Population-based SEER trend analysis of overall and cancer-specific survival in 5138 patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumor

Background: The objective of the present population-based analysis was to assess survival patterns in patients with resected and metastatic GIST. Methods: Patients with histologically proven GIST were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database from 1998 through 2011. Survival was determined applying Kaplan-Meier-estimates and multivariable Cox-regression analyses. The impact of size and mitotic count on survival was assessed with a generalized receiver-operating characteristic-analysis. Results: Overall, 5138 patients were included. Median age was 62 years (range: 18–101 years), 47.3% were female, 68.8% Caucasians. GIST location was in the stomach in 58.7% and small bowel in 31.2%. Lymph node and distant metastases were found in 5.1 and 18.0%, respectively. For non-metastatic GIST, three-year overall survival increased from 68.5% (95% CI: 58.8–79.8%) in 1998 to 88.6% (95% CI: 85.3–92.0%) in 2008, cancer-specific survival from 75.3% (95% CI: 66.1–85.9%) in 1998 to 92.2% (95% CI: 89.4–95.1%) in 2008. For metastatic GIST, three-year overall survival increased from 15.0% (95% CI: 5.3–42.6%) in 1998 to 54.7% (95% CI: 44.4–67.3%) in 2008, cancer-specific survival from 15.0% (95% CI: 5.3–42.6%) in 1998 to 61.9% (95% CI: 51.4–74.5%) in 2008 (all PTrend < 0.05). Conclusions: This is the first SEER trend analysis assessing outcomes in a large cohort of GIST patients over a 11-year time period. The analysis provides compelling evidence of a statistically significant and clinically relevant increase in overall and cancer-specific survival from 1998 to 2008, both for resected as well as metastatic GIST

Diagnostic accuracy of C-reactive protein and white blood cell counts in the early detection of inflammatory complications after open resection of colorectal cancer: a retrospective study of 1,187 patients

Purpose: Although widely used, there is a lack of evidence concerning the diagnostic accuracy of C-reactive protein (CRP) and white blood cell counts (WBCs) in the postoperative period. The aim of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of CRP and WBCs in predicting postoperative inflammatory complications after open resection of colorectal cancer. Methods: In this retrospective study, clinical data and the CRP and WBCs, routinely measured until postoperative day5 (POD 5), were available for 1,187 patients who underwent colorectal cancer surgery between 1997 and 2009. Using the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) methodology, the diagnostic accuracy was evaluated according to the area under the curve (AUC). Results: Three hundred forty-seven patients (29.2%; 95% CI, 26.7-31.9%) developed various inflammatory complications. Anastomotic leakage occurred in 8.0% (95% CI, 6.1-9.1%) of patients. The CRP level on POD 4 (AUC 0.76; 95% CI, 0.71-0.81) had the highest diagnostic accuracy for the early detection of inflammatory complications. With a cutoff of 123mg/l, the sensitivity was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.56-0.74), and the specificity was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.71-0.82). The diagnostic accuracy of the WBC was significantly lower compared to CRP. Conclusion: Measurement of CRP on POD 4 is recommended to screen for inflammatory complications. CRP values above 123mg/l on POD 4 should raise suspicion of inflammatory complications, although the discriminatory performance was insufficient to provide a single threshold that could be used to correctly predict inflammatory complications in clinical practice. WBC measurement contributes little to the early detection of inflammatory complications. Registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01221324

Risk Factors for Anastomotic Leakage after Rectal Cancer Resection and Reconstruction with Colorectostomy. A Retrospective Study with Bootstrap Analysis

Background: This study was designed to apply modern statistical methods to evaluate risk factors for anastomotic leakage after rectal cancer resection in a retrospective cohort of patients who received a colorectostomy. Whereas a diverting stoma and tumor height are considered proven risk factors for anastomotic leakage, a lack of evidence about additional risk factors persists. Methods: In a single-center study, 527 consecutive patients who received a colorectostomy after rectal cancer resection between 1991 and 2008 were retrospectively assessed. In addition to traditional uni- and multivariate regression, locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOWESS) regression and bootstrap analysis were applied to increase internal validity. Results: Anastomotic leakage occurred in 70 patients (13.3%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 10.5-16.5%) and mortality was 2.5% (95% CI, 1.4-4.2%). Diverting stoma (odds ratio (OR), 0.4; 95% CI, 0.17-0.61) and tumor height (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.8-0.94) were proven to be protective. Neoadjuvant radiotherapy (OR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.58-4.24) and intraoperative blood loss (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.02-1.09) had a derogatory effect. Bootstrap analysis identified pre-existing vascular disease (95.5%), more advanced UICC stage III or IV tumors (95.7% or 91.5%, respectively), and intraoperative (96.1%) and postoperative (99.4%) blood substitution as harmful. Both intraoperative and postoperative blood substitution caused a dose-dependent increase in risk. Conclusions: Applying statistical resampling methods identified intraoperative blood loss, blood substitution, vascular disease, and advanced UICC stage as risk factors for anastomotic leakage. Greater distances between the tumor and the anal verge and performance of a diverting stoma were associated with a decreased risk of anastomotic leakag

Diagnostic study and meta-analysis of C-reactive protein as a predictor of postoperative inflammatory complications after gastroesophageal cancer surgery

Purpose: This study assessed the diagnostic accuracy of C-reactive protein (CRP) after gastroesophageal cancer resection for postoperative inflammatory complications (PIC). Methods: The clinical data and CRP values of patients operated on for gastroesophageal cancer surgery between 1997 and 2009 were retrospectively analyzed. The results of this study were compared with published data using a meta-analytic approach for diagnostic outcomes. Results: Of 210 patients included in the study, 59 developed PIC (28.1%; 95% CI: 22.5-34.5%). On the postoperative day (POD) 4 and 7, CRP had the best diagnostic accuracy for PIC (AUC 0.77; 95% CI, 0.64-0.91, AUC 0.81; 95% CI, 0.71-0.91). Using a cut-off value of 141mg/L (95% CI, 131-278mg/L) for CRP on POD 4, the sensitivity was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.55-0.91), the specificity was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.53-0.83) and the NPV was 0.89 (95% CI, 0.77-0.95). The in-hospital mortality rate was 3.3% (95% CI, 1.5-6.9%). In a diagnostic meta-analysis that included two additional studies, CRP had a significant predictive value after POD 3. Conclusion: There is limited evidence for the diagnostic accuracy of CRP levels for PIC after gastroesophageal cancer surgery. CRP levels on POD 4 might be useful to rule out PIC, but its diagnostic accuracy is moderate at best. For clinical routine use CRP levels are clearly not sufficient to predict PIC and have to be interpreted in the context of the whole clinical pictur

C-reactive protein elevation predicts in-hospital deterioration after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND There is increasing evidence that inflammation plays a role in the pathogenesis of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and in the development of delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI). However, the assessment and interpretation of classically defined inflammatory parameters is difficult in aSAH patients. The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between easily assessable findings (hyperventilation, fever, white blood cell count (WBC), and C-reactive protein (CRP)) and the occurrence of DCI and unfavorable neurological outcome at discharge in aSAH patients. METHODS Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from a single center cohort. We evaluated the potential of clinical signs of inflammation (hyperventilation, fever) and simple inflammatory laboratory parameters CRP and WBC to predict unfavorable outcomes at discharge and DCI in a multivariate analysis. A cutoff value for CRP was calculated by Youden's J statistic. Outcome was measured using the modified Rankin score at discharge, with an unfavorable outcome defined as modified Rankin scale (mRS) > 3. RESULTS We included 97 consecutive aSAH patients (63 females, 34 males, mean age 58 years) in the analysis. Twenty-one (22%) had major disability or died by the time of hospital discharge. Among inflammatory parameters, CRP over 100 mg/dl on day 2 was an independent predictor for worse neurological outcome at discharge. The average C-reactive protein level in the first 14 days was higher in patients with a worse neurological outcome (96.6, SD 48.3 vs 56.3 mg/dl, SD 28.6) in the first 14 days after aSAH. C-reactive protein on day 2 was an indicator of worse neurological outcome. No inflammatory parameter was an independent predictor of DCI. After multivariate adjustment, DCI, increased age, and more than 1 day of mechanical ventilation were significant predictors of worse neurological outcome. CONCLUSIONS Early elevated CRP levels were a significant predictor of worse neurological outcome at hospital discharge and may be a useful marker of later deterioration in aSAH

C-Reactive Protein 2 Days After Laparoscopic Gastric Bypass Surgery Reliably Indicates Leaks and Moderately Predicts Morbidity

Background: The aim of the present study was to evaluate whether serum C-reactive protein (CRP) is a useful predictor of early post-operative complications, particularly of intestinal leaks after laparoscopic Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (LRYGB) surgery. Methods: The present study was a retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database with 809 patients who underwent LRYGB from 2002 until 2011. For 410 of these patients, at least one CRP measurement within the first seven post-operative days was available. The diagnostic value was determined by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: Forty-nine of 410 patients (12.0%; 95% confidence intervals [95% CI], 9.2-15.5%) developed surgery-related complications. Leaks occurred in 17 patients (4.1%; 95% CI, 2.6-6.5%) at a median of 5days after surgery. CRP levels 2days after surgery showed the highest diagnostic value for post-operative complications (AUC, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.60-0.89). Sensitivity was 0.53 (95% CI, 0.31-0.74) and specificity was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.79-0.96) on day 2 (cutoff level, 229mg/l). The sensitivity for intestinal leaks was 1.00 (95% CI, 0.51-1.00). Conclusion: CRP on post-operative day 2 is a valuable predictor of post-operative complications, in particular intestinal leaks. Radiological imaging studies for intestinal leaks could be restricted to patients with CRP values exceeding 229mg/

Relative survival is an adequate estimate of cancer-specific survival: baseline mortality-adjusted 10-year survival of 771 rectal cancer patients.

BACKGROUND The objective of the present investigation is to assess the baseline mortality-adjusted 10-year survival of rectal cancer patients. METHODS Ten-year survival was analyzed in 771 consecutive American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage I-IV rectal cancer patients undergoing open resection between 1991 and 2008 using risk-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models adjusting for population-based baseline mortality. RESULTS The median follow-up of patients alive was 8.8 years. The 10-year relative, overall, and cancer-specific survival were 66.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) 61.3-72.1], 48.7% (95% CI 44.9-52.8), and 66.4% (95% CI 62.5-70.5), respectively. In the entire patient sample (stage I-IV) 47.3% and in patients with stage I-III 33.6 % of all deaths were related to rectal cancer during the 10-year period. For patients with AJCC stage I rectal cancer, the 10-year overall survival was 96% and did not significantly differ from an average population after matching for gender, age, and calendar year (p = 0.151). For the more advanced tumor stages, however, survival was significantly impaired (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Retrospective investigations of survival after rectal cancer resection should adjust for baseline mortality because a large fraction of deaths is not cancer related. Stage I rectal cancer patients, compared to patients with more advanced disease stages, have a relative survival close to 100% and can thus be considered cured. Using this relative-survival approach, the real public health burden caused by rectal cancer can reliably be analyzed and reported

The Value of Sentinel Lymph Node Mapping for the Staging of Node-Negative Colon Cancer

Objectives: Mediation analysis to assess the protective impact of sentinel lymph node (SLN) mapping on prognosis and survival of patients with colon cancer through a more precise evaluation of the lymph node (LN) status. Background: Up to 20% of patients with node-negative colon cancer develop disease recurrence. Conventional histopathological LN examination may be limited in describing the real metastatic burden of LN. Methods: Data of 312 patients with stage I & II colon cancer was collected prospectively. Patients were either staged using intraoperative SLN mapping with multilevel sectioning and immunohistochemical staining of the SLN or conventional techniques. The value of the SLN mapping for the detection of truly node-negative patients was assessed using Cox regression and mediation analysis. Results: SLN mapping was performed in 143 patients. Disease recurrence was observed in 13 (9.1%) patients staged with SLN mapping and in 27 (16%) staged conventionally. Five-year overall survival (OS) rate was 82.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 76.5–89.4%) with SLN mapping compared with 65.8% (95% CI, 58.8–73.7%). Five-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) was 95.1% (95% CI, 91.3–99.0%) with SLN mapping compared with 92.5% (95% CI, 88.0–97.2%). Node-negative staging with SLN mapping was associated with significantly better OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.64; 95% CI, 0.56–0.72; P < 0.001) and CSS (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.39–0.61; P < 0.001) in multivariate analysis. Mediation analysis confirmed a direct protective effect of SLN mapping on OS (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.52–0.96; P < 0.01) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.48–0.89; P < 0.01). Conclusions: Staging performed by SLN mapping with multilevel sectioning provides more accurate results than conventional staging. The observed clinically relevant and statistically significant benefit in OS and DFS is explained by a more accurate detection of positive LN by SLN mapping

Evaluation of the prognostic relevance of the recommended minimum number of lymph nodes in colorectal cancer—a propensity score analysis

Purpose Nodal status in colorectal cancer (CRC) is an important prognostic factor, and adequate lymph node (LN) staging is crucial. Whether the number of resected and analysed LN has a direct impact on overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and disease-free survival (DFS) is much discussed. Guidelines request a minimum number of 12 LN to be analysed. Whether that threshold marks a prognostic relevant cut-off remains unknown. Methods Patients operated for stage I–III CRC were identified from a prospectively maintained database. The impact of the number of analysed LN on OS, CSS and DFS was assessed using Cox regression and propensity score analysis. Results Of the 687 patients, 81.8% had ≥ 12 LN resected and analysed. Median LN yield was 17.0 (IQR 13.0–23.0). Resection and analysis of ≥ 12 LN was associated with improved OS (HR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.56–0.95, p = 0.033), CSS (HR 0.52, 95% CI: 0.31–0.85, p = 0.030) and DFS (HR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.57–0.95, p = 0.030) in multivariate Cox analysis. After adjusting for biasing factors with propensity score matching, resection of ≥ 12 LN was significantly associated with improved OS (HR = 0.59; 95% CI: 0.43–0.81; p = 0.002), CSS (HR = 0.34; 95% CI: 0.20–0.60; p < 0.001) and DFS (HR = 0.55; 95% CI: 0.41–0.74; p < 0.001) compared to patients with < 12 LN. Conclusion Eliminating biasing factors by a propensity score matching analysis underlines the prognostic importance of the number of analysed LN. The set threshold marks the minimum number of required LN but nevertheless represents a cut-off regarding outcome in stage I–III CRC. This analysis therefore highlights the significance and importance of adherence to surgical oncological standards