9,031 research outputs found
Estimating the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time-to-event using structural nested failure time models
In this paper we review an approach to estimating the causal effect of a
time-varying treatment on time to some event of interest. This approach is
designed for the situation where the treatment may have been repeatedly adapted
to patient characteristics, which themselves may also be time-dependent. In
this situation the effect of the treatment cannot simply be estimated by
conditioning on the patient characteristics, as these may themselves be
indicators of the treatment effect. This so-called time-dependent confounding
is typical in observational studies. We discuss a new class of failure time
models, structural nested failure time models, which can be used to estimate
the causal effect of a time-varying treatment, and present methods for
estimating and testing the parameters of these models
Groundwater dependence and drought within the southern African development community
A groundwater situation analysis of the SADC region has been undertaken as part of the World Bank GEF Programme as a basis for ensuring equitable use of groundwater resources, particularly during periods of drought, both for human needs and for sustaining ecosystems. Much of the groundwater in the region occurs in weathered crystalline rocks suitable for dispersed supply to rural communities, although there are several aquifers capable of sustaining urban demand that contribute to the supply of several major cities and towns. A number of SADC Member States, such as Botswana, Namibia and South Africa, are very dependent on groundwater, whereas the Democratic Republic of Congo is least dependent. Groundwater dependence and groundwater demand, together providing an indication of drought vulnerability, have been assessed from the availability and coverage of groundwater data, but it is very apparent that reliable and comprehensive groundwater data are major deficiencies throughout the SADC region. Few attempts have thus been made to calculate renewable groundwater resource volumes or develop optimum use of groundwater, despite the fact that susceptibility of many Member States to drought requires them to consider mitigation strategies to lessen the hardships imposed largely on their rural population. Such strategy requires long-term intervention and not short-term emergency responses, a process that is directly related to availability of comprehensive groundwater datasets. Considerable effort in groundwater assessment and monitoring and the accumulation, evaluation and dissemination of essential datasets will thus be required to maintain population livelihoods in future years when water supply is projected to be in deficit in over half of the SADC Member States
Betti number signatures of homogeneous Poisson point processes
The Betti numbers are fundamental topological quantities that describe the
k-dimensional connectivity of an object: B_0 is the number of connected
components and B_k effectively counts the number of k-dimensional holes.
Although they are appealing natural descriptors of shape, the higher-order
Betti numbers are more difficult to compute than other measures and so have not
previously been studied per se in the context of stochastic geometry or
statistical physics.
As a mathematically tractable model, we consider the expected Betti numbers
per unit volume of Poisson-centred spheres with radius alpha. We present
results from simulations and derive analytic expressions for the low intensity,
small radius limits of Betti numbers in one, two, and three dimensions. The
algorithms and analysis depend on alpha-shapes, a construction from
computational geometry that deserves to be more widely known in the physics
community.Comment: Submitted to PRE. 11 pages, 10 figure
Supersonic wings with significant leading-edge thrust at cruise
Experimental/theoretical correlations are presented which show that significant levels of leading edge thrust are possible at supersonic speeds for certain planforms which match the theoretical thrust distribution potential with the supporting airfoil geometry. The analytical process employed spanwise distribution of both it and/or that component of full theoretical thrust which acts as vortex lift. Significantly improved aerodynamic performance in the moderate supersonic speed regime is indicated
Seasonal Variability In Abundance And Vertical-Distribution Of Parathemisto-Gaudichaudi (Amphipoda Hyperiidea) In The Northeast Atlantic-Ocean
Breaking the low pay, no pay cycle: the effects of the UK Employment Retention and Advancement programme
This paper presents the final economic results of the UK Employment Retention and Advancement (ERA) programme. ERA’s distinctive combination of post-employment advisory support and financial incentives was designed to help low-income individuals who entered work sustain employment and advance in the labour market. ERA targeted three groups. ERA produced short-term earnings gains for two lone parent target groups. However, these effects generally faded after the programme ended, largely because the control group caught up with the ERA group. For the New Deal 25 Plus target group (mostly long term unemployed men), ERA produced modest but sustained increases in employment and earnings
Tactile Interactions with a Humanoid Robot : Novel Play Scenario Implementations with Children with Autism
Acknowledgments: This work has been partially supported by the European Commission under contract number FP7-231500-ROBOSKIN. Open Access: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits any use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and the source are credited.The work presented in this paper was part of our investigation in the ROBOSKIN project. The project has developed new robot capabilities based on the tactile feedback provided by novel robotic skin, with the aim to provide cognitive mechanisms to improve human-robot interaction capabilities. This article presents two novel tactile play scenarios developed for robot-assisted play for children with autism. The play scenarios were developed against specific educational and therapeutic objectives that were discussed with teachers and therapists. These objectives were classified with reference to the ICF-CY, the International Classification of Functioning – version for Children and Youth. The article presents a detailed description of the play scenarios, and case study examples of their implementation in HRI studies with children with autism and the humanoid robot KASPAR.Peer reviewedFinal Published versio
Computational Topology Techniques for Characterizing Time-Series Data
Topological data analysis (TDA), while abstract, allows a characterization of
time-series data obtained from nonlinear and complex dynamical systems. Though
it is surprising that such an abstract measure of structure - counting pieces
and holes - could be useful for real-world data, TDA lets us compare different
systems, and even do membership testing or change-point detection. However, TDA
is computationally expensive and involves a number of free parameters. This
complexity can be obviated by coarse-graining, using a construct called the
witness complex. The parametric dependence gives rise to the concept of
persistent homology: how shape changes with scale. Its results allow us to
distinguish time-series data from different systems - e.g., the same note
played on different musical instruments.Comment: 12 pages, 6 Figures, 1 Table, The Sixteenth International Symposium
on Intelligent Data Analysis (IDA 2017
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