Predictive systems models can help elucidate bee declines driven by multiple combined stressors

Published onlineThis is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Springer Verlag via the DOI in this record.Bee declines are driven by multiple combined stresses, making it exceedingly difficult to identify experimentally the most critical threats to bees and their pollination services. We highlight here the too often ignored potential of mechanistic models in identifying critical stress combinations. Advanced bee models are now available as open access tools and offer an unprecedented opportunity for bee biologists to explore bee resilience tipping points in a variety of environmental contexts. We provide general guidelines on how to run bee models to help detect a priori critical stress combinations to be targeted in the field. This so-called funnel analysis should be performed in tight conjunction with the recent development of large-scale field monitoring programs for bee health surveillance.This work was supported by the European Community program (797/2004) for French beekeeping coordinated by the French Ministry of Agriculture (RISQAPI project). JLO, MAB, and PK were funded by grants from the Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council, UK [BB/J014915/1; BB/K014463/1]. We thank Axel Decourtye and Jean-François Odoux for useful discussions on honeybee colony modeling and field monitoring design, as well as two anonymous reviewers for constructive comments on the manuscript

Risks to pollinators and pollination from invasive alien species

Invasive alien species modify pollinator biodiversity and the services they provide that underpin ecosystem function and human well-being. Building on the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) global assessment of pollinators and pollination, we synthesize current understanding of invasive alien impacts on pollinators and pollination. Invasive alien species create risks and opportunities for pollinator nutrition, re-organize species interactions to affect native pollination and community stability, and spread and select for virulent diseases. Risks are complex but substantial, and depend greatly on the ecological function and evolutionary history of both the invader and the recipient ecosystem. We highlight evolutionary implications for pollination from invasive alien species, and identify future research directions, key messages and options for decision-making