 2\ub71\u20138\ub75), history of diabetes (2\ub78%, 2\ub71\u20134\ub70), and low to average BMI (2\ub70%, 1\ub74\u20132\ub77), whereas low alcohol consumption (0\ub701\u20132\ub75 g per day) and high BMI had a protective effect. Interpretation Hip fracture can lead to a substantial loss of healthy life-years in elderly people. National public health policies should be strengthened to reduce hip fracture incidence and mortality. Primary prevention measures should be strengthened to prevent falls, and reduce smoking and a sedentary lifestyle. Funding European Community's Seventh Framework Programme. \ua9 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND licens

Self-rated health and all-cause and cause-specific mortality of older adults: Individual data meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies in the CHANCES Consortium

Objectives To evaluate, among the elderly, the association of self-rated health (SRH) with mortality, and to identify determinants of self-rating health as \u201cat-least-good\u201d. Study design Individual data on SRH and important covariates were obtained for 424,791 European and United States residents, 6560 years at recruitment (1982\u20132008), in eight prospective studies in the Consortium on Health and Ageing: Network of Cohorts in Europe and the United States (CHANCES). In each study, adjusted mortality ratios (hazard ratios, HRs) in relation to SRH were calculated and subsequently combined with random-effect meta-analyses. Main outcome measures All-cause, cardiovascular and cancer mortality. Results Within the median 12.5 years of follow-up, 93,014 (22%) deaths occurred. SRH \u201cfair\u201d or \u201cpoor\u201d vs. \u201cat-least-good\u201d was associated with increased mortality: HRs 1.46 (95% CI 1\ub723\u20131.74) and 2.31 (1.79\u20132.99), respectively. These associations were evident: for cardiovascular and, to a lesser extent, cancer mortality, and within-study, within-subgroup analyses. Accounting for lifestyle, sociodemographic, somatometric factors and, subsequently, for medical history explained only a modest amount of the unadjusted associations. Factors favourably associated with SRH were: sex (males), age (younger-old), education (high), marital status (married/cohabiting), physical activity (active), body mass index (non-obese), alcohol consumption (low to moderate) and previous morbidity (absence). Conclusion SRH provides a quick and simple tool for assessing health and identifying groups of elders at risk of early mortality that may be useful also in clinical settings. Modifying determinants of favourably rating health, e.g. by increasing physical activity and/or by eliminating obesity, may be important for older adults to \u201cfeel healthy\u201d and \u201cbe healthy\u201d. \ua9 201

Alcoholic beverage preference and diabetes incidence across Europe: The Consortium on Health and Ageing Network of Cohorts in Europe and the United States (CHANCES) project

Background/Objectives:It is unknown if wine, beer and spirit intake lead to a similar association with diabetes. We studied the association between alcoholic beverage preference and type 2 diabetes incidence in persons who reported to consume alcohol.Subjects/Methods:Ten European cohort studies from the Consortium on Health and Ageing: Network of Cohorts in Europe and the United States were included, comprising participant data of 62 458 adults who reported alcohol consumption at baseline. Diabetes incidence was based on documented and/or self-reported diagnosis during follow-up. Preference was defined when 6570% of total alcohol consumed was either beer, wine or spirits. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were computed using Cox proportional hazard regression. Single-cohort HRs were pooled by random-effects meta-analysis.Results:Beer, wine or spirit preference was not related to diabetes risk compared with having no preference. The pooled HRs were HR 1.06 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93, 1.20) for beer, HR 0.99 (95% CI 0.88, 1.11) for wine, and HR 1.19 (95% CI 0.97, 1.46) for spirit preference. Absolute wine intake, adjusted for total alcohol, was associated with a lower diabetes risk: Pooled HR per 6 g/day was 0.96 (95% CI 0.93, 0.99). A spirit preference was related to a higher diabetes risk in those with a higher body mass index, in men and women separately, but not after excluding persons with prevalent diseases.Conclusions:This large individual-level meta-analysis among persons who reported alcohol consumption revealed that the preference for beer, wine, and spirits was similarly associated with diabetes incidence compared with having no preference. \ua9 2017 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature

Genome-wide association study identifies an early onset pancreatic cancer risk locus.

Early onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC) is a rare disease with a very high mortality rate. Almost nothing is known on the genetic susceptibility of EOPC, therefore, we performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) to identify novel genetic variants specific for patients diagnosed with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) at younger ages. In the first phase, conducted on 821 cases with age of onset ≤60 years, of whom 198 with age of onset ≤50, and 3227 controls from PanScan I-II, we observed four SNPs (rs7155613, rs2328991, rs4891017 and rs12610094) showing an association with EOPC risk (P < 1 × 10−4). We replicated these SNPs in the PANcreatic Disease ReseArch (PANDoRA) consortium and used additional in silico data from PanScan III and PanC4. Among these four variants rs2328991 was significant in an independent set of 855 cases with age of onset ≤60 years, of whom 265 with age of onset ≤50, and 4142 controls from the PANDoRA consortium while in the in silico data, we observed no statistically significant association. However, the resulting meta-analysis supported the association (P = 1.15 × 10−4). In conclusion, we propose a novel variant rs2328991 to be involved in EOPC risk. Even though it was not possible to find a mechanistic link between the variant and the function, the association is supported by a solid statistical significance obtained in the largest study on EOPC genetics present so far in the literature

Methodology used in studies reporting chronic kidney disease prevalence: a systematic literature review.

BACKGROUND: Many publications report the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the general population. Comparisons across studies are hampered as CKD prevalence estimations are influenced by study population characteristics and laboratory methods.METHODS: For this systematic review, two researchers independently searched PubMed, MEDLINE and EMBASE to identify all original research articles that were published between 1 January 2003 and 1 November 2014 reporting the prevalence of CKD in the European adult general population. Data on study methodology and reporting of CKD prevalence results were independently extracted by two researchers.RESULTS: We identified 82 eligible publications and included 48 publications of individual studies for the data extraction. There was considerable variation in population sample selection. The majority of studies did not report the sampling frame used, and the response ranged from 10 to 87%. With regard to the assessment of kidney function, 67% used a Jaffe assay, whereas 13% used the enzymatic assay for creatinine determination. Isotope dilution mass spectrometry calibration was used in 29%. The CKD-EPI (52%) and MDRD (75%) equations were most often used to estimate glomerular filtration rate (GFR). CKD was defined as estimated GFR (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) in 92% of studies. Urinary markers of CKD were assessed in 60% of the studies. CKD prevalence was reported by sex and age strata in 54 and 50% of the studies, respectively. In publications with a primary objective of reporting CKD prevalence, 39% reported a 95% confidence interval.CONCLUSIONS:The findings from this systematic review showed considerable variation in methods for sampling the general population and assessment of kidney function across studies reporting CKD prevalence. These results are utilized to provide recommendations to help optimize both the design and the reporting of future CKD prevalence studies, which will enhance comparability of study results