Prevalence of and factors associated with late diagnosis of HIV in Malawi, Zambia, and Zimbabwe: Results from population-based nationally representative surveys

Introduction Late diagnosis of HIV (LD) increases the risk of morbidity, mortality, and HIV transmission. We used nationally representative data from population-based HIV impact assessment (PHIA) surveys in Malawi, Zambia, and Zimbabwe (2015–2016) to characterize adults at risk of LD and to examine associations between LD and presumed HIV transmission to cohabiting sexual partners. Methods We estimated the prevalence of LD, defined as CD4 count <350 cells/μL, among adults newly diagnosed with HIV during the surveys and odds ratios for associated factors. We linked newly diagnosed adults (index cases) to their household sexual partners and calculated adjusted odds ratios for associations between LD of the index case, viral load of the index case, and duration of HIV exposure in the relationship, and the HIV status of the household sexual partner. Results Of 1,804 adults who were newly diagnosed with HIV in the surveys, 49% (882) were diagnosed late. LD was associated with male sex, older age, and almost five times the odds of having an HIV-positive household sexual partner (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 4.65 [95% confidence interval: 2.56–8.45]). Longer duration of HIV exposure in a relationship and higher viral load of the index case were both independently associated with higher odds of having HIV-positive household sexual partners. Individuals with HIV exposure of more than 5 years had more than three times (aOR 3.42 [95% CI: 1.63–7.18]) higher odds of being HIV positive than those with less than 2 years HIV exposure. The odds of being HIV positive were increased in individuals who were in a relationship with an index case with a viral load of 400–3499 copies/mL (aOR 4.06 [95% CI 0.45–36.46]), 3,500–9,999 copies/mL (aOR 11.32 [95% CI: 4.08–31.39]), 10,000–49,999 copies/mL (aOR 17.07 [95% CI: 9.18–31.72]), and ≥50,000 copies/mL (aOR 28.41 [95% CI: 12.18–66.28]) compared to individuals who were in a relationship with an index case with a viral load of <400 copies/mL. Conclusions LD remains a challenge in Southern Africa and is strongly associated with presumed HIV transmission to household sexual partners. Our study underscores the need for earlier HIV diagnosis, particularly among men and older adults, and the importance of index testing

Prevalence of nonsuppressed viral load and associated factors among HIV-positive adults receiving antiretroviral therapy in Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, Zambia and Zimbabwe (2015 to 2017): results from population-based nationally representative surveys.

INTRODUCTION The global target for 2020 is that ≥90% of people living with HIV (PLHIV) receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) will achieve viral load suppression (VLS). We examined VLS and its determinants among adults receiving ART for at least four months. METHODS We analysed data from the population-based HIV impact assessment (PHIA) surveys in Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, Zambia and Zimbabwe (2015 to 2017). PHIA surveys are nationally representative, cross-sectional household surveys. Data collection included structured interviews, home-based HIV testing and laboratory testing. Blood samples from PLHIV were analysed for HIV RNA, CD4 counts and recent exposure to antiretroviral drugs (ARVs). We calculated representative estimates for the prevalence of VLS (viral load <1000 copies/mL), nonsuppressed viral load (NVL; viral load ≥1000 copies/mL), virologic failure (VF; ARVs present and viral load ≥1000 copies/mL), interrupted ART (ARVs absent and viral load ≥1000 copies/mL) and rates of switching to second-line ART (protease inhibitors present) among PLHIV aged 15 to 59 years who participated in the PHIA surveys in Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, Zambia and Zimbabwe, initiated ART at least four months before the survey and were receiving ART at the time of the survey (according to self-report or ARV testing). We calculated odds ratios and incidence rate ratios for factors associated with NVL, VF, interrupted ART, and switching to second-line ART. RESULTS We included 9200 adults receiving ART of whom 88.8% had VLS and 11.2% had NVL including 8.2% who experienced VF and 3.0% who interrupted ART. Younger age, male sex, less education, suboptimal adherence, receiving nevirapine, HIV non-disclosure, never having married and residing in Zimbabwe, Lesotho or Zambia were associated with higher odds of NVL. Among people with NVL, marriage, female sex, shorter ART duration, higher CD4 count and alcohol use were associated with lower odds for VF and higher odds for interrupted ART. Many people with VF (44.8%) had CD4 counts <200 cells/µL, but few (0.31% per year) switched to second-line ART. CONCLUSIONS Countries are approaching global VLS targets for adults. Treatment support, in particular for younger adults, and people with higher CD4 counts, and switching of people to protease inhibitor- or integrase inhibitor-based regimens may further reduce NVL prevalence

Understanding Changes in Supply and Demand in Reproductive Health

Objective. To understand the impact and equity implications of a Reproductive Health (RH) Voucher Program in Kenya, as well as to examine levels and trends of stated barriers to contraceptive use and its associations with fertility trends. Methods. Data were from household surveys from the Voucher Program in Kenya as well as the DHS, and World Bank Human Development Indicators. In the first paper logistic regression models were employed to assess the impact of the Vouchers on utilization of RH services. The second paper involved the calculation of concentration indices and curves of family planning method use as well as a decomposition of a concentration index of the utilization of specific family planning methods. The final paper involved fixed effects regressions of global trends of fertility to assess associations between stated barriers to contraceptive use and total fertility rates. Results. Once all factors were accounted for, subsidized vouchers in Kenya had no impact on utilization of facility based deliveries or the uptake of long-acting and permanent contraceptive methods (LAPMs). Those residing in voucher areas however had a much higher odds of having heard of LAP methods. Vouchers were seen to be effective in pro-poor targeting efforts. At an aggregate global level, we find that reductions in proximate stated barriers to utilization of family planning methods, such as women who have stated not having knowledge of methods, those who have health concerns, and those whom believe they do not need contraception due to infrequency of sex, all show strong correlations with changes in total fertility rates over time. Conclusions. Vouchers are being embraced as the solution to health system access issues worldwide; however, we find that impact on RH service use is limited on Kenyan populations and hence closer scrutiny is required in order to better understand whether these programs work in all contexts. At a macro-level, we find that proximate barriers to family planning method use may serve as better predictors of changes in total fertility trends across countries and over time and that RH programs may be more effective if they are able to target these context specific barriers