Solutions of Backward Stochastic Differential Equations on Markov Chains

We consider backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) related to finite state, continuous time Markov chains. We show that appropriate solutions exist for arbitrary terminal conditions, and are unique up to sets of measure zero. We do not require the generating functions to be monotonic, instead using only an appropriate Lipschitz continuity condition.Comment: To appear in Communications on Stochastic Analysis, August 200

Filters and smoothers for self-exciting Markov modulated counting processes

We consider a self-exciting counting process, the parameters of which depend on a hidden finite-state Markov chain. We derive the optimal filter and smoother for the hidden chain based on observation of the jump process. This filter is in closed form and is finite dimensional. We demonstrate the performance of this filter both with simulated data, and by analysing the `flash crash' of 6th May 2010 in this framework