The Virtual Extension Specialist

This article describes a new view of the Extension specialist for the 21st century--The Virtual Extension Specialist. The Virtual Extension Specialist is vastly different from its human counterpart, yet relies on human interaction and utilization to establish itself in its virtual Extension environment. The story of WoodPro, a living, breathing, virtual Extension specialist, is presented here not only as a view of the future of Extension, but as a wake-up call for the traditional, human Extension specialists still out there

Positioning for Trade Liberalization: Structure of Earnings, Comparative and Competitive Advantage of Agricultural Households in the United States and Canada

Consumer/Household Economics, International Relations/Trade,

Impact of Over-Run on Profitability of Hardwood Sawmills

The objective of this paper is to ascertain if the common sawmill efficiency measure, over-run, bears a significant relationship to the ultimate measure of efficiency-profitability. A data set of log grades and lumber yields from twelve batches of red oak logs, representing about four weeks of production, was collected from a mill in central Pennsylvania. The over-run and actual profitability of each batch were calculated from mill results. For comparison, each batch was optimized through a linear programming technique to determine potential mill profitability under prevailing log and lumber prices; the corresponding over-run of each optimized batch was calculated. Stepwise linear regression techniques were utilized to prove a hypothesis that no relationship exists between over-run and profitability, either actual profit as realized by the sawmill studied or theoretically optimal profit as determined by a linear programming solution. Simple linear regression was then used to validate the result. The study demonstrates clearly that, in this case, over-run is not a predictor of profitability, and as influenced by a company's choice of log scale, is merely a relative measure of operational efficiency that may lead to mistaken assumptions about mill profitability

The Lean Index: Operational "Lean" Metrics for the Wood Products Industry

No standard definition for lean production exists today, especially specific to the wood products industries. From a management point of view, even the more straightforward management issues surrounding the concept of "lean" are complex. This exploratory research seeks to develop a methodology for quantitative and objective assessment of the leanness of any wood products operation. Factor analysis is a statistical approach that describes the patterns of relationships among quantifiable predictor variables, with the goal of identifying variables that cannot be directly measured, such as the leanness of a company. Using this technique, a factor model was identified and a factor score, or "Lean Index," was developed. For the nine wood products companies included in this study, the average Lean Index is demonstrated to be 5.07, ranging from a low of 2.33 to a high of 12.00. Based on the quantified standards of lean production developed in this study, (1) primary wood products operations are inherently leaner than secondary wood products operations; (2) process throughput variables explain approximately twice the total variance of all consumed resources, compared to process support variables; and (3) energy consumption is shown to be the single most significant contributor to the leanness of any wood products company

Identification of the Relationship Between Equilibrium Moisture Content, Dry Bulb Temperature, and Relative Humidity Using Regression Analysis

This paper evaluates the performance of equilibrium moisture content (EMC) predictions using the least squares regression equation given in The Dry Kiln Operator's Manual (Simpson 1991). The fit of the regression equation in The Manual was found to be adequate only when the dry bulb temperature is below 110°F. At temperatures above 110°F, it generally overestimates EMC. A new polynomial regression equation is presented in this paper to predict EMC at dry bulb temperatures above 110°F. Comparisons between the old and new regression equations show an improvement in the root mean squared error of the predictions of about 44% when using the new equation. The proposed equation facilitates better control of the drying process in computer-controlled kiln applications using prediction equations for EMC estimates

Toward a better understanding of the comparatively high prostate cancer incidence rates in Utah

BACKGROUND: This study assesses whether comparatively high prostate cancer incidence rates among white men in Utah represent higher rates among members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (LDS or Mormons), who comprise about 70% of the state's male population, and considers the potential influence screening has on these rates. METHODS: Analyses are based on 14,693 histologically confirmed invasive prostate cancer cases among men aged 50 years and older identified through the Utah Cancer Registry between 1985 and 1999. Cancer records were linked to LDS Church membership records to determine LDS status. Poisson regression was used to derive rate ratios of LDS to nonLDS prostate cancer incidence, adjusted for age, disease stage, calendar time, and incidental detection. RESULTS: LDS men had a 31% (95% confidence interval, 26% – 36%) higher incidence rate of prostate cancer than nonLDS men during the study period. Rates were consistently higher among LDS men over time (118% in 1985–88, 20% in 1989–92, 15% in 1993–1996, and 13% in 1997–99); age (13% in ages 50–59, 48% in ages 60–69, 28% in ages 70–79, and 16% in ages 80 and older); and stage (36% in local/regional and 17% in unstaged). An age- and stage-shift was observed for both LDS and nonLDS men, although more pronounced among LDS men. CONCLUSIONS: Comparatively high prostate cancer incidence rates among LDS men in Utah are explained, at least in part, by more aggressive screening among these men

A study of concept options for the evolution of Space Station Freedom

Two conceptual evolution configurations for Space Station Freedom, a research and development configuration, and a transportation node configuration are described and analyzed. Results of pertinent analyses of mass properties, attitude control, microgravity, orbit lifetime, and reboost requirements are provided along with a description of these analyses. Also provided are brief descriptions of the elements and systems that comprise these conceptual configurations

Modular Invariance of Finite Size Corrections and a Vortex Critical Phase

We analyze a continuous spin Gaussian model on a toroidal triangular lattice with periods $L_0$ and $L_1$ where the spins carry a representation of the fundamental group of the torus labeled by phases $u_0$ and $u_1$. We find the {\it exact finite size and lattice corrections}, to the partition function $Z$, for arbitrary mass $m$ and phases $u_i$. Summing $Z^{-1/2}$ over phases gives the corresponding result for the Ising model. The limits $m\rightarrow0$ and $u_i\rightarrow0$ do not commute. With $m=0$ the model exhibits a {\it vortex critical phase} when at least one of the $u_i$ is non-zero. In the continuum or scaling limit, for arbitrary $m$, the finite size corrections to $-\ln Z$ are {\it modular invariant} and for the critical phase are given by elliptic theta functions. In the cylinder limit $L_1\rightarrow\infty$ the ``cylinder charge'' $c(u_0,m^2L_0^2)$ is a non-monotonic function of $m$ that ranges from $2(1+6u_0(u_0-1))$ for $m=0$ to zero for $m\rightarrow\infty$.Comment: 12 pages of Plain TeX with two postscript figure insertions called torusfg1.ps and torusfg2.ps which can be obtained upon request from [email protected]