79 research outputs found
Exploring the nexus between banking sector reform and performance: Evidence from newly acceded EU countries
Exploring the nexus between banking sector reform and performance: Evidence from newly acceded EU countriesnexus, banking sector, banking sector, EU countries
The US stock market leads the Federal funds rate and Treasury bond yields
Using a recently introduced method to quantify the time varying lead-lag
dependencies between pairs of economic time series (the thermal optimal path
method), we test two fundamental tenets of the theory of fixed income: (i) the
stock market variations and the yield changes should be anti-correlated; (ii)
the change in central bank rates, as a proxy of the monetary policy of the
central bank, should be a predictor of the future stock market direction. Using
both monthly and weekly data, we found very similar lead-lag dependence between
the S&P500 stock market index and the yields of bonds inside two groups: bond
yields of short-term maturities (Federal funds rate (FFR), 3M, 6M, 1Y, 2Y, and
3Y) and bond yields of long-term maturities (5Y, 7Y, 10Y, and 20Y). In all
cases, we observe the opposite of (i) and (ii). First, the stock market and
yields move in the same direction. Second, the stock market leads the yields,
including and especially the FFR. Moreover, we find that the short-term yields
in the first group lead the long-term yields in the second group before the
financial crisis that started mid-2007 and the inverse relationship holds
afterwards. These results suggest that the Federal Reserve is increasingly
mindful of the stock market behavior, seen at key to the recovery and health of
the economy. Long-term investors seem also to have been more reactive and
mindful of the signals provided by the financial stock markets than the Federal
Reserve itself after the start of the financial crisis. The lead of the S&P500
stock market index over the bond yields of all maturities is confirmed by the
traditional lagged cross-correlation analysis.Comment: 12 pages, 7 figures, 1 tabl
Aspects, Models and Measures for Assessing the Competitiveness of International Financial Services in a Particular Location
How a regulatory capital requirement affects banks’ productivity: an application to emerging economies
Efficiency and risk-taking in pre-crisis investment banks
Investment banks’ core functions expose them to a wide array of risks. This paper analyses cost and profit efficiency for a sample of investment banks for the G7 countries (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, UK and US) and Switzerland prior to the recent financial crisis. We follow Coelli et al. (1999)’s methodology to adjust the estimated cost and profit efficiency scores for environmental influences including key banks’ risks, bank- and industry specific factors and macroeconomic conditions. Our evidence suggests that failing to account for environmental factors can considerably bias the efficiency scores for investment banks. Specifically, bank-risk taking factors (including liquidity and capital risk exposures) are found particularly important to accurately assess profit efficiency: i.e. profit efficiency estimates are consistently underestimated without accounting for bank risktaking. Interestingly, our evidence suggests that size matters for both cost and profit efficiency, however this does not imply that more concentrated markets are more efficient
Consumer credit in an era of financial liberalization: an overreaction to repressed demand?
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