Beyond Bubbles: The role of asset prices in early-warning indicators

Asset prices have recently become a common topic in economic debate. Nevertheless, much time has been spent in determining if they effectively exhibit a bubble component, and not in examining whether asset prices affectively contain relevant information concerning future market developments. This paper is a first effort in Colombia in this direction, aimed towards the construction of early - warning indicators using financial and real variables. Results show evidence to support that there is relevant information embedded in these series, as all indicators (except the new housing price indicator) show a significant deviation for the year(s) prior to the 98-99 crisis. Additionally, the exercises here conducted show that the performance of asset price indicators is enhanced by including credit and investment. When the early-warning indicators are on, the role of the policy maker should be more active in the market; not necessarily in terms of altering interest rates, but in communicating with market agents, promoting portfolio and perspective (i.e. short and long-term) diversification and urging financial agents to make the best use of the tools that are available to them.Asset Price Bubbles, Early-Warning Indicators, Present Value Model, Financial Crisis, Prudential Regulation. Classification JEL: E58; E44; G12; G18.

Between rupture and continuity the politics of conversion in the colombian amazon

This paper explores the politics of conversion in the Colombian Amazon, comparing missionary narratives of conversion with indigenous accounts of conversion. It shows how conversion to Christianity articulates new meanings of indigeneity today in Amazonia. Using ethnographic evidence, documents and interviews, the paper demonstrates that neither the missionaries nor the indigenous populations view conversion only as rupture. Although they recognize the transformational process involved in conversion, they both emphasize cultural continuity, albeit for different reasons. It also analyses how indigenous pastors and missionaries combine narratives of rupture and narratives of continuity while articulating a new kind of indigeneity (Christian indigeneity), and a specific politics of conversion. In this context, politics of conversion articulates emergent regimes of indigeneity that postulate strong complementarities between Christianity and indigenous values. ©2018 koninklijke brill nv, leiden

Los archivos del Estado: dominación y colonización en el noroeste amazónico, 1963-1979

This paper explores the ways in which the State tried to incorporate to the nation’s political body both Indians and settlers in Northwest Amazonia. Based on official documents found in the archive of Inírida, Guainía, this article analyzes how Indians and settlers were made objects and subjects of colonization. The construction of the rule of the State was mediated by practices that included the regulation of everyday life, the creation and promotion of indigenous organizations such as the Juntas de Acción Comunal, JAC, and practices at the margins of the law that were informed by specific racial and gender ideologies. This article unearths the particularities that the State formation acquired in Guainía before and during the National Front.Este trabajo explora las formas como el Estado trató de incorporar a los indígenas y colonos del noroeste amazónico al cuerpo político de la nación. A partir de documentos oficiales que reposan en el archivo de Inírida, Guainía, este trabajo analiza cómo indígenas y colonos se convirtieron en objetos y sujetos de la colonización. La construcción de la autoridad y poder del Estado en Guainía estuvo mediada por prácticas que incluyeron la regulación de la vida cotidiana, la creación y promoción de organizaciones civiles como las Juntas de Acción Comunal, JAC, así como prácticas situadas al margen de la ley que se apoyaron en ideologías raciales y de género específicas. Así, el artículo busca desentrañar las particularidades que adquirió la formación del Estado en Guainía durante y después del Frente Nacional

Mineros e indígenas: gobernanza local, extracción de oro y disputas ambientales en Guainía

Based on ethnographic fieldwork developed in Guainía between 2013 and 2019, this article analyses how local governance of mining was made out of official and informal enterprises that control the access and distribution of gold in the region. This article shows how the arrangements and agreements between miners and indígenas that made possible informal mining in Guainía are not opposed to state rule or state policies that regulate this activity, but are part of processes of state-building from below. Finally, the article explores the ways in which mining, state policies and socio-environmental conflicts reshaped the relationships and subjectivities of both miners and indígenas that work in gold extraction.A partir de trabajo de campo realizado en Guainía entre 2013 y 2019, este artículo analiza cómo la gobernanza local de la minería se configuró sobre la base de iniciativas estatales y prácticas informales que regulan el acceso y la distribución de oro en la región. El artículo muestra cómo los arreglos y acuerdos entre mineros e indígenas que permitieron la práctica de la minería informal no se oponen necesariamente a la autoridad del Estado o a las políticas gubernamentales que buscan regular esta actividad, sino que al contrario hacen parte de procesos de construcción de estatalidad desde abajo. Finalmente, se explora cómo la minería de oro, las políticas estatales y las disputas ambientales en torno a esta actividad han reconfigurado las relaciones y subjetividades de colonos e indígenas que participan en ella

Antropólogos posmodernos descubren los prejuicios de la historia

Memorias hegemónicas, memorias disidentes. El pasado como política de la historia. Cristóbal Gnecco y Marta Zambrano (comps.). Ministerio de Cultura, Instituto Colombiano de Antropología e Historia (Icanh), Universidad del Cauca, Bogotá, 2000, 349 págs

Indigenismo desarrollista: Estado y diferencia cultural en una frontera amazónica (1959-1980)

This article explores “developmental indigenism” as a particular articulation of the “indigenist” policies of the Colombian state, which started to take shape at the end of the 1950s. We describe and analyze the implementation and consolidation of “developmental indigenism” in a frontier region such as Guainía. Based on documents, letters and reports, we show how “developmental indigenism” entailed a double adequation between state agents and indigenous communities. Understanding this double adequation destabilizes simplifications regarding how state and indigeneity are constructed in frontier regions such as Amazonia. © 2017, Universidad de los Andes, Bogota Colombia. All rights reserved

Remaking Indigeneity: Conversion and Colonization in Northwest Amazonia.

This dissertation is a historical ethnography of colonization and conversion in Northwest Amazonia and their relationship to emergent notions and practices of indigeneity in the region. I trace the historical configuration of the different modes of colonization and evangelization through which the indigenous peoples have been incorporated first into the rule of empire (Spain and Portugal) and later into the body politic of nation-states (Colombia, Venezuela and Brazil). Catholic missions were the main frontier institution in the region until the end of 19th Century, when they started to compete with capitalist forms of colonization, and later in the 20th Century with other forms of evangelization, most notably evangelical Christianity. In the latter case, capitalist colonization and evangelization did not map directly onto each other given that evangelical conversion of indigenous communities was conceived as a threat to the sovereignty and authority of the state, which was previously mediated by Catholic missionaries. While the predominant interpretations of the massive conversion of Puinaves and Curripacos to Christianity emphasize these changes in terms of assimilation to settler society or as the outcome of messianic traditions, this historical ethnography emphasizes the role of indigenous agency in regional processes of conversion and colonization. New forms of Christian indigeneity since the 1940s thus emerged both in relation to other colonial projects and in opposition to them, transforming social relationships within indigenous communities as well as between natives and white settlers. Indigenous appropriation of evangelical Christianity brought changes in ideas and practices related to the their past, culture, civilization, self, community, modernity and indigeneity. Conversion became a mode of subjectivation through which moral selves and communities were produced. New forms of development promoted by the state contributed to the emergence of new forms of indigenous leadership and community organization. State developmental projects and programs in the region articulated new forms of indigenous leadership and correlated ideas of what an indigenous community should be. The dissertation concludes by analyzing the political conflicts that have taken place in the region between environmental NGOs, indigenous political organization and the regional government regarding the implementation of multicultural legislation approved in 1991.PHDAnthropology and HistoryUniversity of Michigan, Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studieshttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/102413/1/estebanr_1.pd