Exact solution of a model of time-dependent evolutionary dynamics in a rugged fitness landscape

A simplified form of the time dependent evolutionary dynamics of a quasispecies model with a rugged fitness landscape is solved via a mapping onto a random flux model whose asymptotic behavior can be described in terms of a random walk. The statistics of the number of changes of the dominant genotype from a finite set of genotypes are exactly obtained confirming existing conjectures based on numerics.Comment: 5 pages RevTex 2 figures .ep

Undestanding Baseball Team Standings and Streaks

Can one understand the statistics of wins and losses of baseball teams? Are their consecutive-game winning and losing streaks self-reinforcing or can they be described statistically? We apply the Bradley-Terry model, which incorporates the heterogeneity of team strengths in a minimalist way, to answer these questions. Excellent agreement is found between the predictions of the Bradley-Terry model and the rank dependence of the average number team wins and losses in major-league baseball over the past century when the distribution of team strengths is taken to be uniformly distributed over a finite range. Using this uniform strength distribution, we also find very good agreement between model predictions and the observed distribution of consecutive-game team winning and losing streaks over the last half-century; however, the agreement is less good for the previous half-century. The behavior of the last half-century supports the hypothesis that long streaks are primarily statistical in origin with little self-reinforcing component. The data further show that the past half-century of baseball has been more competitive than the preceding half-century.Comment: 5 pages, 6 figures, 2-column revtex4 format; version 2: considerably expanded to 9 pages with 8 figure

Persistence exponents for fluctuating interfaces

Numerical and analytic results for the exponent \theta describing the decay of the first return probability of an interface to its initial height are obtained for a large class of linear Langevin equations. The models are parametrized by the dynamic roughness exponent \beta, with 0 < \beta < 1; for \beta = 1/2 the time evolution is Markovian. Using simulations of solid-on-solid models, of the discretized continuum equations as well as of the associated zero-dimensional stationary Gaussian process, we address two problems: The return of an initially flat interface, and the return to an initial state with fully developed steady state roughness. The two problems are shown to be governed by different exponents. For the steady state case we point out the equivalence to fractional Brownian motion, which has a return exponent \theta_S = 1 - \beta. The exponent \theta_0 for the flat initial condition appears to be nontrivial. We prove that \theta_0 \to \infty for \beta \to 0, \theta_0 \geq \theta_S for \beta 1/2, and calculate \theta_{0,S} perturbatively to first order in an expansion around the Markovian case \beta = 1/2. Using the exact result \theta_S = 1 - \beta, accurate upper and lower bounds on \theta_0 can be derived which show, in particular, that \theta_0 \geq (1 - \beta)^2/\beta for small \beta.Comment: 12 pages, REVTEX, 6 Postscript figures, needs multicol.sty and epsf.st

Universal statistical properties of poker tournaments

We present a simple model of Texas hold'em poker tournaments which retains the two main aspects of the game: i. the minimal bet grows exponentially with time; ii. players have a finite probability to bet all their money. The distribution of the fortunes of players not yet eliminated is found to be independent of time during most of the tournament, and reproduces accurately data obtained from Internet tournaments and world championship events. This model also makes the connection between poker and the persistence problem widely studied in physics, as well as some recent physical models of biological evolution, and extreme value statistics.Comment: Final longer version including data from Internet and WPT tournament

Smoluchowski's equation for cluster exogenous growth

We introduce an extended Smoluchowski equation describing coagulation processes for which clusters of mass s grow between collisions with $ds/dt=As^\beta$. A physical example, dropwise condensation is provided, and its collision kernel K is derived. In the general case, the gelation criterion is determined. Exact solutions are found and scaling solutions are investigated. Finally we show how these results apply to nucleation of discs on a planeComment: Revtex, 4 pages (multicol.sty), 1 eps figures (uses epsfig

Quantum Critical Scaling of Fidelity Susceptibility

The behavior of the ground-state fidelity susceptibility in the vicinity of a quantum critical point is investigated. We derive scaling relations describing its singular behavior in the quantum critical regime. Unlike it has been found in previous studies, these relations are solely expressed in terms of conventional critical exponents. We also describe in detail a quantum Monte Carlo scheme that allows for the evaluation of the fidelity susceptibility for a large class of many-body systems and apply it in the study of the quantum phase transition for the transverse-field Ising model on the square lattice. Finite size analysis applied to the so obtained numerical results confirm the validity of our scaling relations. Furthermore, we analyze the properties of a closely related quantity, the ground-state energy's second derivative, that can be numerically evaluated in a particularly efficient way. The usefulness of both quantities as alternative indicators of quantum criticality is examined.Comment: 13 pages, 7 figures. Published versio

Contest based on a directed polymer in a random medium

We introduce a simple one-parameter game derived from a model describing the properties of a directed polymer in a random medium. At his turn, each of the two players picks a move among two alternatives in order to maximize his final score, and minimize opponent's return. For a game of length $n$, we find that the probability distribution of the final score $S_n$ develops a traveling wave form, ${\rm Prob}(S_n=m)=f(m-v n)$, with the wave profile $f(z)$ unusually decaying as a double exponential for large positive and negative $z$. In addition, as the only parameter in the game is varied, we find a transition where one player is able to get his maximum theoretical score. By extending this model, we suggest that the front velocity $v$ is selected by the nonlinear marginal stability mechanism arising in some traveling wave problems for which the profile decays exponentially, and for which standard traveling wave theory applies

The spatial correlations in the velocities arising from a random distribution of point vortices

This paper is devoted to a statistical analysis of the velocity fluctuations arising from a random distribution of point vortices in two-dimensional turbulence. Exact results are derived for the correlations in the velocities occurring at two points separated by an arbitrary distance. We find that the spatial correlation function decays extremely slowly with the distance. We discuss the analogy with the statistics of the gravitational field in stellar systems.Comment: 37 pages in RevTeX format (no figure); submitted to Physics of Fluid

Probability distribution of the maximum of a smooth temporal signal

We present an approximate calculation for the distribution of the maximum of a smooth stationary temporal signal X(t). As an application, we compute the persistence exponent associated to the probability that the process remains below a non-zero level M. When X(t) is a Gaussian process, our results are expressed explicitly in terms of the two-time correlation function, f(t)=.Comment: Final version (1 major typo corrected; better introduction). Accepted in Phys. Rev. Let