123 research outputs found
The Impact of New EUV Diagnostics on CME-Related Kinematics
We present the application of novel diagnostics to the spectroscopic
observation of a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) on disk by the Extreme Ultraviolet
Imaging Spectrometer (EIS) on the Hinode spacecraft. We apply a recently
developed line profile asymmetry analysis to the spectroscopic observation of
NOAA AR 10930 on 14-15 December 2006 to three raster observations before and
during the eruption of a 1000km/s CME. We see the impact that the observer's
line-of-sight and magnetic field geometry have on the diagnostics used.
Further, and more importantly, we identify the on-disk signature of a
high-speed outflow behind the CME in the dimming region arising as a result of
the eruption. Supported by recent coronal observations of the STEREO
spacecraft, we speculate about the momentum flux resulting from this outflow as
a secondary momentum source to the CME. The results presented highlight the
importance of spectroscopic measurements in relation to CME kinematics, and the
need for full-disk synoptic spectroscopic observations of the coronal and
chromospheric plasmas to capture the signature of such explosive energy release
as a way of providing better constraints of CME propagation times to L1, or any
other point of interest in the heliosphere.Comment: Accepted to appear in Solar Physics Topical Issue titled "Remote
Sensing of the Inner Heliosphere". Manuscript has 14 pages, 5 color figures.
Movies supporting the figures can be found in
http://download.hao.ucar.edu/pub/mscott/papers/Weathe
Accuracy and Limitations of Fitting and Stereoscopic Methods to Determine the Direction of Coronal Mass Ejections from Heliospheric Imagers Observations
Using data from the Heliospheric Imagers (HIs) onboard STEREO, it is possible
to derive the direction of propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in
addition to their speed with a variety of methods. For CMEs observed by both
STEREO spacecraft, it is possible to derive their direction using simultaneous
observations from the twin spacecraft and also, using observations from only
one spacecraft with fitting methods. This makes it possible to test and compare
different analyses techniques. In this article, we propose a new fitting method
based on observations from one spacecraft, which we compare to the commonly
used fitting method of Sheeley et al. (1999). We also compare the results from
these two fitting methods with those from two stereoscopic methods, focusing on
12 CMEs observed simultaneously by the two STEREO spacecraft in 2008 and 2009.
We find evidence that the fitting method of Sheeley et al. (1999) can result in
significant errors in the determination of the CME direction when the CME
propagates outside of 60deg \pm 20 deg from the Sun-spacecraft line. We expect
our new fitting method to be better adapted to the analysis of halo or limb
CMEs with respect to the observing spacecraft. We also find some evidence that
direct triangulation in the HI fields-of-view should only be applied to CMEs
propagating approximatively towards Earth (\pm 20deg from the Sun-Earth line).
Last, we address one of the possible sources of errors of fitting methods: the
assumption of radial propagation. Using stereoscopic methods, we find that at
least seven of the 12 studied CMEs had an heliospheric deflection of less than
20deg as they propagated in the HI fields-of-view, which, we believe, validates
this approximation.Comment: 17 pages, 6 figures, 2 tables, accepted to Solar Physic
Geomagnetic storm dependence on the solar flare class
Content. Solar flares are often used as precursors of geomagnetic storms. In
particular, Howard and Tappin (2005) recently published in A&A a dependence
between X-ray class of solar flares and Ap and Dst indexes of geomagnetic
storms which contradicts to early published results.
Aims. We compare published results on flare-storm dependences and discuss
possible sources of the discrepancy.
Methods. We analyze following sources of difference: (1) different intervals
of observations, (2) different statistics and (3) different methods of event
identification and comparison.
Results. Our analysis shows that magnitude of geomagnetic storms is likely to
be independent on X-ray class of solar flares.Comment: 3 pages, 1 tabl
Space Weather Application Using Projected Velocity Asymmetry of Halo CMEs
Halo coronal mass ejections (HCMEs) originating from regions close to the
center of the Sun are likely to be responsible for severe geomagnetic storms.
It is important to predict geo-effectiveness of HCMEs using observations when
they are still near the Sun. Unfortunately, coronagraphic observations do not
provide true speeds of CMEs due to the projection effects. In the present
paper, we present a new technique allowing estimate the space speed and
approximate source location using projected speeds measured at different
position angles for a given HCME (velocity asymmetry). We apply this technique
to HCMEs observed during 2001-2002 and find that the improved speeds are better
correlated with the travel times of HCMEs to Earth and with the magnitudes
ensuing geomagnetic storms.Comment: accepted for [publication in Solar Physic
Recent Developments of NEMO: Detection of Solar Eruptions Characteristics
The recent developments in space instrumentation for solar observations and
telemetry have caused the necessity of advanced pattern recognition tools for
the different classes of solar events. The Extreme ultraviolet Imaging
Telescope (EIT) of solar corona on-board SOHO spacecraft has uncovered a new
class of eruptive events which are often identified as signatures of Coronal
Mass Ejection (CME) initiations on solar disk. It is evident that a crucial
task is the development of an automatic detection tool of CMEs precursors. The
Novel EIT wave Machine Observing (NEMO) (http://sidc.be/nemo) code is an
operational tool that detects automatically solar eruptions using EIT image
sequences. NEMO applies techniques based on the general statistical properties
of the underlying physical mechanisms of eruptive events on the solar disc. In
this work, the most recent updates of NEMO code - that have resulted to the
increase of the recognition efficiency of solar eruptions linked to CMEs - are
presented. These updates provide calculations of the surface of the dimming
region, implement novel clustering technique for the dimmings and set new
criteria to flag the eruptive dimmings based on their complex characteristics.
The efficiency of NEMO has been increased significantly resulting to the
extraction of dimmings observed near the solar limb and to the detection of
small-scale events as well. As a consequence, the detection efficiency of CMEs
precursors and the forecasts of CMEs have been drastically improved.
Furthermore, the catalogues of solar eruptive events that can be constructed by
NEMO may include larger number of physical parameters associated to the dimming
regions.Comment: 12 Pages, 5 figures, submitted to Solar Physic
The Grad-Shafranov Reconstruction of Toroidal Magnetic Flux Ropes: Method Development and Benchmark Studies
We develop an approach of Grad-Shafranov (GS) reconstruction for toroidal
structures in space plasmas, based on in-situ spacecraft measurements. The
underlying theory is the GS equation that describes two-dimensional
magnetohydrostatic equilibrium as widely applied in fusion plasmas. The
geometry is such that the arbitrary cross section of the torus has rotational
symmetry about the rotation axis , with a major radius . The magnetic
field configuration is thus determined by a scalar flux function and a
functional that is a single-variable function of . The algorithm is
implemented through a two-step approach: i) a trial-and-error process by
minimizing the residue of the functional to determine an optimal
axis orientation, and ii) for the chosen , a minimization process
resulting in the range of . Benchmark studies of known analytic solutions
to the toroidal GS equation with noise additions are presented to illustrate
the two-step procedures and to demonstrate the performance of the numerical GS
solver, separately. For the cases presented, the errors in and are
9 and 22\%, respectively, and the relative percent error in the
numerical GS solutions is less than 10\%. We also make public the computer
codes for these implementations and benchmark studies.Comment: submitted to Sol. Phys. late Dec 2016; under review; code will be
made public once review is ove
Prediction Space Weather Using an Asymmetric Cone Model for Halo CMEs
Halo coronal mass ejections (HCMEs) are responsible of the most severe
geomagnetic storms. A prediction of their geoeffectiveness and travel time to
Earth's vicinity is crucial to forecast space weather.
Unfortunately coronagraphic observations are subjected to projection effects
and do not provide true characteristics of CMEs. Recently, Michalek (2006, {\it
Solar Phys.}, {\bf237}, 101) developed an asymmetric cone model to obtain the
space speed, width and source location of HCMEs. We applied this technique to
obtain the parameters of all front-sided HCMEs observed by the SOHO/LASCO
experiment during a period from the beginning of 2001 until the end of 2002
(solar cycle 23). These parameters were applied for the space weather forecast.
Our study determined that the space speeds are strongly correlated with the
travel times of HCMEs within Earth's vicinity and with the magnitudes related
to geomagnetic disturbances
Effect of Solar Wind Drag on the Determination of the Properties of Coronal Mass Ejections from Heliospheric Images
The Fixed-\Phi (F\Phi) and Harmonic Mean (HM) fitting methods are two methods
to determine the average direction and velocity of coronal mass ejections
(CMEs) from time-elongation tracks produced by Heliospheric Imagers (HIs), such
as the HIs onboard the STEREO spacecraft. Both methods assume a constant
velocity in their descriptions of the time-elongation profiles of CMEs, which
are used to fit the observed time-elongation data. Here, we analyze the effect
of aerodynamic drag on CMEs propagating through interplanetary space, and how
this drag affects the result of the F\Phi and HM fitting methods. A simple drag
model is used to analytically construct time-elongation profiles which are then
fitted with the two methods. It is found that higher angles and velocities give
rise to greater error in both methods, reaching errors in the direction of
propagation of up to 15 deg and 30 deg for the F\Phi and HM fitting methods,
respectively. This is due to the physical accelerations of the CMEs being
interpreted as geometrical accelerations by the fitting methods. Because of the
geometrical definition of the HM fitting method, it is affected by the
acceleration more greatly than the F\Phi fitting method. Overall, we find that
both techniques overestimate the initial (and final) velocity and direction for
fast CMEs propagating beyond 90 deg from the Sun-spacecraft line, meaning that
arrival times at 1 AU would be predicted early (by up to 12 hours). We also
find that the direction and arrival time of a wide and decelerating CME can be
better reproduced by the F\Phi due to the cancellation of two errors:
neglecting the CME width and neglecting the CME deceleration. Overall, the
inaccuracies of the two fitting methods are expected to play an important role
in the prediction of CME hit and arrival times as we head towards solar maximum
and the STEREO spacecraft further move behind the Sun.Comment: Solar Physics, Online First, 17 page
Speeds and arrival times of solar transients approximated by self-similar expanding circular fronts
The NASA STEREO mission opened up the possibility to forecast the arrival
times, speeds and directions of solar transients from outside the Sun-Earth
line. In particular, we are interested in predicting potentially geo-effective
Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICMEs) from observations of density
structures at large observation angles from the Sun (with the STEREO
Heliospheric Imager instrument). We contribute to this endeavor by deriving
analytical formulas concerning a geometric correction for the ICME speed and
arrival time for the technique introduced by Davies et al. (2012, ApJ, in
press) called Self-Similar Expansion Fitting (SSEF). This model assumes that a
circle propagates outward, along a plane specified by a position angle (e.g.
the ecliptic), with constant angular half width (lambda). This is an extension
to earlier, more simple models: Fixed-Phi-Fitting (lambda = 0 degree) and
Harmonic Mean Fitting (lambda = 90 degree). This approach has the advantage
that it is possible to assess clearly, in contrast to previous models, if a
particular location in the heliosphere, such as a planet or spacecraft, might
be expected to be hit by the ICME front. Our correction formulas are especially
significant for glancing hits, where small differences in the direction greatly
influence the expected speeds (up to 100-200 km/s) and arrival times (up to two
days later than the apex). For very wide ICMEs (2 lambda > 120 degree), the
geometric correction becomes very similar to the one derived by M\"ostl et al.
(2011, ApJ, 741, id. 34) for the Harmonic Mean model. These analytic
expressions can also be used for empirical or analytical models to predict the
1 AU arrival time of an ICME by correcting for effects of hits by the flank
rather than the apex, if the width and direction of the ICME in a plane are
known and a circular geometry of the ICME front is assumed.Comment: 15 pages, 5 figures, accepted for publication in "Solar Physics
Automated Detection of EUV Polar Coronal Holes During Solar Cycle 23
A new method for automated detection of polar coronal holes is presented.
This method, called perimeter tracing, uses a series of 171, 195, and 304 \AA\
full disk images from the Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) on SOHO
over solar cycle 23 to measure the perimeter of polar coronal holes as they
appear on the limbs. Perimeter tracing minimizes line-of-sight obscurations
caused by the emitting plasma of the various wavelengths by taking measurements
at the solar limb. Perimeter tracing also allows for the polar rotation period
to emerge organically from the data as 33 days. We have called this the Harvey
rotation rate and count Harvey rotations starting 4 January 1900. From the
measured perimeter, we are then able to fit a curve to the data and derive an
area within the line of best fit. We observe the area of the northern polar
hole area in 1996, at the beginning of solar cycle 23, to be about 4.2% of the
total solar surface area and about 3.6% in 2007. The area of the southern polar
hole is observed to be about 4.0% in 1996 and about 3.4% in 2007. Thus, both
the north and south polar hole areas are no more than 15% smaller now than they
were at the beginning of cycle 23. This compares to the polar magnetic field
measured to be about 40% less now than it was a cycle ago.Comment: 18 pagers, 7 figures, accepted to Solar Physic
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