Prediction of Critical Illness During Out-of-Hospital Emergency Care

CONTEXT: Early identification of nontrauma patients in need of critical care services in the emergency setting may improve triage decisions and facilitate regionalization of critical care. OBJECTIVES: To determine the out-of-hospital clinical predictors of critical illness and to characterize the performance of a simple score for out-of-hospital prediction of development of critical illness during hospitalization. DESIGN AND SETTING: Population-based cohort study of an emergency medical services (EMS) system in greater King County, Washington (excluding metropolitan Seattle), that transports to 16 receiving facilities. PATIENTS: Nontrauma, non-cardiac arrest adult patients transported to a hospital by King County EMS from 2002 through 2006. Eligible records with complete data (N = 144,913) were linked to hospital discharge data and randomly split into development (n = 87,266 [60%]) and validation (n = 57,647 [40%]) cohorts. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Development of critical illness, defined as severe sepsis, delivery of mechanical ventilation, or death during hospitalization. RESULTS: Critical illness occurred during hospitalization in 5% of the development (n = 4835) and validation (n = 3121) cohorts. Multivariable predictors of critical illness included older age, lower systolic blood pressure, abnormal respiratory rate, lower Glasgow Coma Scale score, lower pulse oximetry, and nursing home residence during out-of-hospital care (P < .01 for all). When applying a summary critical illness prediction score to the validation cohort (range, 0-8), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76-0.78), with satisfactory calibration slope (1.0). Using a score threshold of 4 or higher, sensitivity was 0.22 (95% CI, 0.20-0.23), specificity was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.98-0.98), positive likelihood ratio was 9.8 (95% CI, 8.9-10.6), and negative likelihood ratio was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.79- 0.82). A threshold of 1 or greater for critical illness improved sensitivity (0.98; 95% CI, 0.97-0.98) but reduced specificity (0.17; 95% CI, 0.17-0.17). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based cohort, the score on a prediction rule using out-of-hospital factors was significantly associated with the development of critical illness during hospitalization. This score requires external validation in an independent populationPeer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/85143/1/Seymour - JAMA-2010-747-54.pdf11

The Vehicle, 1969, Vol. 11 no. 1

Vol. 11, No. 1 Table of Contents PhotoJeff Nelsonpage 4 The Dancing BodLukepage 5 The Hide-OutEleanor Aikenpage 6 DrawingLawrence Unfriedpage 7 Rain-Drunk Midnight ManiaThomas W. Reapage 9 What I\u27m Supposed To Say About WarMichael G. McKeepage 10 Sinking LashesThomas W. Reapage 10 CandleThomas W. Reapage 10 Nervous ChaperoneThomas W. Reapage 10 Formless Beauty Left To DryThomas W. Reapage 10 MasqueradeThomas W. Reapage 10 Mad JohnJames Jonespage 11 Black RacistJames Jonespage 12 HandsLawrence Unfriedpage 13 The Real Jonathan T. WillwickCharles Whitepage 14 A Cold Afternoon In JanuaryCharles Whitepage 16 Crumpled PaperLawrence Unfriedpage 16 ImpressionMichael G. McKeepage 18 The HunterMary Ann Spidelpage 19 PhotoJeff NelsonCaptionMichael G. McKeepage 20https://thekeep.eiu.edu/vehicle/1019/thumbnail.jp

Prehospital Systolic Blood Pressure Thresholds: A Community‐based Outcomes Study

Objectives Emergency medical services (EMS) personnel commonly use systolic blood pressure ( sBP ) to triage and treat acutely ill patients. The definition of prehospital hypotension and its associated outcomes are poorly defined. The authors sought to determine the discrimination of prehospital sBP thresholds for 30‐day mortality and to compare patient classification by best‐performing thresholds to traditional cutoffs. Methods In a community‐based cohort of adult, nontrauma, noncardiac arrest patients transported by EMS between 2002 and 2006, entries to state hospital discharge data and death certificates were linked. Prehospital sBP thresholds between 40 and 140 mm Hg in derivation ( n =  132,624) and validation ( n =  22,020) cohorts and their discrimination for 30‐day mortality, were examined. Cutoffs were evaluated using the 0/1 distance, Youden index, and adjusted Z‐statistics from multivariable logistic regression models. Results In the derivation cohort, 1,594 (1.2%) died within 24 hours, 7,404 (6%) were critically ill during hospitalization, and 6,888 (5%) died within 30 days. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for sBP was 0.60 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.59, 0.61) for 30‐day mortality and 0.64 (95% CI = 0.62 0.66) for 24‐hour mortality. The 0/1 distance, Youden index, and adjusted Z‐statistics found best‐performing sBP thresholds between 110 and 120 mm Hg. When compared to an sBP ≤ 90 mm Hg, a cutoff of 110 mm Hg would identify 17% ( n =  137) more deaths at 30 days, while overtriaging four times as many survivors. Conclusions Prehospital sBP is a modest discriminator of clinical outcomes, yet no threshold avoids substantial misclassification of 30‐day mortality among noninjured patients. Resumen Los Umbrales de la Presión Arterial Sistólica Prehospitalaria: Un Estudio de Base Comunitaria Acerca de la Evolución de los Pacientes Objetivos El personal de los sistemas de emergencias médicas ( SEM ) usa frecuentemente la presión arterial sistólica ( PAS ) para clasificar y tratar a los pacientes agudos. Las definiciones de hipotensión prehospitalaria y sus resultados asociados están pobremente definidos. Se determinó la discriminación de los umbrales de PAS prehospitalaria para la mortalidad a los 30 días, y se comparó la clasificación del paciente por los mejores umbrales con los puntos de corte tradicionales. Metodología Estudio de cohorte de base comunitaria de pacientes adultos no traumatológicos ni con paradas cardiorrespiratorias transportados por los SEM entre 2002 y 2006, cuyas historias estaban vinculadas con los datos de alta hospitalaria y los certificados de mortalidad. Se examinaron los umbrales de PAS prehospitalaria entre 40 mm Hg y 140 mm Hg en las cohortes de derivación ( n =  132.624), y validación ( n =  22,020), y su discriminación para la mortalidad a los 30 días. Los puntos de corte se evaluaron usando la distancia 0/1, el índice de Youden y los estadísticos Z ajustados de los modelos de regresión logística multivariable. Resultados: En la cohorte de derivación, 1.594 (1,2%) fallecieron en las primeras 24 horas, 7.404 (6%) estuvieron críticamente enfermos durante el ingreso y 6.888 (5%) fallecieron en los 30 primeros días. El área bajo la curva de la ROC para PAS fue 0,60 ( IC 95% = 0,59–0,61) para la mortalidad a los 30 días y 0,64 ( IC 95% = 0,62–0,66) para la mortalidad a las 24 horas. La distancia 0/1, el índice de Youden y las estadísticas Z ajustadas hallaronque los mejores umbrales de PAS estaban entre 110 y 120 mm Hg. Cuando se comparó con una PAS ≤ 90 mm Hg, un punto de corte de 110 mm Hg identificaría un 17% ( n =  137) más de muertes a los 30 días, mientras que sobreclasificaría cuatro veces más a los supervivientes. Conclusiones La presión arterial sistólica es un discriminador modesto de resultados clínicos. No obstante, ningún umbral evita una mala clasificación de la mortalidad a los 30 días entre los pacientes no traumatológicos.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/98303/1/acem12142-sup-0002-DataSupplementS2_FigS1.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/98303/2/acem12142-sup-0007-DataSupplementS7_FigS4.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/98303/3/acem12142-sup-0006-DataSupplementS6_FigS3.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/98303/4/acem12142-sup-0009-DataSupplementS9_TableS3.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/98303/5/acem12142-sup-0003-DataSupplementS3.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/98303/6/acem12142-sup-0008-DataSupplementS8_TableS2.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/98303/7/acem12142-sup-0004-DataSupplementS4_TableS1.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/98303/8/acem12142-sup-0001-DataSupplementS1.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/98303/9/acem12142.pd

Novel homozygous variants in PRORP expand the genotypic spectrum of combined oxidative phosphorylation deficiency 54

Biallelic hypomorphic variants in PRORP have been recently described as causing the autosomal recessive disorder combined oxidative phosphorylation deficiency type 54 (COXPD54). COXPD54 encompasses a phenotypic spectrum of sensorineural hearing loss and ovarian insufficiency (Perrault syndrome) to leukodystrophy. Here, we report three additional families with homozygous missense PRORP variants with pleiotropic phenotypes. Each missense variant altered a highly conserved residue within the metallonuclease domain. In vitro mitochondrial tRNA processing assays with recombinant TRMT10C, SDR5C1 and PRORP indicated two COXPD54-associated PRORP variants, c.1159A>G (p.Thr387Ala) and c.1241C>T (p.Ala414Val), decreased pre-tRNAIle cleavage, consistent with both variants impacting tRNA processing. No significant decrease in tRNA processing was observed with PRORP c.1093T>C (p.Tyr365His), which was identified in an individual with leukodystrophy. These data provide independent evidence that PRORP variants are associated with COXPD54 and that the assessment of 5' leader mitochondrial tRNA processing is a valuable assay for the functional analysis and clinical interpretation of novel PRORP variants

Synthesis and Monte Carlo Structure Determination of SSZ-77: A New Zeolite Topology

A new molecular sieve topology has been determined from a multistage Monte Carlo computer simulation procedure using the program ZEFSAII. The material, SSZ-77, consists of alternating layers present in the RUT and AST topologies, and intergrowths may be possible in the way that this material grows. The product first arose from a synthesis where it appears that the degradation of the quaternary ammonium structure directing agent (SDA) produced the viable organo-guest molecule in the structure formation. The synthesis requires the use of Ge as well as Si as lattice components. In the absence of Ge, only RUT forms. An additional study was carried out to determine the suitable size of guest molecules in a series spanning trimethylamine to tetraethylammonium in the presence of benzyltrimethylammonium. It is found from NMR investigations that none of the larger molecules are occluded within the cages of the SSZ-77 structure, and that the primary occluded species is trimethylamine or tetramethylammonium

Validation of Twelve Small Kepler Transiting Planets in the Habitable Zone

We present an investigation of twelve candidate transiting planets from Kepler with orbital periods ranging from 34 to 207 days, selected from initial indications that they are small and potentially in the habitable zone (HZ) of their parent stars. Few of these objects are known. The expected Doppler signals are too small to confirm them by demonstrating that their masses are in the planetary regime. Here we verify their planetary nature by validating them statistically using the BLENDER technique, which simulates large numbers of false positives and compares the resulting light curves with the Kepler photometry. This analysis was supplemented with new follow-up observations (high-resolution optical and near-infrared spectroscopy, adaptive optics imaging, and speckle interferometry), as well as an analysis of the flux centroids. For eleven of them (KOI-0571.05, 1422.04, 1422.05, 2529.02, 3255.01, 3284.01, 4005.01, 4087.01, 4622.01, 4742.01, and 4745.01) we show that the likelihood they are true planets is far greater than that of a false positive, to a confidence level of 99.73% (3 sigma) or higher. For KOI-4427.01 the confidence level is about 99.2% (2.6 sigma). With our accurate characterization of the GKM host stars, the derived planetary radii range from 1.1 to 2.7 R_Earth. All twelve objects are confirmed to be in the HZ, and nine are small enough to be rocky. Excluding three of them that have been previously validated by others, our study doubles the number of known rocky planets in the HZ. KOI-3284.01 (Kepler-438b) and KOI-4742.01 (Kepler-442b) are the planets most similar to the Earth discovered to date when considering their size and incident flux jointly.Comment: 27 pages in emulateapj format, including tables and figures. To appear in The Astrophysical Journa