32 research outputs found
Punctuated equilibria and 1/f noise in a biological coevolution model with individual-based dynamics
We present a study by linear stability analysis and large-scale Monte Carlo
simulations of a simple model of biological coevolution. Selection is provided
through a reproduction probability that contains quenched, random interspecies
interactions, while genetic variation is provided through a low mutation rate.
Both selection and mutation act on individual organisms. Consistent with some
current theories of macroevolutionary dynamics, the model displays
intermittent, statistically self-similar behavior with punctuated equilibria.
The probability density for the lifetimes of ecological communities is well
approximated by a power law with exponent near -2, and the corresponding power
spectral densities show 1/f noise (flicker noise) over several decades. The
long-lived communities (quasi-steady states) consist of a relatively small
number of mutualistically interacting species, and they are surrounded by a
``protection zone'' of closely related genotypes that have a very low
probability of invading the resident community. The extent of the protection
zone affects the stability of the community in a way analogous to the height of
the free-energy barrier surrounding a metastable state in a physical system.
Measures of biological diversity are on average stationary with no discernible
trends, even over our very long simulation runs of approximately 3.4x10^7
generations.Comment: 20 pages RevTex. Minor revisions consistent with published versio
Guidance for Studies Evaluating the Accuracy of Biomarker-Based Nonsputum Tests to Diagnose Tuberculosis
Immunogenetics and cellular immunology of bacterial infectious disease