Time course and predictors for neoaortic root dilatation and neoaortic valve regurgitation during adult life after arterial switch operation

[ES] Introducción y objetivos: Hay pocos datos sobre la evolución en adultos de la dilatación de la raíz neoaórtica (RAO) y la insuficiencia valvular neoaórtica (IA) tras la cirugía de switch arterial (SA) en la transposición de grandes arterias. Métodos: Análisis retrospectivo de 152 pacientes con transposición de grandes arterias, mayores de 15 años, intervenidos mediante SA y seguidos durante 4,9 ± 3,3 años en 2 centros de referencia. Se analizaron los cambios de diámetro de la RAO ajustados a superficie corporal y la progresión a grado moderado/grave de la IA con ecocardiografías seriadas. Se realizó un modelo de regresión de Cox para identificar factores predictores de progresión de la IA. Resultados: Inicialmente, 4 pacientes (2,6%) presentaban IA grave (3 habían precisado cirugía valvular) y 9 (5,9%) moderada. La RAO basal media era 20,05 ± 2,4 mm/m2, y al final del seguimiento, 20,73 ± 2,8 mm/m2 (p < 0,001), con un crecimiento medio de 0,14 (IC95%, 0,07-0,2) mm/m2/año. La IA progresó en 20 (13,5%) y 6 (4%) fueron intervenidos. La progresión de IA se asoció con válvula bicúspide, IA inicial, dilatación de la RAO inicial y crecimiento de la RAO. La válvula bicúspide (HR = 3,3; IC95%, 1,1-15,2; p = 0,037), la IA inicial (HR = 5,9; IC95%, 1,6-59,2; p = 0,006) y el crecimiento de la RAO (HR = 4,1; IC95%, 2-13,5; p = 0,023) resultaron predictores independientes. Conclusiones: La dilatación de la RAO y la IA progresan en el adulto joven intervenido mediante SA. La válvula bicúspide, la IA basal y el crecimiento de la RAO son predictores de progresión de IA.[EN] Introduction and objectives: There are limited data on the long-term development of neoaortic root dilatation (NRD) and neoaortic valve regurgitation (AR) after arterial switch operation (ASO) for transposition of the great arteries during adult life. Methods: We performed a retrospective longitudinal analysis of 152 patients older than 15 years who underwent ASO for transposition of the great arteries and who were followed-up for 4.9 ± 3.3 years in 2 referral centers. Sequential changes in body surface-adjusted aortic root dimensions and progression to moderate/severe AR were determined in patients with 2 or more echocardiographic examinations. Risk factors for dilatation were tested by Cox regression to identify predictors of AR progression. Results: At baseline, moderate AR was present in 9 patients (5.9%) and severe AR in 4 (2.6%), of whom 3 had required aortic valve surgery. Initially, the median neoaortic root dimension was 20.05 ± 2.4 mm/m2, which increased significantly to 20.73 ± 2.8 mm/m2 (P < .001) at the end of follow-up. The mean change over time was 0.14 mm/m2/y (95%CI, 0.07-0.2). Progressive AR was observed in 20 patients (13.5%) and 6 patients (4%) required aortic valve surgery. Progressive AR was associated with bicuspid valve, AR at baseline, NRD at baseline, and neoaortic root enlargement. Independent predictors were bicuspid valve (HR, 3.3; 95%CI, 1.1-15.2; P = .037), AR at baseline (HR, 5.9; 95%CI, 1.6-59.2; P = .006) and increase in NRD (HR, 4.1 95%CI, 2-13.5; P = .023). Conclusions: In adult life, NRD and AR progress over time after ASO. Predictors of progressive AR are bicuspid valve, AR at baseline, and increase in NRD

Predicting sudden cardiac death in adults with congenital heart disease

[Objectives] To develop, calibrate, test and validate a logistic regression model for accurate risk prediction of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and non-fatal sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) in adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD), based on baseline lesion-specific risk stratification and individual’s characteristics, to guide primary prevention strategies.[Methods] We combined data from a single-centre cohort of 3311 consecutive ACHD patients (50% male) at 25-year follow-up with 71 events (53 SCD and 18 non-fatal SCA) and a multicentre case–control group with 207 cases (110 SCD and 97 non-fatal SCA) and 2287 consecutive controls (50% males). Cumulative incidences of events up to 20 years for specific lesions were determined in the prospective cohort. Risk model and its 5-year risk predictions were derived by logistic regression modelling, using separate development (18 centres: 144 cases and 1501 controls) and validation (two centres: 63 cases and 786 controls) datasets.[Results] According to the combined SCD/SCA cumulative 20 years incidence, a lesion-specific stratification into four clusters—very-low (12%)—was built. Multivariable predictors were lesion-specific cluster, young age, male sex, unexplained syncope, ischaemic heart disease, non-life threatening ventricular arrhythmias, QRS duration and ventricular systolic dysfunction or hypertrophy. The model very accurately discriminated (C-index 0.91; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.94) and calibrated (p=0.3 for observed vs expected proportions) in the validation dataset. Compared with current guidelines approach, sensitivity increases 29% with less than 1% change in specificity.[Conclusions] Predicting the risk of SCD/SCA in ACHD can be significantly improved using a baseline lesion-specific stratification and simple clinical variables.Peer reviewe

Clonal chromosomal mosaicism and loss of chromosome Y in elderly men increase vulnerability for SARS-CoV-2

The pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19) had an estimated overall case fatality ratio of 1.38% (pre-vaccination), being 53% higher in males and increasing exponentially with age. Among 9578 individuals diagnosed with COVID-19 in the SCOURGE study, we found 133 cases (1.42%) with detectable clonal mosaicism for chromosome alterations (mCA) and 226 males (5.08%) with acquired loss of chromosome Y (LOY). Individuals with clonal mosaic events (mCA and/or LOY) showed a 54% increase in the risk of COVID-19 lethality. LOY is associated with transcriptomic biomarkers of immune dysfunction, pro-coagulation activity and cardiovascular risk. Interferon-induced genes involved in the initial immune response to SARS-CoV-2 are also down-regulated in LOY. Thus, mCA and LOY underlie at least part of the sex-biased severity and mortality of COVID-19 in aging patients. Given its potential therapeutic and prognostic relevance, evaluation of clonal mosaicism should be implemented as biomarker of COVID-19 severity in elderly people. Among 9578 individuals diagnosed with COVID-19 in the SCOURGE study, individuals with clonal mosaic events (clonal mosaicism for chromosome alterations and/or loss of chromosome Y) showed an increased risk of COVID-19 lethality

Pulmonary hypertension in adults with congenital heart disease. Clinical phenotypes and outcomes in the advanced pulmonary vasodilator era

[Background] Mortality of pulmonary hypertension associated with congenital heart disease (PAH-CHD) in adults remains high.[Objectives] To identify predictors of death and to assess the impact of treatment on outcome.[Methods] Retrospective, multicenter cohort study of 103 adults with PAH-CHD followed-up for 8.6 ± 4.6 years. Patients were grouped according to underlying shunt type into pre-tricuspid, post-tricuspid and complex. Survival rates were analyzed and predictors of death were investigated with Cox regression models.[Results] In the post-tricuspid and complex groups (38 and 37 patients, respectively), the most common clinical PAH-CHD subgroup was Eisenmenger syndrome (76.3% and 59.5%, respectively) whereas, in the pre-tricuspid group (28 patients), 46.5% of patients had small or corrected defects. Overall, 88 patients received vasodilators; 39% required combination-therapy. Overall survival at 10 years was 65%. Mortality was highest in the pre-tricuspid group, FC-III-IV and amongst patients receiving monotherapy (p < 0.050). On multivariate analysis, predictors of poor outcome were pericardial effusion (HR: 4,520 [1,470–13,890]; p = 0,008), oxygen saturation(HR: 0.940 [0,900 - 0,990]; p = 0,018) and genetic syndromes(HR: 3,280 [1,098–9,780]; p = 0,033).[Conclusions] Patients in advanced stages at initiation of treatment were at high risk of death and strong consideration should be given for more aggressive therapy.This study was supported by Clinical Research Grant 2017 from the Spanish Society of Cardiology. The regional Registry of Adult Congenital Heart Disease in Andalusia (RACCA) is supported by the Spanish Society of Cardiology and was launched through a research grant from Actelion Pharmaceuticals.Peer reviewe